#IPCC Synthesis report is out - what does it mean for climate messages and behavior change?
1 - Of course, there are no surprises, this is a synthesis of all the reports already published. Policy makers will comb through the fine print but for comms worth noting...
2 - The news isn’t good, obvs. But IPCC go into great depth on how much each tiny increment of warming matters. That’s to lower the obsession on ‘1.5 or bust’ messages will reinforce doomism if/when 1.5 is missed. Note the highlighted passage. IPCC v firm that we CAN slow this!
3- The highlighted line below is one I expect to be seen repeated. IPCC reinforces that this is happening on our watch, that our choices matter today. This will be used to draw everyones attention back from 2050 targets and to immediate action in next 7 years.
4 - The highlighted line below is the only reference to behaviour etc in headline text. But proves people are still on the agenda! Honestly, this is as much as I expected. Socio-cultural and behaviour change was only significant in one chapter of WGIII
5a -Subsection of C.5. Important that of everything they could have drawn out – the responsibility of wealthy citizens is highlighted below. I’d be interested to know how controversial that was in negotiations!
5b (still on snippet above). The second highlighted text re-enforces the importance of always talking about personal change in the frame of wider political and infrastructure change. What we do matters - as consumers AND as citizens!
Overall, good that of everything which had to be condensed into a 36-page report – personal action made the cut!
I do wish the narrative aspect that was in Chap 5 of AR6 WGIII had got even a glancing mention but I guess this is ALL about narrative, isn't it?
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Greta could of replied to his ridiculous post with an earnest entreaty, science lesson, or a condemnation of ‘that type of person’ that HER followers could feel smug and comfortable with.
So, is everyone working in sustainable lifestyles/behaviour change on the edge of your seat for IPCC WGIII AR6 SPM 5A????
Because you should be.
Section '5A' of the #IPCCreport is the bit dealing with 'demand side' reduction. And we're all the demanders (aka 'consumers') along with all the organisations that actually use/consume everything.
Demand reduction hasn't figured in a big way before in #IPCC reports - especially reducing demand for high carbon goods/services/utilities from consumers. But in the new report - we might all have a role to play.
What can we do with this #COP26 Cover Text beyond the UN process?
1 - ram that phase out of fossil fuel subsidies down the throat of every investor, every insurer and the financial markets. Stranded assets in oil, gas and coal are about to become ‘toxic assets’.
2 - start the pressure TODAY for bigger, better, stronger NDCs next year. We are now in a one year not five year cycle. Campaigners, funders and all of us need to switch to prepping demands ASAP
3 - start speaking about a Loss & Damage Facility as an inevitability - the most affected people and areas require nothing else. Model it, propose structures and even name it. Make it real.
Climate change feels overwhelming. From the sea literally on fire to devastating floods on land. It's breathtaking, and heartbreaking and can be hard to go on.
Stop. Take a breath.
And remember...
Most of the suffragettes never got to vote.
Most early LGBT+ activists never got to marry
Most civil rights activists never saw the first black President.
Inventors of electricity died by candlelight.
These people dedicated their lives for a better future they never lived in...
If you're fighting, working, sweating and trying to solve our climate crisis, you may never see the better world you're trying to build.
That's not how change happens.
It happens because people decide to fight for better KNOWING they may never see it....
1/ There's an environmental metaphor for what's happening right now, explained to me by arborist Sir Tim Smit.
It's called 'death flowering' and it happens when an old tree is diseased and rotting from the inside.
Suddenly, that dying tree will burst, even out of season, into
2/ excessive flowering and fruiting. Or it will suffer from 'epicormic growth' of messy buds and branches on its trunk elsewhere.
The diseased tree is throwing up flowers and fruits as a desperate last attempt to breed and continue itself
3/ the 'death flowering' tree might briefly look healthy and impressive, but it's core is rotten and all the colour and growth burns up the last strength the tree actually has.
It can take years, but the tree is doomed and the death flowering is because it knows it