Thread by @HeliosRunner

1/ Operational situation update/ #russian_invasion in #Ukraine on March 21, 2023
#RussianArmy is no more giving the tempo of ongoing operations along the front-line. Weak attacks are recorded everywhere except in the #Avdiivka area on small zones outside the city.
#UkraineMap

2/ As the situation in #Avdiivka is very fluid (i have recorded dozens of attacks/counterattacks last week, to draw the exact FEBA line is not realist, but according to several reports it is likely looking like below to date. Ru are now trying to go with their previous moves,

3/ so going on the direction & led offensive actions in the areas of #Novobakhmutivka, #Krasnohorivka, #Avdiivka itself, #Syeverne, #Pervomayske but despite huge ressources in materials & men were not able to really capitalize anywhere where offensives took place. only small

4/ gains were recorded up north the city where they gain back 2 villages (as far as we know and pushed the offensives to cut the major axes H20 to #Stepove (only one of many LOCS) and did not succeed.
so that's abt it in this direct conflict zone right now
defense is still strong

5/ Now as i talked about Ru army in first place, let's talk about #Wagner in #Bakhmut (of course with all the arty support of Ru army but, diff approach there)

So there is actually some very good news we have received 2 hours ago & needed some times to check all of it.. let's go

6/ So "continues offensive operations, but loses offensive potential. The enemy does not stop trying to capture the city, losing a significant amount of manpower, weapons and military equipment." from Gen staff lately & confirmed by some Ru chanels.
but more important : As we

7/ we have received news from commander there, also diff soldiers direct infos & even Motolife direct report from the situation :
so to try to make this long story short : Ukr forces repelled numerous attacks led around the clock in the areas of #OrikhovoVasylivka, #Hryhorivka &

8/ globally speaking in the entire direction along the Road M03 up north, so all attacks on #Minkivka & north high grounds of #Zaliznyanske are repelled and or contained and exhausted as we speak.
Also all the massives attacks that took place this entire week end on #Bohdanivka

9/ or #Khromove have failed. yes they confirmed Ru were there but realized it was not possible to "keep it" without huge losses so they really got back at least 1 click back (1km)
Now Ukr also confirms that Wagner is indeed making slow but incremental progress on the north part

10/ of the city itself, in the industrial zone (Ukr cannot compete there, bc lack of arty in volume & "humpf" & also lots of men there.
but what we also learned is that Ru failed all attempts to go across the river as they were "punished" strongly every single time they tried

11/ also HUGE news now... : yes Ru were kicked out of the south part (maybe up to 2km away from Mig17 monument) to the outskirt & TOTALLY out of the forest itself!! back in the field out there!
that's a HUGE relief for UKR defenders today as we speak! (& not the last surprise to

12/ come.
last but not least : Ru "regular" troops were also ousted from the forest in the area between #Ivaniske & #ChassivYar and only small groups of wandering zombies are deambulating in the area right now, but nothing of a real danger as we speak !
#UkraineMap
#Bakhmut

13/ as we speak this is the report from a vid directly sent to me (you might find it later on some chanels out there) it's 15 min long and confirms w small diff the other infos i gathered.
i made you a script if you want to translate it yourself :
cheers!
justpaste.it/ae2sy

14/ one or 2 indirect point. yes these sources are good ones. they are very reliable. very.
but don't forget things are moving fast in the area as we never know how much canon fodder they are ready to sacrifice to their advance.
(#Prigozhin was not confident abt it by the way)

15/ second point is : when i talk about Ru not in charge of the tempo it is 100% correct as they are not really dictating any major moves. don't you ever forget that we r just witnessing a bunch of poor fcks not able to grab tiny cities for the last 8-9 months & counting

16/ so having 3 time the amount of materials/men and shells is not the golden standard when you can't achieve anything, of you being in "control" of the situation..
on the contrary here, & even #Prigozhin & several voices recently, even on Ru national Tv start to understand that

17/ if it goes on & on (and as they are witnessing the huge amounts of preparations that is taking place back of the "third line of defense), they finally understanding that all their "power" is melting down ("just look at my stats, for fck sake!" would have said Blaise Pascal)

18/ just some ref about the MiG-17 monument in Bakhmut that was destroyed as the point identified by Moto himself in his report :

https://twitter.com/clashreport/status/1634145260421906432

19/ last report of the day and alleged Ru losses :
(if you are "new" here don't ask me if i "believe" in the numbers etc. just check my excel tab and/or consider a "generous" -15% just to be "sure"... but we are around the right numbers there let's be sure of that my friends.

20/ also creation today of the ""net of death" announced by Colonel Sergey Baranov

i've talked a lot in the past about all integrated systems like that, as we know of that Ukr were building & implementing, and it's a really good news to see that it is officially presented right

21/ now, couple months before what could be a great "hunting" seasons as far as UKR receive enough shells & other significant and powerful materials in the front (but as we speak today i have received confirmation of nice toys being send in Ukraine very soon..)
so... hot summer!

22/ and that's it for now..
i've received tons of news but can't talk about all..
maybe another day
take care folks
good night!