buda.eth Profile picture
Mar 26 10 tweets 4 min read
Bitcoin price prediction. Detailed analysis of the market.

#BTC #market #Crypto #trading Image
I am attaching an interesting information. For those who do not understand. Above is a graph of 2-year US bonds and the Fed's rate. When a 2-year rate hike cycle begins to show a lower yield than the Fed rate it's meant the end of the rate hike cycle.
Since my opinion is that we are in a cyclical crisis, the following should happen:
As soon as the Fed starts to lower interest rates, then we start to see markets rise (this may not happen immediately, but it will happen fast). Image
Now we are trying to catch a causal relationship: in order for the markets to grow and turn the economy from fear to bully in people's heads, we need the Fed to start drop interest rates, now we are looking at a picture where 2 Year Treasury have already worked out this pattern
We see that the reversal in interest rates will be soon - through 1-2 FED meeting. From all this, I see the very beginning of a bullish trend, that is, NOT PRICE, BUT THE PLACE in which we are must buy BTC. Image
The bull doesn't start when BTC = 15k, it starts when economic conditions become more risk-averse. Of course, we will not have BTC>69k un this year (5% chance), but now is the best time to catch the rebound of the markets.
Yes, there is a chance of a banking crisis, and if you believe in it, then you just have to wait and buy a BTC at prices 10k... Bit it's impossible.
What am I doing? Image
I have a lot of stables, I divide them into 3 parts:

1 part. I go long on the BTC with the 2x leverage. Liquidation price 13-14k, exit somewhere around 40k (I will look at the market),
2 part. My airbag. If suddenly there is a nuclear war, a crisis, worse than 2008, then we will see the BTC below 13k. Here, at the bottom, I will take another long with the second leverage and 100% recapture what is liquid and still earn from above.
3 part. Stables for short-term trades, as well as for averaging positions. Overall, this is a win-win tactic in the current market.

Thank you for your attention, I hope I helped you look at the market differently🌑 Image

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Inflation<2% per year

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