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Paul Maidowski Profile picture
@_ppmv
Mar 31 • 16 tweets • 15 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1. What does #ZeroCOVID 2030 policy mean?

Three Zeros: Zero new cases, zero new deaths, zero stigma
COVID: same virus and pathogenesis as SARS
2030: workable policy goal. Essential to all effective policy.

First lesson of cognitive policy: Always Frame First. (AFF). Awesome AF. Image
2. Lesson from the HIV pre-ART era, i.e. where we are on COVID-19: use the lessons of 40 years of HIV medicine. We literally have no time for anything but drug repurposing. People are decompensating; SARS is cruel in this very specific way. #UequalsU U=U=U
3. For details, kindly ask @dbdugger:
@dbdugger 4. With all love for the Long COVID community and our collective progress, I need to find ways to be paid for work done on SARS elimination and livable futures.

Counter to popular myth I need to pay rent, not just coffee, and perhaps raise a family too one day. Be well everyone,
@dbdugger 5. This video by @eve_empal, worth sharing. Thanks all! Always recall, we CAN stop the global spread of new variants of concern tomorrow -- even if no one but us talks about it. This is what determine success or failure, all else follows from it. inshallah
@dbdugger @eve_empal 6. For anyone who wasn't around at the time: we doubled life expectancy 100 years ago. How?

Simple effective policy like 'hygiene' and 'pasteurization'. Who did it? Yes, lawyers and activists. (Sorry scientist friends:)

Do this again, for #ZeroSARS 2030:
@dbdugger @eve_empal 7. "Progress is never a result of scientific discovery alone. It requires crusading journalism, activism, politics." Study progress. We live the same today—this time not constant BCoV outbreaks from unpasteurized milk but SARS-CoV. @NathanJRobinson @sjmmcd ImageImage
@dbdugger @eve_empal @NathanJRobinson @sjmmcd 8. In sum, what's ahead?

We've long been saying that the legal phase of the pandemic started. The only way to achieve public health policy worth its name now leads through the legal system. Insurances, infected or bereaved need to sue state or employer.
@dbdugger @eve_empal @NathanJRobinson @sjmmcd 9. Life expectancy will fall in all states of "Living with COVID" ambition. (Biologically impossible IF you seek life beyond retirement—but fair, not all do.) Flawed "non-Covid death" data, but good thread. Follow the money means: read the financial press.
@dbdugger @eve_empal @NathanJRobinson @sjmmcd 10. Stunning data. In the U.S. you need to earn $400k to have the same life expectancy as an $100k income in the UK. This visualizes how much worse some countries (US) do the social dance that connects us all worldwide, but most strongly at national level.
@dbdugger @eve_empal @NathanJRobinson 11. No data. As one state after the other turns off the lights, it is organizer-time to prepare the next act.

After Act I (pre-vaccine) &
Act II (pre-ART era),
Act III will be the ART era. Watch China and learn from HIV medicine. We're in the early 1980s. ImageImage
@dbdugger @eve_empal @NathanJRobinson 12. Harsh but accurate, on where we are and what is ahead. Read the part on Azvudine to see how China - for all we know, successfully - prevent some #LongCOVID and transmission. It's not subtle. Present institutional dysfunction in the west can't continue.
@dbdugger @eve_empal @NathanJRobinson 13. "Zero COVID 2030" needs high-level support. (1) @WmHaseltine found a smart way: ask for $5-10 billion *per year* in US, EU, China each to develop a cure. (2) Address aviation. (3) Bring in the liberal arts.

@itsjiyounkim in perfection. Nothing to add:
14. Dr. Haseltine: "We are now (in) a new ecosystem."
15. "I was one of the first AIDS researchers". Listen to these scientists. They know what they are talking about.
16. @WmHaseltine: "So we need to do that research [on flu, coronaviruses, and others]. And I don't see it being done properly. I don't see anyone in the world organizing to do it." - Yes. Hence my call for a UN programme for SARS/HCoV equivalent to UNAIDS.

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More from @_ppmv

Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 2
1. How does SARS-CoV cause lymphopenia (~AIDS)?

This review article is from 2015, well before SARS-CoV-2 emerged. Still, it is far more accurate than 99% of COVID-19 discussion. Read carefully.

You can fool some people some of the time, but not nature. sciencedirect.com/science/articl… Image
2. "Unlike other RNA viruses, CoVs encode a 3′-5′ exonuclease that has *proofreading activities* [...]. CoVs are also capable of *genetic recombination* if two viruses infect the same cell at the same time.

That's what drives the pandemic yet you'll only hear it on twitter. lmao Image
3. "All CoVs develop exclusively in the cytoplasm of infected cells." SARS does NOT behave like influenza, which takes over the cell, and replicates until it explodes like a balloon. (SARS even EXTENDS its lifecycle.) Western intellectual laziness and hubris cost them the future. Image
Read 44 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 1
We mentioned this last year. @stkirsch is textbook case of bodyguard manipulation, a host helping SARS-CoV spread in the population.
These guys are textbook sociopaths.
#BlockDontMock. Don’t give them a platform to spread their hallucinations.
Read 4 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 1
1. Taiwan and China's new world order

@AMFChina is right: time for experts. No state or empire aiming to "Live with" SARS can dominate world politics.

SARS-CoV will age and disable the population until elimination. Solutions require international cooperation under WHO guidance. ImageImage
2. Any practitioners or IR scholars that seek to defy reality will run up against the hard walls of biology. It's a dynamical problem; this can escalate quite dramatically if folks remain in denial. chinacdc.cn/jkzt/crb/zl/sz… ImageImage
3. I've been really subtle and patient, but apparently people need to face reality head on. Am I eager to see German life expectancy drop to 65 years? NO, but it will happen - it's biology, stupid - if you all don't wake up asap. Good luck everyone.
Read 7 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 1
《Humanity’s main strategy going forward must be to cooperate in using less energy, materials, and land, with a focus on justice for humans and non-humans alike》

“Metacrisis” etc.: we use syndemic, to address health and inequity. @richardheinberg⁩ 🙏 resilience.org/stories/2023-0…
Very respectable work by @postcarbon, I much appreciate them. It’s not much, but even I have 1 million views per month, not bad considering the content is pretty harsh. All these small efforts add up. Follow @gordonschuecker @NJHagens too: Image
Sometimes we can be impatient - naturally, given the scale of problems that we but few others see.

Resharing this look back to add my bingo card for 2023-2025 includes one or more states returning to #ZeroCovid policy. Eventually people will figure out how to protect themselves.
Read 4 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Mar 31
1. XBC.1.6

If you like Delta and Omicron, you'll adore their love children Deltacrons BQ.1.2 and XBC.1.6, with TMPRSS2 tropism, LRT bound. MAY be pathogenic like Delta, transmissible like Omicon: I'd suggest not finding out.

Restart (AUS) or start (Rest of world) #ZeroCovid. 😘 ImageImage
2. Here is your next best chance to avoid the next big shipwreck before the ship leaves harbor.
3. Proper acronym guide
Read 11 tweets
Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Mar 31
1. How we can end the COVID-19 pandemic?

In memoriam Dr. Urbani: do the same as for SARS 2003.

WHO (@mvankerkhove) now communicates that we need to "Live with" SARS-CoV-2 for the foreseeable future. This is true without state support for elimination. I believe we can do better. Image
2. The policy is simple enough for the gymnastics meme: Image
3. I will need translation help* to understand the subtle differences between PHEIC and pandemic, and the legal, material, and political implications of ending the former -- which will indubitably accelerate the latter.

* a.k.a public health Vulcan
Read 8 tweets

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