Paul Maidowski Profile picture
Apr 4, 2023 8 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1. Dynamics of ZeroCovid policy #ZeroSARS #清零政策

Did it fail as China abandoned ZC policy? No.

A covid-conscious colleague calls me, concerned re conflict. They rightly observe conservative values match ZC:

Sanctity of life
National security
Sense of authority and hierarchy
2. I lost track of who follows me, beyond 1/3 climate, 1/3 SARS-health-systems, 1/3 dad jokes.

Yet this new follower somehow caught my eye.

Obvs conservatives are organizing to hold Biden and Democrats/liberals accountable for their horrific pandemic policy.

No surprise there.
3. Effective policy requires understanding the mechanics of SARS.

Transmission sustains the pandemic: "one ship every three months".

The ONLY way to eliminate SARS is to stop the ship before it leaves harbor. Before the virus gets on a plane on two legs.
4. Once the virus stepped off the plane and into the local community, you'll need angelic reinforcement. (Paul White has your back——I hope her angels are PCR tested though)
5. @ChrisDYork (now @KyivPost) kindly transcribed the winning formula. #SlavaUkraini huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/donald-t…
@ChrisDYork @KyivPost 6. In 2023 it got interesting. Our warnings are working; or people are learning for themselves. I hear hierarchical, self-organized or outlaw groups are beginning to warn their members. This is Pandemic Sociology 201.

By the nature of these groups, you will only hear it from us.
7. I’m not making fun of @NateSilver538; some of his SARS beliefs are correct. Without doing the readings, he, @tomaspueyo, and everyone else on these questions will remain wrong. 🤡

Public health isn’t and never will be intuitive.

No truly global governance problem ever is.

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More from @_ppmv

May 30
1. "Bamboo is our best chance to slow climate breakdown: it sustains societies, can protect soil and store carbon for 100 years in food, construction, bio-concrete and plastic." - Let’s test this. As our very German neighbors renew their English Gardens, we start growing bamboo👇

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2. Three months ago I started on bamboo: no one else in Europe seemed to have systematically analyzed or even considered its global climate mitigation potential when used as agricultural crop rather than natural forests, which do little climate mitigation.
3. A bamboo focus isn't for the coming years. We are at least a decade early. However, since getting started will take decades, now is a good time. In 10 years, atmospheric CO2 will exceed 450 ppm. That's enough to fundamentally transform the Earth system.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 8
Hybrid immunity was invented in 2021 to sell the idea of SARS-CoV-2 infections as a good. There is no literature pre 2021. The idea to infect the global population with a SARS virus, including all 2 billion children aged 14 yo and younger, didn't exist. scholar.google.com/scholar?q=%22h…


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Arijit documented this too. If you read the papers, it's a false analogy and poor reasoning.
You can repeat the same with "immune debt" or "immunity debt", the original flawed idea invented by French pediatrician Cohen in 2021, setting off the whole strain of argument. An incredibly effective PR campaign, less good science.
scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&…


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Read 6 tweets
Mar 11
1. Europe imports all its bamboo. Plantations on fallow land are one good option to slow climate breakdown and create sustainable jobs. Bamboo is incredibly fast and, unlike timber, active management improves climate and ecological outcomes. Merits focus, baustoff-partner.de/d/moso-reiche-…

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SARS-CoV-2 wasn't the last disruption to import based businesses. Our basic climate policy warning for seven years now. One of the reasons I'd encourage everyone to look into starting to grow Moso bamboo (phyllostachys edulis) or other suitable species in Southern Europe as well. Image
3. Terrestrial mammals and C4 grasses evolved and adapted below a threshold of 550 ppm. Earth will cross it within the lifetime of kids born today. - Bamboo is our most efficient C3 plant. Cenozoic CO2 proxy (CENCO2PIP) Consortium☝️ science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…



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Read 24 tweets
Feb 26
You need a scale for the collapse of 'doomsday' glacier Thwaites. Compare the past two years: iceberg B22a broke off the glacier in 2002 and gained legs in 2023, freeing Thwaites to flow into the sea over the coming years: here it is today—that's 3,000 km2 worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-2442135.48…


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3600 square kilometers, for the mathematicians here Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 14
Excellent paper @ejustin46 found. Only one major problem
Granted, few if any papers so far explain the Orf8 gene in beta-CoVs but never mind, that’s why you have twitter
The real problem: you cannot analyze SARS-CoV-2 OR compare it to HIV-1 without accounting for reinfections, current policy worldwide because no one bothers to plan for stopping them, ie #ZeroCovid, just as we have #ZeroHIV policy. Absurd.
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Read 4 tweets
Jan 9
SARS-CoV should be compared to HIV. They are the two best researched viruses in history. "Compare and contrast X and Y" is about the most common essay question in middle school language classes worldwide; people who want to prevent this have ill (no dad joke intended) intentions.
As AJ says, different opinions are perfectly valid here as long as people read carefully. It will get very complex. This is why as political scientist, to me learning from the policy & social parallels to the HIV/AIDS pandemic is paramount. Compare away,
The pre-ART HIV era is before me, so I learn from books and experiences. The central lesson of #UUU (#UequalsU) is: Empower the public. Help them make informed decisions.

It REQUIRES clear language as we speak, and public debate.

Good early thread by me.
Read 6 tweets

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