3/7 I recently did some research on the cost of destroying different targets with different means here. Now I have detailed and clarified it. forbes.ua/war-in-ukraine…
4/7 Damage to enemy infantry:
Drones are the cheapest and most effective way. Switchblade 300 is the most expensive means of destroying infantry. The use of mortars and artillery on group targets in open terrain dramatically increases their effectiveness.
5/7 If the infantry is in the trenches, the effectiveness of traditional military means is drastically reduced. In this case, drones can have a much greater advantage.
6/7 Destroyed armor: Drones are the cheapest way, although they may not be very effective. Much depends on the situation and the place of impact. Javelin is the most expensive way to destroy armored vehicles, but also the most effective. Switchblade 600 - may be more affordable
7/7 The use of mortars and artillery on group targets dramatically increases their effectiveness. But hunting a single moving target is almost doomed. As a result, Excalibur does not look much more expensive than classic projectiles, if we take into account efficiency.
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2/ The battle in the Bakhmut direction began after Popasnaya and Svitlodarsk were captured by Ru in May 2022. Bakhmut became the next city on the way of the Ru army. It is hard to imagine, but already in June 2022 Ru troops were 10 km from Bakhmut
3/ But in general, the pace of the offensive was the highest in the first months of the fighting. At that time, Russia captured territories 5 times larger than now, losing 10 times fewer soldiers.
We all see many statements about war losses that are difficult to put together.
How can Ukraine lose 5 times fewer killed and at the same time the total number of losses is called 200K/120K in Ru/Ua?
I will try to explain it briefly: #RussiaUkraineWar#RussianArmy
1/14
2/14 1. Different ratio of killed/wounded
In the Russian army, the ratio of killed/wounded troops is usually called 1/3. In the Ukrainian army - 1/7-1/8, and sometimes even as much as 1/10 or more.
There is a great point @shashj about this:
3/14 2. Different types of troops
When they talk about the losses of the Russian army, they usually mean the regular troops of Ru. But in addition, more than 50K "LDNR", 50K "Wagner", and several thousand volunteer battalions such as "Bars", "Rusich" and others.
2/12 Average daily losses of the main attacking country: 1. Germany (World War II) - 2415 killed soldiers per day. 2. USSR (Finnish War 1939) - 1440 3. Germany (World War I) - 1280 4. Russia (Ukrainian war 2022) - 380 (about 650 per day after mobilization).
3/12 5. North Korea (Korean War 1950) - 337 6. Russia (Russian-Japanese War 1904) - 115 7. Russia (First Chechen War 1994) - 22 8. USA (War in Vietnam 1964-75) - 20 9. USSR (Afghan War 1979-1989) - 4 10. USA (Iraq War 2003-2009) - 2
Phase I - Blitzkrieg
Initially, the Ru attack was planned as a large-scale rapid operation from the air, land and water. It was planned in 4 acts:
Act 1: A large-scale missile attack was supposed to suppress the Ukrainian air defense system and create chaos in defense management
Act 2: The main role was planned for amphibious operations. Which were to quickly capture key objects and capture government buildings in the main cities - Kyiv, Kharkiv and Odesa
Ru planned to use hundreds of helicopters, at least 18 large Il-76 planes and a naval landing force
2/17 Now I only have electricity for 4-6 hours a day, so I can't spend as much time on Twitter as I used to.
But I finally got to my calculations and clarified them to give you a clear picture (it may not be perfect and contain errors, like any analytics).
3/17 In general, the gap between Ukraine and Russia in military power is gradually decreasing.
This happens both because Russia has heavy losses and because Ukraine maintains or even strengthens its power due to the help of allies and war trophies.
2/20 Russia's direct military costs for the 9 months of the war, are about $82 bln. This estimate includes direct costs that are necessary to support military operations. The estimate does not include others defense spending or economic losses forbes.ua/war-in-ukraine…
3/20 In 2021, all budget revenues of Russia amounted to $340 billion. That is, the Russian Federation has already spent a quarter of last year's revenues on the war against Ukraine.