1. #ACIP is meeting today to discuss the changes to the #Covid vaccination schedule announced yesterday by @US_FDA. statnews.com/2023/04/18/fda…
I will live-tweet, though don't expect a flurry of tweets.
No votes today. @CDCDirector is expected to approve the changes later today.
2. @CDCgov's Georgina Peacock just told #ACIP that when the national public health emergency ends in May, there will be some loss of capacity to get #Covid data from the states. CDC is trying to sign extensions to data-sharing agreements with states, but expects some won't sign.
3. @CDCgov's Tom Shimabukuro, who leads efforts to study #Covid vaccine safety, is updating on the question of whether there was an increased risk of stroke among people 65 & older who got the Pfizer bivalent booster last fall. The data to date suggest not. #ACIP
4. @CDCgov's Ruth Link-Gelles up now on #Covid vaccine effectiveness. Among kids, it's hard to come up with good estimates because 1. vax rates in kids are low, 2. vaxed kids & unvaxed kids could be significantly different, 3. high rates of infections could make the VE look lower
5. We hear so much about waning of protection of the mRNA #Covid vaccines, but this is some good news. People who had 2-4 doses of monovalent Covid vaccine (mRNAs) but no bivalent still have pretty good protection against the worse outcomes of Covid infection. #ACIP
6. The goal of the changes to #Covid vaccination policies @US_FDA announced yesterday is to simplify the schedule — something that's badly needed. But these changes are only a start, @CDCgov's Sara Oliver tells #ACIP. Think of it as a journey, she said.
7. How badly needed is simplification of the #Covid vaccination schedule? This slide says it all.
This will make things MUCH simpler for pharmacies & doctors' offices where Covid vaccines are given. Reduces risk of vaccination errors. #ACIP
8. This cool slide is a snapshot of types of immunity in the population. Thing to note: The portion of the population with hybrid immunity (blue) is rising and the percentage of the population with no immunity (green) is shrinking. #ACIP
9. There's a lot of #Covid vaccine fatigue; that's clear in the low rate of uptake of the bivalent booster. (only 42.6% of seniors have received one)
But there is a population of people who really, really want access to additional doses. #ACIP
10. The new #Covid vaccination schedule also attempts to simplify how many doses children under 4 should get. But the situation isn't currently simple, hence this schematic that tries to talk parents through what they should know for their children. #ACIP
11. Here's the slightly simpler schematic for vaccination of 5 year olds. #Covid#ACID
12. Tons of confusion among #ACIP committee members re: the new recommendations around how many doses of #Covid vaccine young children should get, and confusion and concern around the options for young children who are immunocompromised.
13. #ACIP is now adjourned.
General takeaway: The simplified recommendations for young kids need a lot more work.
There's a fair amount of interest in offering pregnant people access to a booster during pregnancy.
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1. @WHO has issued an update on the #Marburg outbreak in Equatorial Guinea. It is not reassuring. A 🧵
Before getting into it, a note on the Marburg outbreak in Tanzania. WHO says the case count remains at 8, with 5 deaths. If accurate, this outbreak doesn't seem to be growing.
2. Equatorial Guinea: The case count is up to 38 confirmed & probable #Marburg cases; at least 89% are dead. Authorities don't know the identify/whereabouts/disease outcome of 1 case. (shudder)
The most recent case tested positive on April 7. Not yet clear how s/he got infected.
3. There is no reason to think this outbreak is coming under control. Equatorial Guinea is lucky in that #Marburg doesn't seem to transmit as well as Ebola; Marburg outbreaks have historically been smaller. But one can't assume a Marburg outbreak will be small. See Angola 2004-05
1. #Flu activity remains low in the US. A short thread on the data for the week ending March 11, which @CDCgov issued today.
The percentage of people seeking care for #influenza-like illness remains below the epidemic threshold. Early start, early end to this season.
2. I'm still watching to see if there is going to be a #flu B spring surge; so far no real sign of it. About one-fifth of the viruses tested last week were flu B, which is higher than earlier in the season. But one-fifth of a low number is a low number, as you can see here.
3. Another 7 children have died from #flu this season. The current total for the season is 132 and it's likely the tally will continue to grow. There's often a long delay between when a child dies from flu and when @CDCgov is informed.
(Data is CDC's, graph is mine)
1. #Flu activity has dropped off dramatically since its peak around Thanksgiving, but this odd early season still can't seem to bring itself to an end. For the 6th week in a row it is hovering just above the epidemic threshold.
A 🧵
2. That said, rhinoviruses & human coronaviruses are causing more #influenza-like illness right now than #flu is, according to the Biofire syndromic trends. syndromictrends.com
3. @CDCgov has been informed of 2 more pediatric #flu deaths; both kids died in early December. So far this season there have been 117 confirmed flu deaths in children. This graph (mine, with data from CDC) gives you a picture of how this year compares to others re: kids.
1. @WHO has finally issued an update on the #Marburg situation in Equatorial Guinea. The "finally" is not criticism of WHO. They issue these with info provided by an affected country & sometimes countries are not eager to share information.
The situation is complex.
A 🧵
2. There has only been 1 confirmed case of #Marburg so far, but that is mainly because 8 other people suspected of having had the disease died without testing. This is Equatorial Guinea's first #Marburg outbreak & @WHO is concerned about the country's capacity to cope.
3. There have been no cases in health workers yet, a blessing given 1 of the people who died was in a health care setting at death. People who are dying of Marburg are teeming with virus; preparing bodies for burial often results in infection, which may have been the case here.
1. @WHO has issued an update on the #H5N1 situation in Cambodia. It confirms what has come out over the past few days. 2 confirmed cases, an 11 yo girl who died & her father who remains asymptomatic. 11 other contacts tested negative. A couple of noteworthy points....
2. The #H5N1 virus was from a strain of H5 viruses that has been circulating in southeast Asia since 2014. This is a different strain from the one that has swept across the Americas in the past couple of years. Different strain could equal slightly different behavior.
3. The father remains asymptomatic. Given he and his daughter would have shared contact with infected birds, he could be a true case (and lucky). I do wonder whether he was truly infected or whether the swabbing just picked up virus in his nose.
1. @CDCgov has been told of 4 more children who died from #flu this season, bringing the 2022-23 total to 115 so far. There have been years with a higher pediatric death toll, but it's tragic to see so many kids die from flu. No word on their vaccination status. (Graph = mine)
🧵
2. @CDCgov's latest FluView report, out today, reports that #flu activity is low in most parts of the country. In the few places where it isn't low, it has declined from the previous week. It remains to be seen if flu season is effectively over or if there's more to come.
3. Oddly, though, the epi curve has not yet slipped below the epidemic threshold. Strange to see it skip along just above the threshold for 5 weeks running.