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🧵It is increasingly clear that #China is positioning itself to benefit from the war in #Ukraine. Putin’s folly has increased #Russia’s dependence on China for energy exports, accelerating Moscow’s vassalization to Beijing. It’s increasingly clear China is in the lead. 1/5
Beijing has also been able to exploit differences between Washington, Paris and Berlin when it comes to their #China policy, with a flurry of senior European leaders visits to China underscoring Beijing’s growing influence. China is now a rising great power in Europe. 2/5
Through its Belt and Road initiative China has sought to flip the maritime-to-land domain relationship in its favor, building a land-based supply chain network that—if successfully completed & defended—would enable China to compete from a position of advantage vice the US. 3/5
In geostrategic terms, America’s global preeminence since the 20th c. has rested on its ability to dominate the maritime domain, allowing it to anchor itself in both #Europe and #Asia. It fought two World Wars and the Cold War to prevent on power from controlling Eurasia. 4/5
China is poised not only to challenge the US in the maritime domain, but also to rewrite the rules of global competition. It seeks to control Asia, Eurasia and then #Europe as well. The US is facing a global challenge that requires our enduring commitment in both Europe & Asia5/5
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