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#Ukraine May 1st, updates from @escortert.
As he does, his threads are in 2 parts update is in 2 parts, here is the 1st π
As he does, his threads are in 2 parts update is in 2 parts, here is the 1st π
1/n #Ukraine May 1st
#WarInUkraine D+432 (01/05) PdS1 - #Donbass theater
The frontline in #Donbass is the same as yesterday and also resembles that of early April (see map below)
#Bakhmut has started its 260th day of siege
#WarInUkraine D+432 (01/05) PdS1 - #Donbass theater
The frontline in #Donbass is the same as yesterday and also resembles that of early April (see map below)
#Bakhmut has started its 260th day of siege
https://twitter.com/i/status/1652720357797773314/video/1
2/n #Ukraine May 1st
Time machine, if you missed the CDXXXI diary of #WarInUkraine, here it isπ
Unroll available on Thread Reader
Time machine, if you missed the CDXXXI diary of #WarInUkraine, here it isπ
Unroll available on Thread Reader
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1652648559940976640?s=20
3/n #Ukraine May 1st
+5 km2, here is the RUS gain in the month of April!π
This figure is to be compared with the gain of its winter offensive in February-March: +468 km2
The gap perfectly illustrates the failure of the offensive strategy and the shift to a defensive strategy
+5 km2, here is the RUS gain in the month of April!π
This figure is to be compared with the gain of its winter offensive in February-March: +468 km2
The gap perfectly illustrates the failure of the offensive strategy and the shift to a defensive strategy
4/n #Ukraine May 1st
1/ Northern segment, #Kupyansk-#Svatove-#Kreminna
There is no more RUS offensive activity on this segment since a fortnight
But military tasks continue to be carried out by RUS and UKR: destruction of enemy positions by artillery, reconnaissance, ...
1/ Northern segment, #Kupyansk-#Svatove-#Kreminna
There is no more RUS offensive activity on this segment since a fortnight
But military tasks continue to be carried out by RUS and UKR: destruction of enemy positions by artillery, reconnaissance, ...
5/n #Ukraine May 1st
The situation is mirrored on the southern segment of #Donbass in #Vuhledar
This is the effect of the RUS decision to concentrate resources on #Bakhmut mainly and #Avdiivka, secondarily
The front line is unchanged (#Kupyansk left and #Kreminna right)
The situation is mirrored on the southern segment of #Donbass in #Vuhledar
This is the effect of the RUS decision to concentrate resources on #Bakhmut mainly and #Avdiivka, secondarily
The front line is unchanged (#Kupyansk left and #Kreminna right)
6/n #Ukraine May 1st
2/ Central segment, #Siversk-#Bakhmut
#Bakhmut, on the 260th day of the siege, is the place of the main concentration of RUS offensive resources with a gain of 2 km2 over the last weekπ
2/ Central segment, #Siversk-#Bakhmut
#Bakhmut, on the 260th day of the siege, is the place of the main concentration of RUS offensive resources with a gain of 2 km2 over the last weekπ
7/n #Ukraine May 1st
Demonstrative map by @flying Chicken3 shows the slow conquest of #Bakhmut which should logically fall and offer #Prigozhin, his Victory laurels
Note that at the rate of 2 km2, it will not be done by May 9 (5 km2 remain)...
Demonstrative map by @flying Chicken3 shows the slow conquest of #Bakhmut which should logically fall and offer #Prigozhin, his Victory laurels
Note that at the rate of 2 km2, it will not be done by May 9 (5 km2 remain)...
https://twitter.com/i/status/1652646262720589825/video/1
8/n #Ukraine May 1st
But there is a downside: the salient formed by the Russians in the N (& S), after the breakthrough #Yavkovlivka -> #Soledar, which destabilized πΊπ¦ defense & allowed to advance into #Bakhmut
#Prigozhin cares & fears being caught out
But there is a downside: the salient formed by the Russians in the N (& S), after the breakthrough #Yavkovlivka -> #Soledar, which destabilized πΊπ¦ defense & allowed to advance into #Bakhmut
#Prigozhin cares & fears being caught out
https://twitter.com/i/status/1652978155727081473/video/1
9/n #Ukraine May 1st
In all things, we must look beyond appearances: #Bakhmut will fall (perhaps) but this "victory" masks military fragilities (salients, attrition rate) that will (perhaps) prepare tomorrow's defeats
Let us beware of appearances
In all things, we must look beyond appearances: #Bakhmut will fall (perhaps) but this "victory" masks military fragilities (salients, attrition rate) that will (perhaps) prepare tomorrow's defeats
Let us beware of appearances
https://twitter.com/i/status/1652978159778684929/video/1
10/n #Ukraine May 1st
(i) In the ramparts,
Around last πΊπ¦ post in #Bakhmut, π·πΊ hold tightens a bit more but without changing πΊπ¦-ctrl quadri :
-Kraina str to the NW (running houses to T-0504)
-W limits of the city
-Tchaikovsky str (T-0504) to the SW
(i) In the ramparts,
Around last πΊπ¦ post in #Bakhmut, π·πΊ hold tightens a bit more but without changing πΊπ¦-ctrl quadri :
-Kraina str to the NW (running houses to T-0504)
-W limits of the city
-Tchaikovsky str (T-0504) to the SW
11/n #Ukraine May 1st
(ii) Outside the walls,
Hard and bloody hand-to-hand fighting towards #Khromove north of the evacuation corridor kept it open at 55Β° angle and 5 km wide
T-0504, O-0506 and the byways ensured the supply of the garrison
(ii) Outside the walls,
Hard and bloody hand-to-hand fighting towards #Khromove north of the evacuation corridor kept it open at 55Β° angle and 5 km wide
T-0504, O-0506 and the byways ensured the supply of the garrison
12/n #Ukraine May 1st
3/ segment S, #Avdiivka-#Vuhledar
There is a symmetry between #Bakhmut & #Vuhledar
The impossibility of π·πΊ to take the stronghold head-on leads them to go around it by the flanks, further and further, and to inflate their salients, especially to the north
3/ segment S, #Avdiivka-#Vuhledar
There is a symmetry between #Bakhmut & #Vuhledar
The impossibility of π·πΊ to take the stronghold head-on leads them to go around it by the flanks, further and further, and to inflate their salients, especially to the north
13/n #Ukraine May 1st
But there is a difference with #Bakhmut: the Russians have not put a foot in the ramparts
Their tactical situation has the same fragilities as in #Bakhmut and they are also resorting heavily to artillery
But there is a difference with #Bakhmut: the Russians have not put a foot in the ramparts
Their tactical situation has the same fragilities as in #Bakhmut and they are also resorting heavily to artillery
https://twitter.com/i/status/1652907461714620416/video/1
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