HAPPENING NOW: Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan could be defeated in the country’s presidential election this month. What are the driving issues?
FP's @stevenacook: "The major issues that are animating Turks throughout this election have really been the economy, which has struggled for years now. ... Erdogan's management of the economy is an issue."
Q: What is Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's legacy?
@MiddleEastInst's @gonultol: "It depends on who you talk to. ... Before he came to power, Turkish democracy was never perfect. But I think he took this centralization of power to a whole new level. I think that's how he… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
FP Live: "I think one of the main impacts of the earthquake was, there was a surge in support for Erdogan before the earthquake hit. And that surge stopped because of the earthquake," explains @MiddleEastInst's @gonultol. buff.ly/40Wy8iZ
Q: When you have tough economic times, usually the incumbent becomes unpopular. And yet, Erdogan is still very much in the running. Why?
@CFR_org’s @stevenacook: "It speaks to this kind of elected autocracy that he has created, which also has a cult of personality."
FP Live; "Given the economic problems in [Turkey], given the devastation of the earthquake, it is surprising that Erdogan is even in the game. ... It speaks to a polarized society where people are going to vote regardless of what their pocketbook says. [This election] is based on… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
FP Live: "Young people are a very important constituency. Millions of young people will be voting, and #Erdogan is not popular among them. An overwhelming majority of the young people will be voting for #Kilicdaroglu because they cannot see a future for themselves in this… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Q: If Kilicdaroglu were to become president, how would his Turkey be different from Erdogan's?
@CFR_org’s @stevenacook: Kilicdaroglu is banking on the fact that Turks have grown tired of Erdogan's tough-guy approach to politics. He's playing up that he is the man who can bring… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
From our newsroom: #Erdogan has gained impressive amounts of power during his political career. The question now is whether he will relinquish it when the time comes, @silvermanreuben writes.
From our newsroom: If #Kilicdaroglu wins, some Turkish and Western commentators believe #Turkey can once again be democratic, prosperous, ready to pursue membership in the European Union, and better aligned with its NATO allies. foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/14/tur…
Up next on FP Live: Join FP reporters @christinafei, @JackDetsch and @RobbieGramer for an in-depth discussion about how Washington is thinking about Beijing now.
Thread: As the war in Ukraine rages on, China’s relationship with Russia grows. What is Beijing’s current state of play with Moscow?
And while China is sweetening its relations in one place, how is it souring it in others? 🧵
2/ In his visit to Moscow on Feb. 22, top Chinese diplomat Wang Yi called the China-Russia alliance “as stable as Mount Tai,” signaling to onlookers that China will not shy away from closer ties to Russia. foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/22/chi…
3/ “China may already be providing non-lethal military aid to Russia, according to U.S. officials. Supplying weaponry would be a major escalation—but a plausible one in the current geopolitical context,” @BeijingPalmer argues. foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/22/chi…
HAPPENING NOW: Ever since Washington passed its Inflation Reduction Act, lawmakers in Europe and Asia say the U.S. is fostering unfair competition. Is it?
2/ “Even as Putin’s war has undermined Russia on the geopolitical stage, we should not overlook the fact that Russia has succeeded in severely weakening Ukraine on the ground,” argues @GrahamTAllison in his overview of Putin’s methods thus far. foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/23/rus…
3/ Since the start of the invasion, Russian troops have seized 11 percent of Ukraine’s territory. When combined with land seized from Russia’s annexation of Crimea in '14, that means Russia now controls almost 1/5 of the country, notes @GrahamTAllison. foreignpolicy.com/2023/02/23/rus…
HAPPENING NOW: U.S. Midterm elections are approaching. How will federal spending on Ukraine be impacted by the results? What about relations w/ China, climate change, and trade?
Q: What happens if Republicans regain control of just the House?
@JackDetsch: "Republicans are likely to use the Democrats' most famous bumper sticker slogan against them: It's the economy, stupid." He explains why: foreignpolicy.com/live/reporters…
Q Pt. II: What happens if Republicans regain control of just the Senate, as well as House?
@JackDetsch: "It would be a major handicap for the Biden administration—but it's not the silver bullet." Detsch explains it could trigger a lame duck period: foreignpolicy.com/live/reporters…
As Chinese President Xi Jinping prepares for a coronation, FP's China experts are examining the country’s future—and all the internal conflicts therein: buff.ly/3Vjx2fv
2/ “Xi’s rule has been anything but normal,” explains FP’s @BeijingPalmer in our latest China Brief. The timing of China’s Party Congresses offers a glimpse into the instability of China’s recent political past. foreignpolicy.com/2022/10/12/chi…
3/ China faces tough choices on how to restore the country’s economic momentum. The new Xi leadership team can either kick the can down the road or decide whether a leader who seems to brook no criticism bites the bullet now, writes FP’s @hofrench. foreignpolicy.com/2022/10/13/chi…
HAPPENING NOW: What are Washington’s foreign-policy priorities for the United Nations General Assembly? FP's @RaviReports is speaking with @USAmbUN Linda Thomas-Greenfield as she answers these questions, and more: buff.ly/3RQr9Uy #UNGA77
.@USAmbUN Linda Thomas-Greenfield: What Russia is doing in Ukraine "constitutes war crimes. We have to absolutely continue to expose what they're doing and hold them accountable."