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Tim Skellett Profile picture
@Gurdur
May 10 • 10 tweets • 6 min read Twitter logo Read on Twitter
1/ I was asked by a friend what the current state of #COVID19 is, in practical terms. So I'll add to this thread slowly over time.
First off, every country will get 3 or 4 waves a year. It never was, and won't become any time soon, a seasonal virus.
nature.com/articles/d4158…
2/ People still dying from #COVID19, everywhere at least ten times the usual death-toll from the flu. As-of-the-moment average death-toll from covid is estimated at 140 to 190 a day for the USA; keep in mind that's an under-estimate (b/c under-reporting) cdc.gov/coronavirus/20… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
3/ Despite covid deaths being at very least 10x what's normal for flu in comparison (way over 10x for the USA just from flu alone), hospitalizations aren't so big at most times. However, one major worry is #LongCovid, in up to 10% (!) of covid-infections.
who.int/europe/news-ro…
4/ Keep in mind covid re-infections, each with #LongCovid risk. Next major worry is concomitant or subsequent infections, e.g. Strep A (covid stuffs up the immune system awhile). Warning: the article below repeats the sheerly wrong myth of "#ImmunityDebt"
cbc.ca/news/health/sp… twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
5/ Next, risk of mental effects. Maybe it comes under #LongCovid, but psychiatric illness is a known possible side-effect after some viral infections. Some still hold that the Spanish Flu, 1918~1921, caused encephalitis lethargica (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Encephali…)
6/ The article below, now over a year old, still holds true. We're still in the middle of the covid pandemic, not at its end. Very nasty surprises are still a big possibility for the future, which is the main point here.
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/…
7/ Yes, deaths & hospitalizations much lower than in April~December 2020, owing to vaccinations. Don't rely on covid re-infections for 'vaccination'; you run a risk every time. Make sure to get a booster at least once a year. Covid mutates, covid respawns.
8/ Covid (SARS 2) has mutated so much since March 2020 some argue the newest should be called SARS 3. Yes, multivalent vaccines against all covid strains already exist, & nasal vaccines, except governments are unwilling to financially help mass-roll-outs, so they don't get done. twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
9/n This old November 2020 thread of mine has aged really well. Don't believe or trust anyone who tries telling you the myth that viruses mutate to become less lethal; often they don't, sometimes they mutate to become more lethal.
twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
10/10 Where are we now? Societies could do far more against #covid19 (e.g. face-mask mandates in healthcare, HEPA filters & CO2 gauges in all public indoors-spaces, new vaccines), but they refuse to; money! Muh freedumb! We simply can't predict what will happen, what comes next twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

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More from @Gurdur

Tim Skellett Profile picture
May 10
I have several books by Matthew Hughes, all inspired by Jack Vance, but I don't yet have "The Gist Hunter and Other Stories". Thanks for the tip!
Yes, Jack Vance is one of my all-time top-fav's. Yes, I have every single damn book of his, even the pseudonym ones
I do indeed need to collect more @MichaelSwanwick. Eventually I will.

As always, whether with knowing languages, free-climbing, DIY, woodwork, intelligence, maths, culture, or can-do, etc., muh tweeps just live to shame me.
{joke}
twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 4 tweets
Tim Skellett Profile picture
May 10
1/n This is more of a private thread, so only tweeps can reply, but it also has hints for those of y'all who want to convert anyone to something.

First up, never use the phrase, "Genuine question". That's a dead giveaway 95% of the time that you're lying. twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
2/ If you want to ask someone question, ask them. Don't dismiss the answers you get given {subtweet!}. Don't go to town arguing against the answers given if it's not vital. I'm sometimes guilty of the last myself.

Above all, respect matters of personal taste
(unless important).
3/ If someone posts a list of their favourite fiction authors, don't go hogwild on them telling them they read the wrong authors, or don't read enough of those you consider the right ones to read. You're being an arrogant boor. Feel welcome to make suggestions; but don't flame twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
Read 9 tweets
Tim Skellett Profile picture
May 8
I'm watching a movie called "Fall - Fear Reaches New Heights". This is like an arachnophobe watching a movie all about spiders, chockabloc full of spiders, over-brimming with spiders.
I would be happier with the spiders. I can handle spiders. Depths are a different matter. Spiders don't give me vertigo.
I think that's awfully anti-natalist of you. Have a heart for the babies. Also, spiders are our friends. We'd all be dead if spiders didn't exist; spiders keep down the insects that would otherwise attack us or the crops we depend upon.

Read 18 tweets
Tim Skellett Profile picture
May 8
1/n This is a worthy opinion, but I'm going to disagree with this strongly, in a complex way, with some examples from my own experience. First off, the "weak" part is a moral judgment, not a physical one; I grant the difference can get vague, which raises its own problems.
2/n The actual situation at hand is Jordan Neely. The scene of his death is as yet inadequately documented; according to eye-witnesses, he burst into a subway carriage, threatening passengers. He was physically restrained by Daniel Penny & others. Neely died. That much is clear
3/n What else's clear is Neely had a record of violently assaulting others, apparently all women. Some of those assaults are on record, others not (archive.is/yQpy5). There was an open warrant out on him for a violent attack on a 65-year-old woman.
nypost.com/2023/05/06/nyc…
Read 26 tweets
Tim Skellett Profile picture
Apr 28
1st point of that paper just inadequately rehashes old ground, i.e. any injection can be viewed as physical assault: covered routinely in med ethics & ed, no?
2nd point seems mere emo over-extension, claiming thusly all mandates are like sexual harassment
i.e. you can argue/state that if someone really wants to refuse a vaccination, they have a right to.

You're on far more shaky, illegitimate ground if you then contend that means vaccination-refusers are not liable to effects of mandates (e.g. employment in #healthcare work)
Yeah, no, this paper is total emo crap. From that paper:
Shot:
"We will thus be discussing issues that are so emotionally loaded, and in so many ways, that it is difficult to undertake a dispassionate discussion without potentially arousing virulent anger..."
Read 5 tweets
Tim Skellett Profile picture
Apr 28
The entire slogan about parents not 'owning' their children is a bogus duplicity, relying on ambiguity. As for shocking behavior, claiming that minors *need* health-harming medications and destructive surgeries to 'be themselves' is magnitudes more shocking.
Reminder: this operation:
— was inherently highly dangerous
— at the same time as completely unnecessary;
— used a risky procedure because of previous puberty-blockers;
— would have had an unsatisfactory outcome even if successful;
— caused his death.
twitter.com/i/web/status/1…
This requires repeating 3 points:
a/ Medicalizing minors in ways that directly act against body health is simply wrong. All arguments for transition rely on very dodgy psychological claims, because negative effects on physical health are just too obvious.
Read 8 tweets

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