1. With the #Ivanivske road supply-line reopened, #Wanger forces can't hope to starve the remaining #Ukrainian forces fighters like they did in #Mariupol. #Prigozhin, fearful of encirclement, announced he was going to withdraw but the Kremlin threatened him with treason charges.
2. So Prigozhin is likely to increase the pace in hopes of defeating the Ukrainian force but there's little evidence he will succeed. At the end of a few days Prigozhin is expected to declare victory and turn Bakhmut's over to the Russian army
3. and try to escape with his mercenary army what he knows is a likely encirclement.
Wednesday saw more Ukrainian advances mostly in the area to the south approaching #Klishchiivka that could be in play soon. Ukrainian forces moving towards Klishchiivka advanced so fast that
4. at times they took fire from Russian forces from their rear as they continued to advance. Klishchiivka is defended with trench complexes that interestingly are visible on Google Earth Pro. Here is the settlement. The white circle is the area of the next photo.
5. I've highlighted the path of the Russian trench lines. This is on Google Earth Pro. I don't understand why the Ukrainians have not begun combined arms tactics here. Flat ground with some roads. NATO supplied MBTs and IFVs could roll over this ground in short order.
6. Employing unsupported dismounted infantry when there are three Ukrainian tank units nearby is hard to comprehend. The Ukrainians protect their tanks like they were Fabergé eggs. At some point they have to jump in and see what they can do with the new western tanks.
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1. I've pondered SCOTUS' Trump immunity case and conclude it has a flaw that will easily support its overturning.
Roberts claims POTUS has near-unlimited power but then, without authority, strips away the
2. power of the Executive to employ the Executive branch's records to punish a traitor who refused to relinquish power after losing an election. If POTUS is so powerful and the Federal
3. records are within the control of the Executive, how can the Black Mumu gang seize control of them to deny the Executive branch the power to punish an anti-democratic traitor who levied war on the Capitol?
1. The standard briefing order is fairly expedited as is. I think he's looking at other alternatives with the 4th floor. With the case shut down they can empanel a grand jury in DC or NJ to look at a foreign dissemination charge.
2. Cannon lost jurisdiction. Her order can easily be overcome by simply giving the prosecution to the Deputy who puts Matt Olsen at the National Security Div in charge. He can onboard Jack Smith as part of his
3. team and delegate the case to him and the PIN team. Easy Peasy. There's no conflict that the Special Conflict reg addresses, never was. Garland is just careful to a fault and sometimes that will be exploited. They need
1. Putin is in trouble. His economy is starting to show signs of damage from sanctions and war costs that he can't hide. He needs to expand the conflict without actually getting into a fight with our superior forces.
2. Our reaction to these provocations should be to give more support to Ukraine. Make clear that it won't stop. Focus on Kremlin elite. Announce coming wave of sanctions against them and their extended families.
3. With Trump's campaign imploding, the elite may not be willing to allow Putin more time. His call for more ethnic cleansing puts every member of the government and military at risk for the Hague.
1. My money's on the Kremlin having a big book on James Donald Bowman, aka James David Bowman, aka Jimmy Hamel nka JD Vance. Kremlin thinks Trump made a critical mistake nominating him for VP.
2. If I'm right, about the Kremlin book on him and the desire to get rid of him, I'd expect some very damaging Kompromat to be teed up. I'm watching former James Donald Bowman to announce he's leaving race
3. for "personal reasons." As we all know, being exposed by the SVR is a very personal matter. Dig into his finances and personal proclivities. The Russians find secrets then use money to recruit their marks.
1. I'm concerned @LeaderMcConnell is calling for Biden to step down, IMO likely part of ongoing coup conspiracy. By jamming up Congressional choice for new VP that Biden's withdrawal would necessitate
2. a single assassination would allow the deviant anti-democratic @SpeakerJohnson to become president. Kamala will have the @SecretService detail of a POTUS nominee, a VP and the Football. That's enough.
3. in the mean time, Trump has advocated violence and is charge with what amounts to an attempted overthrow of the Constitution by violent means and should not be given a massive detail he can leverage
1. The billionaire class wants to make sure they don't have to give back the loot. We're stuck because they also fund our campaigns. We have to cut the cord with the people who seek to pass the cost of governance to
2. the working class. The only way is for the working class to fund our campaigns. We need a party commitment that one of first things that comes in 2025 is a 70% effective rate on the super rich. That can peel-
3. off some less-ideological Trump voters and create chaos among the people who think they run everything. In that chaos actors will realign. The compromise will still be enough. The great corruptors who bought our