Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
May 18, 2023 6 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1. With the #Ivanivske road supply-line reopened, #Wanger forces can't hope to starve the remaining #Ukrainian forces fighters like they did in #Mariupol. #Prigozhin, fearful of encirclement, announced he was going to withdraw but the Kremlin threatened him with treason charges. Image
2. So Prigozhin is likely to increase the pace in hopes of defeating the Ukrainian force but there's little evidence he will succeed. At the end of a few days Prigozhin is expected to declare victory and turn Bakhmut's over to the Russian army
3. and try to escape with his mercenary army what he knows is a likely encirclement.

Wednesday saw more Ukrainian advances mostly in the area to the south approaching #Klishchiivka that could be in play soon. Ukrainian forces moving towards Klishchiivka advanced so fast that Image
4. at times they took fire from Russian forces from their rear as they continued to advance. Klishchiivka is defended with trench complexes that interestingly are visible on Google Earth Pro. Here is the settlement. The white circle is the area of the next photo. Image
5. I've highlighted the path of the Russian trench lines. This is on Google Earth Pro. I don't understand why the Ukrainians have not begun combined arms tactics here. Flat ground with some roads. NATO supplied MBTs and IFVs could roll over this ground in short order. Image
6. Employing unsupported dismounted infantry when there are three Ukrainian tank units nearby is hard to comprehend. The Ukrainians protect their tanks like they were Fabergé eggs. At some point they have to jump in and see what they can do with the new western tanks. Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tim Hogan 浩勤

Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TimInHonolulu

Dec 2
HTS knows that their leader has a drone strike target pined to his tunic. His complicity with Turkey is apparent. The board is being reset. Military aircraft do no appear to be moving but yesterday and today show a large number of executive jets in the region that tells me
the players are talking but don't trust the phone. That could mean that what they are planning bad for the west. After Israel's brutal treatment of Palestinian civilians it was only a matter of time for the retaliatory blood letting to begin.
The Kurds, Christians and Yazidis appear to be the targets. I still don't have trustworthy data on SNA and HTS force size and capability. With all the noise on social media I find it shocking that there is nothing on this critical data.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 28
I spotted the Kremlin sock puppets during the 2016 campaign because I'd seen them while covering Ukraine. What I have seen recently on Twitter aka X is that Generative AI is being used to steer the tariff discussion. I don't have time or the will to engage so I
simply block the accounts once I am relatively sure of their origin. My suspicion is that the tariff absurdity is straight out of the SVR and Trump adopted it as a condition of Elmo being the Kremlin source of cash to win the election. I think Trump is backing away from Elmo
not just because he doesn't like sharing the spotlight but also because he may be getting warnings, similar to what he got after he was sworn, about Flynn that were the result of nitwits like Flynn and now Musk not knowing how FISA works.
Read 5 tweets
Nov 3
1. I have supported a two-state solution to the conflict in #Palestine for my entire life. I agree that #Netanyahu's conduct of the war in #Gaza violated the the law of armed conduct and could support charges of #genocide. I don't believe that #Arab and
2. other #Muslim Americans' lives will be somehow improved if #Trump is elected.
Political power comes from coalitions. Working on campaigns, being reliable partners when the call comes is how my #Irish ancestors gained political power.
3. Using threats to not vote as leverage against the only party that protects you only serves to isolate your vital growing part of the electorate from becoming a powerful voice in American politics. We support you. It's now time for you to support the cause.
Read 4 tweets
Nov 2
1. It’s been eight years since Comey dropped his October surprise. When I witnessed what he did, I knew Hillary was going to lose. Her historic negatives, closeness to election day and a massive Kremlin-run sock-puppet army combined with the fact that it dropped
2. too close to the election for Hillary to have time to recover. I began working on life under the fascist creature before the election day in 2016 and I’m still working. It's 100 hours to D-Day and this time, in sharp contrast to 2016, I have zero anxiety.
3. I’ve looked at the fundamentals, the closing arguments and the nature of the electorate engagement and I don't see any signs Trump is actually going to win. When a candidate threatens to arrest and shoot their detractors it generally makes polls unreliable.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 28
1. What's Trump's long game where he appears to have given up trying to win? Moving further to extreme right is insanity in this close race. Why would he do that? I think the facts we currently have strongly suggest he's being bribed most likely by Putin with Musk as an agent.
2. His mission is to destroy America. He showed us today what it will look like. He's preparing his brown shirts to once again take to violence. Damaged people like Mike Johnson who looks like an a Kompromat victim is going to help. But this isn't 2021.
3. Trump no longer controls any levers of the executive branch that gave him the means to attempt a coup. Trump is on felony post-conviction release in NY and under terms of release in DC. Criminal conduct after the election exposes him to loss of liberty. So what's his plan?
Read 7 tweets
Oct 19
What Trump and his big money supporters don't get is, if there's a plan to commit crimes to overturn this election & funders & others know of the illegal purpose & agree to it, all it takes is one overt act by one conspirator to trigger criminal conspiracy liability for all.
Their criminal exposure doesn't await the outcome of the election and the execution of the plan. Their crimes were already committed when they agreed. It's obvious what Trump is planning. Imagine he's a bank robber who is awaiting trial for robbing a certain bank.
While on pretrial release he makes clear he's going to rob the same bank again. What do you think the police are going to do? Now add that the biggest funder is building rockets that Putin and the Russian military fear. Luring him into a crime that destroys him and his rocket
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(