Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
Jun 3, 2023 10 tweets 6 min read Read on X
1. Today Russian insurgents attacked from NE of #Kharkiv and engaged and destroyed Russian amor that was lured into an engagement with infantry supported by tanks of the #RussianVolunteerCorps. Image
2. The reports conflict but it appears the two tanks in support of mounted infantry entered Russia west of where the insurgent forces attacked on Thursday when the insurgents attacked Russian FSB forces at a border control point south of #Shebikino.
3. Thursday Russia moved in and insurgents withdrew back into Ukraine but successfully fixed the Russian mechanized forces for today's attack. With the Russian mechanized forces near of #Shebekino, rather than attack the border control point again, the insurgents Image
4. attacked 2.5 km SW and on other the other side of the #SiverskyDonetsRiver with two tanks and several trucks with infantry forces. The Russian armored forces moved to engage from the other side of the river. Reports vary but it appears that one insurgent tank was Image
5. damaged but was able to withdraw while the remaining insurgent forces destroyed three Russian tanks and moved into the settlement of #Tavolzhanka. There were reported insurgent artillery strikes on #Shbekino that was put into panic. Amid growing fears in #Shbekino Image
6. the insurgents hacked the local radio and broadcasted there will be a referendum Sunday and called for support for establishment of #PeoplesRepublicOfBelgorod that sent Russians fleeing in panic and abandoning the city. In addition, insurgent forces threaten attacks in ImageImage
7. the area to the west attacked on 23 May and in #Valuyki that is 170 km to the east. This could be a feint but it caused Russian forces to deploy to try to cope with the two possible new areas of insurgent attacks. Russia appears poised to lose its first city. Image
8. I find Thursday's big European leaders' meeting in #Moldova particularly interesting and satisfying in the context of today's developments and the news about the #PeoplesRepublicOfBelgorod. Moldova shares a recent history of Russian aggression with #Ukraine. Image
9. Over seven years ago Putin's threatened Moldova and Odessa with creating the Budjak republic. Image
10. 🇲🇩🇺🇦✌️ Image

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Aug 17
1. If Putin declares he'll revert to nuclear weapons to save his corrupt regime from ignominious defeat, we should consider a declaration of war with a commitment of no first-use of nuclear weapons that takes that threat off the table. But what that declaration would do is this:
2. The moment POTUS signs the simple majority joint resolution of a declaration of war, all Russian national assets of any kind in the US or subject to US control become the permanent, irreversible property of the US Custodian under the Trading with the Enemy Act.
3. Trust me that this is so because my extended family lost all their US holdings twice in the two World Wars and they had to work to buy them back for full market value. It took decades. Every Oligarch would be wiped out. All state assets gone forever. Any transfers to avoid it
Read 6 tweets
Aug 17
1. I first read Roe v. Wade when it was released in 1971 during the year I had taken off before college. During that time my views were shaped working at the nation's oldest Women's college in my home town. I was a feminist and remain so today.
2. Much later, I took a PhD level Constitutional law class at @UMassAmherst. Then I won the ConLaw Am Jur in Law school. I have thought long and hard about Roe. This won't be well-received but Roe was not a good decision.
3. It was a good legislative compromise but that is not the Judicial branch's function. Roe's flaw was hard-wired because the Court could not touch the third-rail of religious beliefs. That is the flaw in most of the arguments we hear on both sides. Simply stated,
Read 15 tweets
Aug 14
1. @Fortune500 CEOs think they can join a fascist coup to overturn our democracy and install a person who proclaims he will be a dictator without consequence. These pro-fascist CEOs think we are powerless.
2. We need to identify the CEO's who are supporting Trump. Donor records are a good start but we can add evidence of their support from many sources. Once we have clear evidence of their support for the fascist dictator wannabe we then brand the company they
3. manage as a "Fascist Managed Company." Make it the new corporate brand based on the CEO's decision to put corporate interests second to the CEO's support for Trump. Once a Fascist Managed Company is listed, it should remain listed until directors replace the CEO.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 11
1. Putin's foolish strategy in #Donbass that made places like #Bakhmut worth 50 thousand Russian Army casualties, has had long-term impact on Russian force readiness that is now coming home to roost. Two regiments are on the border and might be able to assist in stemming
2. the rout shown here with yellow circles, are on the flank of the Kursk salient but were both burnt-up in Bakhmut and Chasiv Yar. These units were likely put there for show knowing that they did not have combat capability. They face envelopment by the growing salient. Image
3. There are essentially no Russian ground forces between the Ukrainian salient near Kursk and Moscow. This map shows at the top yellow circle the Moscow outskirts and the bottom yellow circle is Kursk. The yellow vertical lines are the highways that run through the Steppe. The red flags are RussianImage
Read 8 tweets
Aug 10
1. I'm not going to be shocked that Iran is the source of the Trump hack but I'll wait for more information. Every authoritarian regime he's in bed with will go after the feeble weak clown in hopes to curry favor with the victor. They don't understand us.
2. The day Trump took credit for assassinating Qasem Soleimani, I knew Trump would regret it. Silence would have left ambiguity whether it was the Israelis. I still believe Trump green-lighted the missile attack on our base at Al Assad to try to appease the Quds Force.
3. I'll watch for something that expose Pompeo or his masters of the Koch machine in the hacked materials. When you spot incomplete revenge from a terrorist state, best to keep an eye on the targets.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 8
1. Could Trump be thinking about dropping out? Was the Mar-a-Lago Club presser branding instead of Trump Vance ticket deliberate signaling?
2. He has filed numerous Bankruptcy petitions so he knows how to push restart and leave the suckers behind.
3. However you view him it’s undeniable a high power AR round zipping right by his melon would put a physical coward like Trump into a funk.
Read 9 tweets

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