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#Ukraine June 18, updates from @escortert.
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS1 for today π
in two parts
-> PdS1, Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
-> PdS2, Louhansk-Siversk-Avdiivka areas & Background
Here is the PdS1 for today π
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+480 (18/06) PdS1 - Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
πΊπ¦ attack on the entire front line, including sectors where the offensive initiative is π·πΊ!
Is this preparation for the long-awaited main offensive movement?
challenge
#WarInUkraine D+480 (18/06) PdS1 - Dniepr-Donetsk offensive
πΊπ¦ attack on the entire front line, including sectors where the offensive initiative is π·πΊ!
Is this preparation for the long-awaited main offensive movement?
challenge
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1670418760690286598/video/1
2/n
Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, go back to chronicle NΒ°CDLXXIX of #GuerreEnUkraine π
(in French)
Unroll available on Thread Reader
Time machine,
If you've lost the thread, go back to chronicle NΒ°CDLXXIX of #GuerreEnUkraine π
(in French)
Unroll available on Thread Reader
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1670053932880601088?s=20
3/n
in blue, change to πΊπ¦
in red, change in favor of π·πΊ
for details, see development by sector below
in blue, change to πΊπ¦
in red, change in favor of π·πΊ
for details, see development by sector below
4/n
Lossπ ratio evolves unfavorably for πΊπ¦
Offensive begins to show its human and material cost
Casualty ratio falls from 1.58 to 1.21 since the southern offensive and from 1.02 to 0.78 after recovery, πΊπ¦ loses more equipment than π·πΊ, which is normal
Lossπ ratio evolves unfavorably for πΊπ¦
Offensive begins to show its human and material cost
Casualty ratio falls from 1.58 to 1.21 since the southern offensive and from 1.02 to 0.78 after recovery, πΊπ¦ loses more equipment than π·πΊ, which is normal
5/n
These figures are similar to those for the #Kharkiv-#Kherson offensive in 2022, and show cost control by the belligerents.
The offensiveπ axes diagram now shows progress along the axes (to be completed tomorrow).
These figures are similar to those for the #Kharkiv-#Kherson offensive in 2022, and show cost control by the belligerents.
The offensiveπ axes diagram now shows progress along the axes (to be completed tomorrow).
6/n
sector 1/in the #Bakhmut direction, πΊπ¦ no tactical gainπ
(i) #Bakhmut northern salient, πΊπ¦ and π·πΊ assault repulsed
In the #OrikhovoVasylivka axis, at the top of the northern salient, π·πΊ assaults repulsed
In the #Yahidne axis towards M-03, πΊπ¦ assaults repulsed
sector 1/in the #Bakhmut direction, πΊπ¦ no tactical gainπ
(i) #Bakhmut northern salient, πΊπ¦ and π·πΊ assault repulsed
In the #OrikhovoVasylivka axis, at the top of the northern salient, π·πΊ assaults repulsed
In the #Yahidne axis towards M-03, πΊπ¦ assaults repulsed
7/n
(ii) #Bakhmut city, NTR
(iii) #Bakhmut southern salient, πΊπ¦ assaults repulsed and π·πΊ very marginal tactical gain
In the #Maiorsk axis, π·πΊ very marginal tactical gain between CSD and T-0513π
t.me/AFUStratCom/18β¦
(ii) #Bakhmut city, NTR
(iii) #Bakhmut southern salient, πΊπ¦ assaults repulsed and π·πΊ very marginal tactical gain
In the #Maiorsk axis, π·πΊ very marginal tactical gain between CSD and T-0513π
t.me/AFUStratCom/18β¦
8/n
sector 2/in the #VelykaNovosilka direction, πΊπ¦ no tactical gainπ
#AFU have brought in several elite battalions and the glorious 93rd mechanized brigade to reinforce the 7 (23rd, 31st BrMe, 47th BrAr, 35th, 37th BrMa, 3rd and 4th BrB) already in place.
sector 2/in the #VelykaNovosilka direction, πΊπ¦ no tactical gainπ
#AFU have brought in several elite battalions and the glorious 93rd mechanized brigade to reinforce the 7 (23rd, 31st BrMe, 47th BrAr, 35th, 37th BrMa, 3rd and 4th BrB) already in place.
9/n
This attack corridor, some 20 to 25 km wide, becomes a priority πΊπ¦
(i) on the left flank in line with #Pryyutne, πΊπ¦ assaults on #Rivnopil
πΊπ¦ 'army advances towards #Rivnopil where π·πΊ , in a delicate position in a salient, fleeπ
This attack corridor, some 20 to 25 km wide, becomes a priority πΊπ¦
(i) on the left flank in line with #Pryyutne, πΊπ¦ assaults on #Rivnopil
πΊπ¦ 'army advances towards #Rivnopil where π·πΊ , in a delicate position in a salient, fleeπ
https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1670176928970469376/video/1
10/n
(ii) on the central axis towards #Staromlynivka, πΊπ¦ assaults on #Urozhaine so far without effect
(iii) on the right flank, in line with #Novodonetske, NTR
(ii) on the central axis towards #Staromlynivka, πΊπ¦ assaults on #Urozhaine so far without effect
(iii) on the right flank, in line with #Novodonetske, NTR
11/n
sector 3/ towards #Orikhiv, πΊπ¦ no tactical gains
(i) In the #Robotyne axis, NTR
NTR = no offensive, but artillery exchanges, recce, special operations (in short, a war of positions)
as here, the πΊπ¦ 47th Brig Meca destroys π·πΊ objectsπ
sector 3/ towards #Orikhiv, πΊπ¦ no tactical gains
(i) In the #Robotyne axis, NTR
NTR = no offensive, but artillery exchanges, recce, special operations (in short, a war of positions)
as here, the πΊπ¦ 47th Brig Meca destroys π·πΊ objectsπ
12/n
(ii) In the #Vassylivka axis, πΊπ¦ assaults with uncertain outcome
πΊπ¦ would have entered #Pyatikhatky but without controlling the colony, which would be in the gray zoneπ
(ii) In the #Vassylivka axis, πΊπ¦ assaults with uncertain outcome
πΊπ¦ would have entered #Pyatikhatky but without controlling the colony, which would be in the gray zoneπ
13/n
What is tactical value of #Pyatikhatky?
It commands access to T-0812π which joins the M-18 north of the #Vassylivka crossroads and has the advantage (and danger) of passing between the π·πΊ fortifications.
It will be difficult to control as it is dominated by the π·πΊ high
What is tactical value of #Pyatikhatky?
It commands access to T-0812π which joins the M-18 north of the #Vassylivka crossroads and has the advantage (and danger) of passing between the π·πΊ fortifications.
It will be difficult to control as it is dominated by the π·πΊ high
14/n
(iii) In the #Verbove axis, πΊπ¦ assaults halted
In this sector of the front, the battle is also fought trench by trench π
(iii) In the #Verbove axis, πΊπ¦ assaults halted
In this sector of the front, the battle is also fought trench by trench π
https://twitter.com/markito0171/status/1670176421669486592/video/1
15/n
In this area, the π·πΊ fire supports and their counter-battery resources must be reduced.
here, π·πΊ ground artillery reconnaissance station SNAR-10 "Leopard" destroyed π
https://t.co/kcy8FVKmem twitter.com/i/web/status/1β¦
In this area, the π·πΊ fire supports and their counter-battery resources must be reduced.
here, π·πΊ ground artillery reconnaissance station SNAR-10 "Leopard" destroyed π
https://t.co/kcy8FVKmem twitter.com/i/web/status/1β¦
16/n
It's also very important to destroy the π·πΊ dronesπ units, which are much more proficient with this new weapon than they were at the start of the conflict.
It's also very important to destroy the π·πΊ dronesπ units, which are much more proficient with this new weapon than they were at the start of the conflict.
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1670319223225057280/video/1
17/n
There are major movements of troops and equipment from the Russian rear to the frontπ
There are major movements of troops and equipment from the Russian rear to the frontπ
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1670112317093081094/video/1
https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1670135806147678210/video/1
18/n
Note: The variation in the area controlled by π·πΊ in the #Verbove axis (-12 km2) does not correspond to a concrete military movement but to an independent map adjustment.
Note: The variation in the area controlled by π·πΊ in the #Verbove axis (-12 km2) does not correspond to a concrete military movement but to an independent map adjustment.
19/n
A little message to the residents of #Berdyansk, #Melitopol, #Marioupol: "the little guys will be here soon!"
A message to the bad guys: "We are coming !"
A little message to the residents of #Berdyansk, #Melitopol, #Marioupol: "the little guys will be here soon!"
A message to the bad guys: "We are coming !"
20/n
Thanks to @escortert for this update
Source PdS1 June 18 :
Thanks to @escortert for this update
Source PdS1 June 18 :
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1670414559868231681
@escortert 21/n
June 18 part 2 (PdS2) is available here :
June 18 part 2 (PdS2) is available here :
https://twitter.com/applepie110101/status/1670471832204451840
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