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Velina Tchakarova Profile picture
@vtchakarova
Jul 12, 2024 • 1 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Meloni did it again. Image

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More from @vtchakarova

Velina Tchakarova Profile picture
Aug 18, 2025
A consequential day in Washington: Trump met Zelenskyy, then brought in key European leaders (UK, France, Germany, Italy, Finland, EU, NATO). Aim: outline a path to end the war while sketching “NATO-style” security guarantees for Ukraine.
A thread 🧵
While optics were notably more cordial than February, core shift: Trump said a ceasefire is not required to negotiate peace - flipping the usual sequencing (“deal first” vs “pause first”). 2/
This sets up the central split with Europe, which continues to argue that a credible ceasefire should precede talks. Security guarantees back on the table. Trump pledged the U.S. would help Europe provide Ukraine with robust guarantees. 3/
Read 17 tweets
Velina Tchakarova Profile picture
Aug 16, 2025
Just one day after meeting Putin in Alaska, Trump is inviting European leaders & Zelenskyy to the White House. The signal: no secret U.S.–Russia deal. Europe & Ukraine must be in the room. Here‘s why it matters.
👇
1/
Key revelation: Trump says Putin accepted that any peace deal would need Western troops in Ukraine to ensure durability, according to four senior officials. That’s a striking shift in the Kremlin’s posture.
2/
Signals:
1️⃣ Ukraine remains central to talks.
2️⃣ Europe is being pushed into burden-sharing.
3️⃣ Optics of unity are strong - but aid, sanctions & NATO roles could fracture consensus.
3/
Read 5 tweets
Velina Tchakarova Profile picture
Feb 22, 2023
As the first anniversary of Russia's war against Ukraine approaches, I am eager to present a detailed thread 🧵exploring key geopolitical assessments and takeaways. Join me in this critical reflection on the war and its implications for Europe and the world. #Geopolitics 👇
Ukraine faces the difficult choice between war and complete subjugation. Each successful military counteroffensive improves the chance of regaining lost territories and achieving full territorial integrity and sovereignty, as recognized by the international community since 1991.
However, for Russia, the choices were limited to a short war that failed in the first phase, & a war of attrition, which is the current reality. To adapt to the new situation, Russia has resorted to mass mobilization of reservists & air bombing critical infrastructure in Ukraine.
Read 40 tweets
Velina Tchakarova Profile picture
Oct 30, 2022
Ukraine will be able to restore its borders from 1991, when Ukraine gained its independence from Russia, by next year. And this will be a good opportunity to finish the war according to the head of Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence.
Thread 🧵 with key takeaways from his interview👇
The theoretical potential usage of nuclear weapons by Russia vs Ukraine is possible. Nobody is observing any preparations for a nuclear strike at Ukraine right now. Ukraine has never produced dirty bomb, had never planned, it's not planning & it's not going to plan such thing./1
Russia is using the narrative on the dirty bomb because it wants to force Ukraine into peace talks and wants to threaten the rest of the world so they would apply pressure to Ukraine to make a seat at the table of negotiations with Russia./2
Read 16 tweets
Velina Tchakarova Profile picture
Oct 13, 2022
US National Security Strategy is out. "PRC presents America’s most consequential geopolitical
challenge. Although the Indo-Pacific is where its outcomes will be most acutely shaped, there are
significant global dimensions to this challenge." #strategy whitehouse.gov/wp-content/upl…
"Russia poses an immediate and ongoing threat to
the regional security order in Europe and it is a source of disruption and instability globally but it lacks the across the spectrum capabilities of the PRC." p. 11
"The PRC and Russia are increasingly aligned with each other but the challenges they pose are, in important ways, distinct. We will prioritize maintaining an enduring competitive edge over the PRC while constraining a still profoundly dangerous Russia." p. 23 #DragonBear
Read 7 tweets
Velina Tchakarova Profile picture
Sep 25, 2022
It's time for a big thread 🧵 about the global triple crisis in fuel, food and fertilizers.
When it started, how it continues, and what lies ahead amid Russia's war on Ukraine in Europe and the growing Sino-American bifurcation of the global system. #realpolitik #geoeconomics
Food comes first.
@yaneerbaryam is the complex systems scientist who predicted the Arab Spring by indicating in his research in early 2011 that widespread violence would occur if skyrocketing global food prices (surging Food Price Index) were not reduced. vice.com/en/article/43y… Image
US policies on ethanol which means a huge amount of US corn is used to power cars rather than food & commodity market deregulation in late 90s were major cause of skyrocketing food prices. The peaks in the Food Price Index were the triggers of the food riots and the Arab Spring.
Read 68 tweets

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