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Ethan Profile picture
Ethan
@EthanOfHouseK
Servicing the interest on my sleep debt. Can't tell if I'm paying down the principal due to the complexity of somniacial instruments.
Oct 11, 2022 • 8 tweets • 6 min read
I've updated our Labor-vs-Coalition 2-party-preferred (2pp) calculator with data from the 2022 federal election!

It converts a set of first-preference votes into a 2pp estimate, and gives you some idea of the uncertainty. #auspol #ausvotes #auspseph

armariuminterreta.com/projects/austr… Some polls - like the #ResolvePM released today - don't provide 2pp estimates, so it's unclear who's leading and by how much from the vote estimates published.

armariuminterreta.com/projects/austr…

With this tool, we can see that the poll would result in a Labor landslide at an election, Image