A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
Dec 26, 2020 • 44 tweets • 20 min read
Since I spent the time pulling it together, thought I'd share a rough projection of #Redistricting2021 with #ElectionTwitter (notwithstanding some uncertainty). 1/34
This uses the Census Bureau's December apportionment estimates. bleedingheartland.com/2020/12/23/iow…@DrRyanPhd
Getting the 1-seat states out of the way: 2/34
• AK-DE-ND-RI-SD-VT-WY: 4R-3D
Moving on to GOP controlled states:
• ID & WV are uniformly red: 2 R each
• No reason to expect any changes in MS: 3R-1D
• Or AL: 6R-1D
• AR: 4R (they can probably make the 2nd uncompetitive)
NB: I try to maintain communities of interest & relatively compact maps; but compromise for D-maximization (may not comply with local rules). And I apply VRA as >50% primary (not total) pop.
Mar 28, 2020 • 42 tweets • 26 min read
My contribution to keeping quarantined #ElectionTwitter sane: A Tour of the 50 States*
Methodology:
