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In a strange scheme of things, at 14 confirmed grand total it also happens to be the highest grossing month in airplane department! And quite frankly, it's going to be hard to beat considering *the kind* of damage incurred, for the most part courtesy of operation 🕷️🕸️
As a matter of fact, it's ~1/3 of what it used to be some 6 months ago, although to be fair Oct/Nov 2024 was well above average.
Not only Mar but previous months beefed up as well. Oct/Nov 2024 is further through the 500 roof now. One thing's unchanged: it's been incredibly packed at 345 ±15 since last Dec.
Here's one number to comprehend the rate of this catch up thing: during last month we've created over 430 new entries but only 301 were attributed to it meaning the other 130+ went to previous months. Okay, three numbers.
Once again, Feb 2025 looks virtually indistinguishable from Jan, especially compared to through-the-roof-ish Oct/Nov last year. What's new is exactly zero captures last month, indicative of little frontline movement.
Jan 2025 just continues 📉 trend we started observing last Dec with monthly totals rapidly going down to ~50% of what they used to be just a couple months ago.
There's quite a few things we can learn just by looking at these numbers.
Evidence of older losses filling up recent months seems to be increasingly a thing lately: https://x.com/WarSpotting/status/1853476771301134767
3.171 tanks a day — is that a lot? The answer obviously depends on supply, which is a blurry subject. Here's one data point: 1500+ reported 🇷🇺 MBT deliveries in 2023.
Tentatively — because there's no such thing as T-90A Obr. 2010. There were couple updates seen on T-90A batches produced that year though, hence several attempts to use the designation.
First thing you notice is ~4.1k total 🇷🇺 losses, which is exactly 50% 😮 of 2022 totals (8.2k). What a dramatic drop, one might think, yet that's whopping 11 visually confirmed average losses a day, each day, all year long.
Loss severity distribution can tell you smth even if you haven't been following any news lately. Few captures with lot of destroyed vehicles, for instance, suggest heavy fighting with minimal gains. This is no revelation but rather confirming sitrep from Robotyne, Bakhmut.
The name of the place has since become an epitome of #RussianArmy incompetence as well as #Ukraine's ability to exploit it at the right time and in what appears to be incredibly efficient manner.
https://twitter.com/ukraine_map/status/1656346972431712263Longer range = lower accuracy. Let's imagine allies provided 🇺🇦 with long range ground strike means, and by damn chance 🇺🇦 hit residential building/hospital/school while aiming at 🇷🇺 military base around the corner, which is around pretty much every other corner as we all know /i
But since they are, here's some higher level view of what's #RussianArmy has been up to last month. First, with little over 300 losses added, it successfully attacked... 3000 figure for IFVs and 1700 for tanks lost, pretty much as expected.
But first: while average figures are quite reliable, daily counts not so much, since loss dates are almost never known accurately. Good example is Mar 30, seemingly the worst day with 166 recorded losses: ukr.warspotting.net/search/?bellig…
A lot, apparently. #Russia seems to have sustained unprecedented material losses. Total 533 lost units since Sep 6th to be precise: ukr.warspotting.net/search/?bellig… and counting. That's #Bilohorivka on steroids kind of things.