Last week holds 94 confirmed 🇷🇺 losses in 🇺🇦, back up from the week before (initially 63, now 77). At 13.4 daily losses it's poised to to catch up with this year's avg 15.6 by the next time we look at it.

Speaking of daily losses, day 1000 brings a brief moment of clarity ✨

1/ 3.171 tanks a day — is that a lot? The answer obviously depends on supply, which is a blurry subject. Here's one data point: 1500+ reported 🇷🇺 MBT deliveries in 2023.

Those aren't production, though, and even more so in #Russia where most of it is refurbishment of old stock.

2/

A bit belated #ThrowbackLoss:

#OTD (21 Mar) last year 🇷🇺 lost mere 5 vehicles in 🇺🇦. Fast rewind to 2022, and there were 25! Among them this what we tentatively call T-90A Obr. 2010 destroyed somewhere in Zaporizhzhia oblast.

1/ Tentatively — because there's no such thing as T-90A Obr. 2010. There were couple updates seen on T-90A batches produced that year though, hence several attempts to use the designation.

2/

With 2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣3️⃣ over now, how about we skip our mundane weekly update this time around and take a look back at the whole year behind instead, and what it felt like for 🇷🇺 in 🇺🇦? Somewhat-less-than-mega-🧵

1/ First thing you notice is ~4.1k total 🇷🇺 losses, which is exactly 50% 😮 of 2022 totals (8.2k). What a dramatic drop, one might think, yet that's whopping 11 visually confirmed average losses a day, each day, all year long.

2/

Let's take a quick look back at August and what it felt like for 🇷🇺 in 🇺🇦, shall we? 306 total losses mark rather significant decline compared to 350 in July. 10 confirmed losses a day are still in very much active phase ballpark, though. What's behind those numbers?
1/ Loss severity distribution can tell you smth even if you haven't been following any news lately. Few captures with lot of destroyed vehicles, for instance, suggest heavy fighting with minimal gains. This is no revelation but rather confirming sitrep from Robotyne, Bakhmut.
2/

It's Thursday meaning it's #ThrowbackLoss time! About this day year ago #Russia attempted Siverskyi Donets river crossing near Bilohorivka in Luhansk oblast. You've surely heard this name before. This photo dated exactly 11 May 2022 is why. The name of the place has since become an epitome of #RussianArmy incompetence as well as #Ukraine's ability to exploit it at the right time and in what appears to be incredibly efficient manner.

While hesitation with enabling 🇺🇦 attack capabilities leading to further protracting this war is undoubtedly the case, it's worth remembering the risks and - should we say - the other side of the coin.

https://twitter.com/ukraine_map/status/1656346972431712263

Longer range = lower accuracy. Let's imagine allies provided 🇺🇦 with long range ground strike means, and by damn chance 🇺🇦 hit residential building/hospital/school while aiming at 🇷🇺 military base around the corner, which is around pretty much every other corner as we all know /i

Here's the latest updates to documented material #Russia losses in #Ukraine as of today, and a brief overview of the past month in the micro-🧵 Although April might seem not that different from the past, it actually is, with total 203 recorded losses compared to 306 in March, and 347 in February.

Here's March updates to photo documented #Russia losses in #UkraineWar. These are not supposed to be monthly but since we've been busy with development and data processing lately *types with Rober De Niro voice* this is what it is 🤷‍♂️ But since they are, here's some higher level view of what's #RussianArmy has been up to last month. First, with little over 300 losses added, it successfully attacked... 3000 figure for IFVs and 1700 for tanks lost, pretty much as expected.

2️⃣0️⃣2️⃣2️⃣ Good, bad, or ugly, one thing's for sure: this year turned nothing like #Russia was hoping it would be. With ~26 average confirmed daily losses, it seems to have become one of the greatest material dumps in recent history. Or has it? Let's find out 🧵 But first: while average figures are quite reliable, daily counts not so much, since loss dates are almost never known accurately. Good example is Mar 30, seemingly the worst day with 166 recorded losses: ukr.warspotting.net/search/?bellig…

With fog of war settling down, and dozens of new losses being discovered daily as an aftermath of #Ukraine️'s counter-offensive in #KharkivOblast, we thought maybe it's time to stop for a moment and look back at what's been done 🧵 A lot, apparently. #Russia seems to have sustained unprecedented material losses. Total 533 lost units since Sep 6th to be precise: ukr.warspotting.net/search/?bellig… and counting. That's #Bilohorivka on steroids kind of things.