Mustafa Hirji Profile picture
Medical Officer of Health (Acting) @NRPublicHealth & @NiagaraEMS. Official Account. Also Assistant Professor (Part Time) @HEI_McMaster @McMasterU & #YEG expat.
Aug 26, 2021 5 tweets 3 min read
This isn't correct.

First, hospitalizations have risen with cases, albeit only a little so far. But hospitalizations lag cases, so we can expect it to rise much more.

Second, cases are overwhelmingly unvaccinated—vaccinations aren't protecting them from severity at all!

1/5 What's changed is older people, who are more at risk of severe illness, are also more vaccinated. So cases are more likely to be younger people at some lower risk of hospitalizations. Counterbalancing that is #DeltaVariant is ~3 times more likely to cause hospitalization. 2/5
Feb 14, 2021 6 tweets 3 min read
Thanks to everyone for their words of support this evening, including the #WeStandWithDrHirji tag. I’m deeply humbled by the volume & breadth of support. More importantly, I’m gratified that so many are speaking up against violent language—such discourse corrodes our unity. 1/6 The excessive anger of a few today should not distract from the suffering of many during this pandemic—of social isolation, of loss of income, of losing a business built through a life’s work. Frustration is understandable. Their tragedies aren’t receiving the attention I am. 2/6
Feb 11, 2021 7 tweets 5 min read
When the UK reopened from their fall lockdown (graph), cases were still high & variants were able to surge. The UK went back into lockdown within 3 weeks. Germany is learning from this & not reopening early. Today, the Ontario Science Table shows this is a lesson for us too. 1/7 Their modelling shows by mid- to late-March, Ontario could again be seeing record high daily cases. ICU occupancy would start increasing, before hospitals have even had a chance to get under their capacity threshold. Ontario is staring at another possible lockdown in 1 month. 2/7
Jun 24, 2020 8 tweets 6 min read
It's a hot topic why I'm not ordering a requirement to wear #masks at this time. To be clear, in alignment with @WHO, @PHAC_GC, & @CPHO_Canada, I absolutely recommend we wear #FaceCoverings when we can't keep 2 m #PhysicalDistancing. Here are 3 reasons why I don't require it: 1/8 1. Enforcement. A public health order requires a court filing and an appearance before a judge every time one wishes to enforce it on a person/business. An order would be basically unenforceable. If we don't enforce, it's effectively just a recommendation (already done that). 2/8