Jean-Paul R. Soucy Profile picture
Data-informed, values-driven.

Sep 19, 2020, 11 tweets

Quick #COVID19 #Canada update going into the weekend. This was a heck of a week.🧵

Percent change in 7-day rolling average of cases compared to one week ago:
SK: +76.0% 📈 (7.1/day ➡️ 12.6/day)
QC: +62.7% 📈 (192.3/day ➡️ 312.9/day)
ON: +62.6% 📈 (184.9/day ➡️ 300.6/day)
MB: +22.5% 📈 (17.1/day ➡️ 21.0/day)
BC: +10.1% 📈 (114.1/day ➡️ 125.7/day)

A small part of this story is the reporting of old, backlogged cases in Montreal and Vancouver, but mostly what we’re seeing is exponential growth.

globalnews.ca/news/7345015/b…

globalnews.ca/news/7340999/m…

And no, it aint’t just the (presently overwhelmed) testing, bro.

There’s good news buried in here too. #Alberta appears to be plateauing.

NL: +100.0% 📈 (0.1/day ➡️ 0.3/day)
AB: +2.7% ➖ (134.4/day ➡️ 138.0/day)
NB: +0.0% ➖ (0.1/day ➡️ 0.1/day)
PE: -75.0% 📉 (1.1/day ➡️ 0.3/day)
NS: -100.0% 📉 (0.1/day ➡️ 0.0/day)
NU, NT, YT: 0/day ➡️ 0/day

Atlantic Canada and the Territories are doing fine. #NovaScotia's (implicit) elimination strategy appears to be working.

atlantic.ctvnews.ca/no-active-case…

Deaths are starting to tick up in Canada’s three largest provinces.

% change in 7-day rolling average of deaths compared to 1 week ago:

BC: +400.0% 📈 (0.3/day ➡️ 1.4/day)
ON: +150.0% 📈 (0.6/day ➡️ 1.4/day)
QC: +125.0% 📈 (1.1/day ➡️ 2.6/day)
AB: -81.8% 📉 (1.6/day ➡️ 0.3/day)

Unsurprisingly, increased community transmission has led to outbreaks and deaths in nursing homes. What can be done? Ask @NathanStall. Remember, transmission among youth doesn’t stay among youth.

Get the #COVID19 #Canada #OpenData:
github.com/ishaberry/Covi…
opencovid.ca/api/

Find more maps and trends: art-bd.shinyapps.io/covid19canada/

Courtesy of the COVID-19 Open Data Working Group: opencovid.ca

About us: opencovid.ca/about/

Okay, signing off for the evening. Expect a more comprehensive analysis tomorrow, digging into region-level data. Good night!

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