JayEnAar Profile picture
Public health physician. Arriving at the right answer is important, but getting the question right is vital. The self-proclaimed expert is likely a charlatan

Sep 26, 2020, 7 tweets

This is of course - how most politely to put it - poppycock. Yes, the official so-called active cases count is dropping but that is not because India has the epidemic under control. New cases, officially, are at 85 k plus per day, deaths at 1100 a day.

Unofficially, of course, no one has a clue what the real numbers are. This is just the kind of false optimism and pseudo-science that today's Lancet editorial is all about. India is shoring up big real problems.
thelancet.com/action/showPdf…

This fetish with recovered cases is a peculiar affliction of those who want to put a falsely positive spin on the #epidemic. #Coronavirus infection is an illness that naturally recovers, (unless it kills). Recovery does not mean a bounce back to vigorous health for 10-15% of..

cases who suffer the long term sequelae of #LongCovid. If we wait long enough we'll have zero active cases. But the path to that #PyrrhicVictory over #Covid - a #nirvana of sorts - will be strewn with misery, a shattered economy, deaths and the morbidity of #longcovid.

This is the reality, 83,562 new #Infections last 24 hours, total infected to date 5.9 Million, 93k deaths . And that is just the officially reported numbers. #India accounts for 18% of the World's #Coronavirus cases (and 17.7% of the World's population), we're pulling our weight

This is India's epidemic curve, the only one that matters.

And this chart of time trend of cumulative cases and daily cases.

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