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Ben
Software Engineer • COVID-19 Research, Bioinformatics & Statistics · Articles: https://t.co/wBenUAhsnI · Genomics Chat: https://t.co/1u1eu12YgA

Aug 22, 2021, 15 tweets

So I took Michaels Excel spreadsheet, imported it into Google Sheets and added the following features:

✅ Automatic Case Import (via OWID)
✅ Smooth w/ Gauss Window Fun.
✅ Most Recent Outbreak Detection
✅ Country Selection
✅ J(t) Δmax calculation

1/n

#Covid #Covid19 #Corona

Let's look at the US.
Currently the 5th wave is in progress, predicted to peak on 8/28.

2/n

Canada predicted to peak 8/26.

3/n

Mexico predicted to peak 8/25.

4/n

Germany's latest wave just started, and no prediction appears to be possible. Likely going to be a huge wave...

5/n

Israel, also in it's 5th wave currently... Appears to peak 11/2
6/n

Let me know what you think :)

Spreadsheet here: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Here's Sweden! Predicted peak: 8/31

#Covid19 #Covid #Coronavirus #Corona

Here's Japan, predicted peak 9/14.

#Covid19 #Covid #Coronavirus #Corona

Australia's getting crushed with #Covid #Covid19!

No end in sight yet...

More Features:

Just made a version for US states.

docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…

Florida cases appear to have peaked!

Also added forecasting now.
For the US: Peak at 157k cases on 9/2.

Deaths are harder to forecast....

Here's an attempt: 1,563 deaths on 9/19

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