Mika Keski-Heikkilรค Profile picture
Fan of disruptive technologies like electric mobility and clean energy. Studying @AaltoUniversity Doctoral Programme in Electrical Engineering

Mar 5, 2022, 7 tweets

Feb 2022 update - #Nordic new personnel car registrations #BEV #PHEV #ICE per country ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ.

BREAKING: ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด&๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช 12-month BEV% accelerating! Monthly % well above 12-month moving average. ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ&๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ slowing down for Jan-Feb 2022, below the trend๐Ÿ™ 1/x

For the 1st time I need to make different linear predictions per country for the middle part of the #BEV s-curve.

According to this ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด will reach 100% by Dec 2023! ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช will reach 50% early 2024, ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ mid 2025 and ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ by the end 2025. 2/x

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด new personnel car market growth has stopped, but it looks very different to all other markets! This has helped ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด car fleet #electrification, >16% is already #BEV. elbil.no/om-elbil/elbilโ€ฆ

#ICE decline is a clear trend for both #diesel & #petrol, in that order. 3/x

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช car market is in decline. Current level 74% from the peak in Jun 2018. Will the growth start as in ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด?

#ICE market % in linear decline. #PHEV market % stalled at 25%, #BEV will soon take over. 4/x

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ new car registration is matching ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช. Current level is also 75% from the peak in Aug 2018.

Linear #ICE decline clearly visible as well. #PHEV market % stalling at 20%. 5/x
5/x

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ new car registrations is in recession, #Osborne effect in force. Current level is only 59% from the peak in Aug 2018 (75% ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ)!

Monthly #BEV% volatile. Peaks in registrations occur in the end of the year. Changes in policies? #Petrol market share higher than #Nordics. 6/x

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