J. like JJ 🇫🇷 🇺🇦 Profile picture
J'avais pris un nv compte pour me détendre... C'est raté. ex Night Owl - ex consultant - Nowadays cat specialist. Cartes, réflexions & Analyses... parfois.

Jul 15, 2022, 23 tweets

1/ Operational update regarding the #russian_invasion at 1850 on July 15, 2022.
No major changes on the entire front line. Russians conducted several assaults (next tweets) but had no real success #UAarmy resisted everywhere, but some areas are "hot"/confuse
#UkraineMap #Ukraine

2/ There are some conflicting reports and "evidence" produced by Ru sources from pseudo "true" official "videos" but some seems to have been taken 10 days ago when Ukr left #Lyssychansk
in next tweet i'll explain about #Siversk & #Bilohorivka

3/ There is 2 different things going on now : first vid was taken at the South West entrance of #Bilohorivka and as the topo TacMap shows it is perfectly possible as Russian can have settle there. there is two hill separate by a small river. no more evidence of total control

4/ Also there are other videos from the entry of #Siversk and even some reports from the ministry of obvious and BS have managed to report it (way to go #UK !) (sarcastic) in a manner of only a trainee would report something to his boss. read it.. it's mindboggling.
so in order

5/ to cut the BS from all the communication from Pro Russian canals (and now.. even @DefenceHQ )
Ukr officials (joint task forces) had to write down a rebuttal and debunk of this ccrazy idea (russians believes #Siversk is in full control of their troop without evidence). so..

6/ what could happens is 2 things. Ukr could have decided on one hand to start to fold back to a stronger line of defense and Also some Russian Reco groups could have made it up to the entry of the city (hence the pic) but rest assure no Russians holds #Siversk #Сіверськ

7/ Anyway this is only a huge com attempt by the Russians because overall this was another shitty day for them and they have to suck all the way through & with all the negativity from Ru for this new Afghanistan, they need to show some "dynamics"

8/

9/ Also the family of the " long-range " of the Ukrainian army has been replenished: the first rszv #M270 arrived! They will be good company for HIMARS in battlefield. Thank you to our partners. No mercy for the enemy. "stated the Minister of Defense of Ukraine Резніков Олексій

10/ as a result of new threats from Kremlin because of total appearance of Russian amo dump destroyed all day long by #Ukraine️ in this #UkraineRussianWar , Arestovych responded on Telegram this :
(which is spot on)

11/ Also as reported for quite some times (but not a lots of people believe in it) that's it! official! it has been voted. Ukrainian forces will be trained on US jet fighter (likely F-16 which can also make further dynamics w Poland)
it has already begun

12/ but even if it has already started from some time (with pre selection of best pilot able to translate to this programme) we might not see any F-16 before the end of the year at best. Also you need to totally protect all the air bases then. it's not Mig 29 going from highways

13/ as a result and as reported several times it seems that russian have more and more "incident" that "obliged" them to leave the battlefield...
incidents he says.

14/ i guess it takes a toll on Russians morale (on top of the real casualties and destruction of super important stocks / assets)
still burning hours ago

16/ ok so that would add up with the thousands in US, Poland and more than 10k in UK...
good.. now we 'talking!

17/ just a reminder to date : "40k dead are meaningless"
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said on Friday May 15, 2022 that Russia was only using an "insignificant part" of its military potential.
it was another war & period but we have to acknowledge Ru can still lose lot more

18/ i don't think they are ready to lose that much though.. but we can really envisionned a 80K total before RU side come forward with a voluntee of solution...
(if Putin is still alive then..)

19/

20/

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22/ Ru are clearly sending "messages" tonight after the several blow back they had about their amo dumps explosions...
but as weak ass with no good intel & shitty materials & maybe some GPS jamming involved they r hitting hard on civilians infrastructures

23/ The Russian regime is so "sick" right now...
it's like a dicease... fighting the good cells of your own body...

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