Nicolas Tenzer Profile picture
Sr civil servant fr dir @RevueLeBanquet chair @CERAP_Paris Guest Prof @PSIASciencesPo non-res. sr fellow @cepa Last book: Notre Guerre #geostrategy #humanrights

Jan 24, 2023, 6 tweets

If this US decision to send M1 #Abrams tanks to #Ukraine (despite some technicalities) were confirmed, it would be remarkable.
It certainly depends on the number.
With 200 or 300 #Leopard2, a real game-changer.
But time is of the essence.
#Thread 🧵
1/6
wsj.com/articles/polan…

First, we, democratic countries, must be clear about our goal: to give Kyiv the means to reclaim ALL the territories invaded since 2014 (including #Crimea).
We need to move from "Defend #Ukraine" to "Make #Ukraine win" and "Defeat Russia".
Let's be straightforward.
2/6

We must throw all our available forces into the battle: heavy tanks, long-range missiles, fighter planes — the only way to end the war as soon as possible.
The combination of these forces (+ military intelligence) will bring victory.
The longer we delay, the higher the cost.
3/6

But we must move quickly, very quickly, because everyone knows that spring will be decisive, and the problem is of course the time between now and the arrival of these weapons in numbers.
We must not let the Russians exploit this window of opportunity.
4/6

Every day that passes is counted in human lives lost. We are guilty of wasting time, far too much time.
As I already stated on 24 February, we had to go in immediately, massively.
The invocation of risks has always been a cover for our lack of strategic intelligence.
5/6

I do not exclude — I also said it at that time — that we would be obliged to make up for the immediate lack of weapons with our own means.
We doubtless have no other decent and strategically relevant choice.
6/6

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