If this US decision to send M1 #Abrams tanks to #Ukraine (despite some technicalities) were confirmed, it would be remarkable.
It certainly depends on the number.
With 200 or 300 #Leopard2, a real game-changer.
But time is of the essence. #Thread 🧵 1/6 wsj.com/articles/polan…
First, we, democratic countries, must be clear about our goal: to give Kyiv the means to reclaim ALL the territories invaded since 2014 (including #Crimea).
We need to move from "Defend #Ukraine" to "Make #Ukraine win" and "Defeat Russia".
Let's be straightforward. 2/6
We must throw all our available forces into the battle: heavy tanks, long-range missiles, fighter planes — the only way to end the war as soon as possible.
The combination of these forces (+ military intelligence) will bring victory.
The longer we delay, the higher the cost. 3/6
But we must move quickly, very quickly, because everyone knows that spring will be decisive, and the problem is of course the time between now and the arrival of these weapons in numbers.
We must not let the Russians exploit this window of opportunity. 4/6
Every day that passes is counted in human lives lost. We are guilty of wasting time, far too much time.
As I already stated on 24 February, we had to go in immediately, massively.
The invocation of risks has always been a cover for our lack of strategic intelligence. 5/6
I do not exclude — I also said it at that time — that we would be obliged to make up for the immediate lack of weapons with our own means.
We doubtless have no other decent and strategically relevant choice. 6/6
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A thread. 🧵
There are four reasons that might justify international intervention:
- coming to the aid of a state under attack—this is what should have happened in Georgia in 2008, in Ukraine in 2014, and still today. It was done in 1990–1991 after Iraq's illegal invasion... 1/7
of Kuwait;
- enforcing the responsibility to protect (R2P): this was done in the former Yugoslavia, albeit too late, and in Libya (first phase of the intervention). It should have been done in Chechnya, Syria, Sudan, Yemen, among others, now Afghanistan, but we did nothing. 2/7
Point 2 does not exclude point 1 (as in the case of Ukraine, for example: we must intervene against russia because it has committed aggression and because it is perpetrating a whole series of crimes that are not subject to any statute of limitations under international law); 3/7
Like every year, on April 30, I commemorate the liberation of the #Ravensbrück concentration camp on April 30, 1945.
28,000 never returned.
On that day, my mother, a member of the Resistance and political prisoner who had been deported there, “celebrated” her 25th birthday. 1/
She would have been 105 today.
On that day, Hitler committed suicide.
I have often recounted her story here on previous April 30ths, from her time in the Resistance to her career after the war.
I will not repeat it today.
2/
I will only recall this sentence, which continues to haunt me: “In the Resistance, my comrades and I were absolutely certain: we were facing absolute evil. We had no choice but to eradicate it.”
3/
Rappel au droit.
Un fil🧵
Les propos de B. Retailleau ont suscité une indignation légitime et fondée, accrue par ses fonctions actuelles.
Ils représentent un risque majeur.
Nous devons défendre l'#Etatdedroit et montrer ce qu'il implique. Il doit nous réunir.
Voici pourquoi.
1/16
L'Etat de droit suppose qu'il n'existe pas de souveraineté absolue d'un quelconque pouvoir.
Il définit une souveraineté limitée de chacun en vertu du principe libéral selon laquelle il ne saurait y avoir de domination de l'un d'entre eux.
C'est un régime d'équilibre.
2/16
Le point fondamental est que la supposée volonté du "peuple" est limitée par la Constitution et par l'ensemble des traités et conventions auxquels le pays a adhéré et qui sont, de fait et de droit, entrés dans l'ordre juridique interne.
Le législateur ne peut les bafouer.
3/16
I'm late in sharing some remarks collected by @cleacaulcutt for @POLITICOEurope (I was interviewed while I was in Chelm train station, Poland, on my return from Kyiv last Tuesday).
Great recent progres obviously, but my main questions remain.
⬇️ 1/4 politico.eu/article/ukrain…
“The Ukrainians are very concerned about what the real objectives of allied nations are,” said Nicolas Tenzer, author of “Our War,” a book about Ukraine. “Are the Americans, the French and the Germans prepared to pull out all the stops so that Ukraine ultimately wins?”
2/4
“Even if Joe Biden is re-elected,” Tenzer cautioned, “not everyone in his administration wants to join forces with Ukraine and lead a victorious counter-offensive” against Russia.
3/4
It's high time the Allies took action to drive the Russian enemy out of Ukraine.
Not tomorrow, but now.
In fact, I've been asking for this since February 24, 2022. It would have saved over a hundred thousand lives and increased our security.
A thread.
1/13
🧵
What hasn't been done hasn't been done.
As Spinoza once wrote, “regret is a useless feeling”. But it can only haunt us.
Now, let's get on with it.
There must be not limitation on our side.
2/13
I see the debates in the US. They're not new.
The differences within the Biden administration over attacking military targets with US weapons in Russia are long-standing.
Giving up would be a sign of US strategic bankruptcy.
Taking action will also pay off electorally.
3/13
Ten theses.
A thread.
🧵
1 We're at war with Russia, not because we've declared it, but because it's waging war on us.
#OurWar
2 Russia is waging a war of extermination. That's just a fact.
It's a war without limits, neither in time nor in space.
3 With a radical enemy, there can be no negotiation. Any negotiation means both more crime — in fact, it's a license to kill given to Putin, especially in the Russian-ruled areas of Ukraine — and more insecurity.