If this US decision to send M1 #Abrams tanks to #Ukraine (despite some technicalities) were confirmed, it would be remarkable.
It certainly depends on the number.
With 200 or 300 #Leopard2, a real game-changer.
But time is of the essence. #Thread 🧵 1/6 wsj.com/articles/polan…
First, we, democratic countries, must be clear about our goal: to give Kyiv the means to reclaim ALL the territories invaded since 2014 (including #Crimea).
We need to move from "Defend #Ukraine" to "Make #Ukraine win" and "Defeat Russia".
Let's be straightforward. 2/6
We must throw all our available forces into the battle: heavy tanks, long-range missiles, fighter planes — the only way to end the war as soon as possible.
The combination of these forces (+ military intelligence) will bring victory.
The longer we delay, the higher the cost. 3/6
But we must move quickly, very quickly, because everyone knows that spring will be decisive, and the problem is of course the time between now and the arrival of these weapons in numbers.
We must not let the Russians exploit this window of opportunity. 4/6
Every day that passes is counted in human lives lost. We are guilty of wasting time, far too much time.
As I already stated on 24 February, we had to go in immediately, massively.
The invocation of risks has always been a cover for our lack of strategic intelligence. 5/6
I do not exclude — I also said it at that time — that we would be obliged to make up for the immediate lack of weapons with our own means.
We doubtless have no other decent and strategically relevant choice. 6/6
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Rappel au droit.
Un fil🧵
Les propos de B. Retailleau ont suscité une indignation légitime et fondée, accrue par ses fonctions actuelles.
Ils représentent un risque majeur.
Nous devons défendre l'#Etatdedroit et montrer ce qu'il implique. Il doit nous réunir.
Voici pourquoi.
1/16
L'Etat de droit suppose qu'il n'existe pas de souveraineté absolue d'un quelconque pouvoir.
Il définit une souveraineté limitée de chacun en vertu du principe libéral selon laquelle il ne saurait y avoir de domination de l'un d'entre eux.
C'est un régime d'équilibre.
2/16
Le point fondamental est que la supposée volonté du "peuple" est limitée par la Constitution et par l'ensemble des traités et conventions auxquels le pays a adhéré et qui sont, de fait et de droit, entrés dans l'ordre juridique interne.
Le législateur ne peut les bafouer.
3/16
I'm late in sharing some remarks collected by @cleacaulcutt for @POLITICOEurope (I was interviewed while I was in Chelm train station, Poland, on my return from Kyiv last Tuesday).
Great recent progres obviously, but my main questions remain.
⬇️ 1/4 politico.eu/article/ukrain…
“The Ukrainians are very concerned about what the real objectives of allied nations are,” said Nicolas Tenzer, author of “Our War,” a book about Ukraine. “Are the Americans, the French and the Germans prepared to pull out all the stops so that Ukraine ultimately wins?”
2/4
“Even if Joe Biden is re-elected,” Tenzer cautioned, “not everyone in his administration wants to join forces with Ukraine and lead a victorious counter-offensive” against Russia.
3/4
It's high time the Allies took action to drive the Russian enemy out of Ukraine.
Not tomorrow, but now.
In fact, I've been asking for this since February 24, 2022. It would have saved over a hundred thousand lives and increased our security.
A thread.
1/13
🧵
What hasn't been done hasn't been done.
As Spinoza once wrote, “regret is a useless feeling”. But it can only haunt us.
Now, let's get on with it.
There must be not limitation on our side.
2/13
I see the debates in the US. They're not new.
The differences within the Biden administration over attacking military targets with US weapons in Russia are long-standing.
Giving up would be a sign of US strategic bankruptcy.
Taking action will also pay off electorally.
3/13
Ten theses.
A thread.
🧵
1 We're at war with Russia, not because we've declared it, but because it's waging war on us.
#OurWar
2 Russia is waging a war of extermination. That's just a fact.
It's a war without limits, neither in time nor in space.
3 With a radical enemy, there can be no negotiation. Any negotiation means both more crime — in fact, it's a license to kill given to Putin, especially in the Russian-ruled areas of Ukraine — and more insecurity.
As those of you who have been following me for some time know, April 30 is a special day for me.
On that day in 1945, the #Ravensbrück concentration camp was liberated. My mother, Martha Tenzer, a resistance fighter in Belgium who had been arrested by the Gestapo in 1943,... 1/8
was “celebrating” her 25th birthday there.
She would have turned 104 today.
She had joined the Resistance at the age of 20, and was Jewish. Fortunately, her false papers concealed her origin.
When she was liberated and handed over to the Red Cross of Sweden,... 2/8
where she spent long months convalescing, she weighed 30 kg and was suffering from numerous illnesses (typhus, turberculosis...). She survived.
After the war, she was one of the first women to enter the Belgian diplomatic service (closed to women before the war). 3/8
So wonderful to listen again to the awesome @avalaina, Nobel Peace Prize, whom I met in Kyiv last July, today at @WarsawForum #WSF interviewed by @AslanTV.
She rightly emphasized the lack of bravery of the world leaders.
Some edited extracts in this #thread. 1/7
"I wish no one had to experience what we're experiencing now with Russia's absolute war against the Ukrainian people since February 2014.
We already had so many stories of people who survived captivity and the worst tortures that we documented.
We must never get used to this. 2/7
The @IntlCrimCourt will only be able to try a limited number of cases of war criminals and criminals against humanity, but we have tens of thousands. This risks limiting accountability. Yet we cannot refuse to dispense justice. We'll just have to find a way to do it.
3/7