Thread by @NTenzer

10 principles for these weeks (recap).
1 In the medium to long term, the main cost would be the non-defeat of #Russia.
It would be terrible for #Ukraine, #Syria, #Georgia, #Belarus, #Moldova, #Africa..., but also for Europe and the world.
It should dictate our strategic goal.

2 In the short term, the worst cost is measured in terms of Ukrainian lives (civilians, military, people in the occupied territories, incl. Crimean Tatars).
This is what must matter to us first.
We must defeat #Russia as quickly as possible with all possible conventional weapons.

3 Western leaders must banish certain words, including:
- escalation risks;
- red lines;
- peace talks;
- negotiations;
- compromise;
- balance;
- architecture of stability...
Words matter.
Narrative matter.

4 We must have a global strategy to counter Russian influence not only in our democracies, but also in the (different) Southern countries: s. recently the declarations of the🇲🇽 president, of the MFA of South Africa, & recurrent issues in other places of Africa, ME, Latin America.

5 If we want to guarantee our security in the future and avoid this perverse game of Russian criminal power, #Russia must lose radically, I repeat.
Until that happens, it will keep its power to harm far beyond Ukraine & keeps its "soft power".
Let's have the world order in mind.

6 We must understand why Putin's 🇷🇺 is an absolute enemy (s. my lastest).
Any trivialization (with the argument that Putin is not Hitler, the Russian war against Ukraine is not the WWII, that Ukrainian genocide Putin is not the Holocaust—so what?) serves the enemy's propaganda.

7 Method
There's an order to be respected: overall vision, objectives that follow, strategy, policies, secondary objectives, means, organization...
Western leaders have not formulated the first, nor the second—and the rest is logically missing.
Still too much day-to-day politics.

8 I already described this needed reversal: we've let Putin be the agenda setter for 22 years. We must now define our own, what I had called OUR war aims.
Beyond the general phrases that don't have the same meaning for all, we're still far from it.
Because of a remenance of fear.

9 Ukraine must win completely and Russia must lose radically in 🇺🇦 and elsewhere: objectives I had expressed at the beginning of this war.
Those who think that they can prevent Moscow from destabilizing the whole world without achieving these objectives are under great illusion.

10 The total victory of🇺🇦will lead to the fall of Putin's regime.
This is our goal: no one's thinking of overthrowing him—Russians will.
Not the apocalypse—some seem to fear it (insane).
Then, we'll have to manage🇷🇺in the long run.
Not easy, but without defeat no hope is allowed.