Thread by @applepie110101

#Ukraine May 04, updates from @escortert.
Usualy Macette Escortert threads are in two parts
-> PdS1, #Donbass Theater
-> PdS2, #Zaporizhia #Crimea #Russia #Backstage
Here is the PdS1 for today

1/n #Ukraine May 04
#WarInUkraine D+435 (04/05) PdS1 - Theater of #Donbass

🇺🇦 attack in the center and south of #Donbass without distinguishing between opportunity and breakthrough

🇷🇺 suffer

"He who takes the sword, will perish by the sword"
St. Matthew

2/n #Ukraine May 04

Time machine,
If you missed the CDXXXIV diary of #WarInUkraine, here it is👇

3/n #Ukraine May 04

1/ Northern segment, #Kupyansk-#Svatove-#Kreminna

In the directions #Kupyansk & #Svatove👇, R.A.S.
🇷🇺 there is a defensive behavior with a heavy use of artillery

#Kreminna direction, 🇷🇺 continue to attack towards #Dibrova, Serebrianska forest, #Bilohorivka

4/n #Ukraine May 04

But it comes to nothing: rare images of ravaged #Torske, west of #Kreminna, the objective the Russians fail to reach to push the #AFU back across the Zherebets👇

5/n #Ukraine May 04

No change in the entire front line of the northern segment

Around #Kreminna, very little change

6/n #Ukraine May 04

(i) In the ramparts,

Opportunity counterattack 🇺🇦 stopped the advance 🇷🇺 into the city around the last 🇺🇦 post bounded:
-to the NW, by Kraina Street (building destroyed north of Kraina by 🇺🇦 before yielding ground👇)

7/n #Ukraine May 04

extending towards the 54th barracks (occupation 🇷🇺 not confirmed by images)

-to the S-SW, by Tchaikovsky Street (T-0504), from which the 🇷🇺 have moved a little closer (occupied Bakhmut Medical College 👇)
-to the west the municipal limits

8/n #Ukraine May 04

As a result, the occupancy rate of #Bakhmut by 🇷🇺 is still between 86 and 89% 👇(the difference is explained by the existence or not of images)

9/n #Ukraine May 04

A civilian wanders around #Bakhmut in ruins, not afraid to die or wanting to die👇

10/n #Ukraine May 04
While the price paid by the #AFU is heavy 👇

KIA, to remember that war is not just maps and numbers

11/n #Ukraine May 04

(ii) Outside the walls,

The Russians moved a little closer to the O-0506 👇

Western evacuation corridor is unchanged at 5.3 km and 55° angle and allows effective maintenance of supplies to the last Ukrainian post in #Bakhmut

12/n #Ukraine May 04

#prigozhin, c** general and true criminal has the same doubts I've been sharing in this thread with you for some time: the flanks of Wagner, held by the VDVs are not in the "best way" and he "wouldn't admit their reliability just to be polite..."

13/n #Ukraine May 04

The northern and southern flanks are convex salients 👇 with a perimeter twice their base, meaning they require 2x the manpower to defend than a straight line or are 2x less well defended with equal manpower

The front line is unchanged

14/n #Ukraine May 04

The road T-0504, called "road of life", is still open and allows the supply of the last garrison post 👇

15/n #Ukraine May 04

Direction of #Avdiivka👇, I have not seen any images confirming the 1.5 km breakthrough in the direction of #OleksandroKalynove
So I'll remain cautious on the assessment of the attack 🇺🇦 which may be just an "opportunity" assault on a point of weakness

16/n #Ukraine May 04

In the #Marinka direction, the situation is still fluid with attacks and counter-attacks that have allowed 🇷🇺 to advance one block

South of #Marinka, 🇺🇦 pushed the enemy back to #Pobieda but 🇷🇺 advanced one row of trees NE of #Novomykhailivka👇

17/n #Ukraine May 04

In the direction of #Vuhledar, #AFU advanced southwest of #Pavlivka in a wider way than assumed since their advance is about 3 km x 15 km for 49 km2 in total 👇
And we have confirming images, which I already published a short time ago

18/n #Ukraine May 04

Obviously, we think of #Mariupol and the Sea of Azov, located 85 km away, whose key is #Volnovakha a high point located at 350 m altitude commanding the descent to #Mariupol👇

19/n #Ukraine May 04

Source

20/n
Second part (PdS2) is visible here

0/n #Ukraine May 04 #Ukraine May 04
First, read part1 (PdS1)

1/n #Ukraine May 04
#WarInUkraine D+435 (04/05) PdS2 - Theaters
#Zaporizhzhya
#Crimea
#Russia

1/Front X, Hyp. Z, train and strike
2/Dniepr, left bank & #Crimee, being hit and crossing
3/Backstage, commedia dell'Arte

@Liberov
#Kramatorsk, thanks

@Liberov 2/n #Ukraine May 04

Time machine,
If you missed the CDXXXIV-II diary of #WarInUkraine, here it is👇

@Liberov 3/n #Ukraine May 04

1/Front X, Hyp. Z, practice and hit

🟢Weather

🟠Preparation in depth, started
-model front line (artillery)
-destroy PC, EW, DM, logistics
-decrease fuel reserves

🟠Deception operations, started

🔴Offensive movement, X Front, Y Axis

@Liberov 4/n #Ukraine May 04

(ii) Weather ambience👇

@Liberov 5/n #Ukraine May 04

A little cloudy and hot

@Liberov 6/n #Ukraine May 04

(iii) training

It seems that the training phase is still going on, and that the preparation phase is not finished

The offensive is still far away

Leos in training are very eager to be let loose on the Dnieper plains 👇

@Liberov 7/n #Ukraine May 04

I don't know why, but it looks like the paratroopers are going to be part of the next offensive 👇

@Liberov 8/n #Ukraine May 04

(iv) strategic deep strikes.

The 🇷🇺 fuel depletion sequence is in full swing👇
In addition to its strategic effects, it gives important effects in the informational field

Oil depot hit in Lliski, Russia👇

@Liberov 9/n #Ukraine May 04

Depot hit in #Stavropol 👇 in #Russia

@Liberov 10/n #Ukraine May 04

Deep attack in #Mospyne, something is burning (it doesn't look like fuel, the smoke is too white, more like an ammo depot)

https://t.co/80iL50kJGg twitter.com/i/web/status/1…

@Liberov 11/n #Ukraine May 04

2/Dnieper, left bank & #Crimee, being hit and crossing.

War criminal #Putin hit #Kherson and surrounding area, killing 20+ civilians and wounding 40+ 👇, with 550 shells and 5 guided glide bombs fired

@Liberov 12/n #Ukraine May 04
This is the result of the decisions of the rotten**re that is enthroned in the Kremlin👇
We have a real problem with Russia for a very long time...

@Liberov 13/n #Ukraine May 04

The 🇷🇺 fear an operation across the Dnieper, including upstream of the #NovaKakhovka dam!

While downstream, mission 🇺🇦 on the islands of the Dnieper Delta 👇

@Liberov 14/n #Ukraine May 04

3/Backstage, commedia dell'Arte

@Liberov 15/n #Ukraine May 04

I have proof that 🇺🇦 did bomb the Kremlin with a drone... in training! 🤣

@Liberov 16/n #Ukraine May 04

@isw confirms the fake banner hypothesis I posed yesterday with the same reasons:
- "justify the cancellation or limitation of the May 9 celebrations"
- "present the war in Ukraine as existential and prepare for a broader social mobilization"

@Liberov @isw 17/n #Ukraine May 04

Why is this hypothesis likely?
-the probability of passing the Pantsir air defense circles around Moscow is very low
- "the immediate, coherent and coordinated response of the Kremlin suggests that the attack was prepared internally"

@Liberov @isw 18/n #Ukraine May 04

Humor from #Prigozhin to conclude: "Who did this? I don't know, maybe it was lightning, who knows?

@Liberov @isw 19/n #Ukraine May 04

NOTICE OF INTERNATIONAL ARREST WARRANT
Last name : POUTINE
First name : Vladimir Vladimirovitch
Date of birth: October 7, 1952

Wanted for the war crime of illegal child deportation and illegal transfer of child population from occupied areas of 🇺🇦 to 🇷🇺

@Liberov @isw 20/n #Ukraine May 04

Number of war crimes 👇 committed on CHILDREN by this individual 👆

Please note: these numbers are far below the reality

@Liberov @isw @ZelenskyyUa visiting The Hague (Netherlands) where the war criminal #Putin will be brought to justice, at least I hope so 👇

@Liberov @isw @ZelenskyyUa 22/n #Ukraine May 04
Many thanks to @escortert for the job done
Source