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Oct 17, 2019 β€’ 4 tweets β€’ 2 min read
Ok Twitter. Time to show your cards πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡πŸ‘‡

Will MPs back the new deal?
i see we still like the 52/48 thing
we will obviously be referring back to our collective wisdom on Saturday afternoon so let's get a nice big sample πŸ₯³ And before a nerd πŸ€“ turns up to complain yes we all know that this is not representative
I think we need the political gamblers to get involved. Paging @LadPolitics @paulmotty @MSmithsonPB @TSEofPB

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More from @GoodwinMJ

Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Feb 14
What's happening to Boris Johnson's support? A thread based on a talk I gave last week
1. Since coming to power the Conservative's share of the vote has declined from almost 50% to 32%. While it was partly supported by the vaccine rollout, it has now entered new decline. Were an election held 2mrw Labour would be largest party albeit short of majority
2. Much of this is about people who voted for Boris johnson in 2019 walking away. Since early 2020, support among 2019 Conservatives has crashed by 20 points with a particularly sharp drop since #partygate
Read 18 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Jan 16
A short thread on our new report on academic freedom in four democracies which will be of interest to researchers, journalists, politicians & policymakers
#highered
Academic freedom -the ability of scholars to research, voice & teach ideas without fear of negative consequences- has long been central to prosperity, innovation, dynamism. Exposing students to different ideas is also central to developing well-rounded, critical thinkers
But recent years have seen growing international concern about threats to academic freedom. Prominent cases (e.g. Jordan Peterson, Kathleen Stock, Noah Carl, Peter Boghossian etc.) + recent studies suggest this core freedom is being challenged/under threat on multiple fronts
Read 20 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Jan 13
If Johnson goes, the realignment goes
What do I mean by this? For the last 20 yrs, Britain (& other Western states) has been in an unfolding political realignment -an enduring shift in people's political loyalties which is mainly rooted in their education, age and above all their cultural values
It is helpful to think about realignments in terms of structure & agency, the underlying structural change which bring them about (education, class, age, etc.) but also the agents who mobilise them into politics (leaders, movements, etc.)
Read 14 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Dec 10, 2021
How Boris Johnson's electorate is starting to unravel. A short thread 1/?
Almost 2 yrs ago to the day Johnson won the largest majority for any Conservative since 1987. He did so by pushing through the realignment of British politics, reshaping the Conservative vote around Leavers. He promised 3 things. Brexit. Strong borders. A levelled up country.
His victory was emphatic. He won 76% of Leavers (& a not insignificant 26% of Remainers). And in the early months of his premiership he retained almost all of them, holding over 90% of his 2019 coalition together
Read 14 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Oct 11, 2021
Intellectual and academic freedom in Britain and other Western nations. A thread where I will compile ongoing pieces of research & cases as they are released 1/?
Full disclosure. I have publicly stated that I think this is a serious issue, I have given evidence to (UK) parliament on it & I support the UK Higher Education & Academic Freedom Bill. I appreciate people have different views but such a thread might be useful.
Once Cambridge academics are allowed to vote anonymously & not publicly, the vast majority of them reject proposals to insist students & staff be β€˜respectful’ of opposing views in favour of being "tolerant"
spectator.co.uk/article/cambri…
Read 34 tweets
Matt Goodwin Profile picture
Sep 27, 2021
"Gina Miller to launch a new anti-Brexit party". Have people learned nothing from Change UK? And does Labour really need ANOTHER party splitting it's vote? Hard to avoid the conclusion that this is more about ego than Britain.
Labour is currently losing 15-20% of its 2019 vote to an assortment of Lib Dems, Greens, Plaid, etc. Lavishing the Brahmin graduate left with yet another cosmopolitan anti-Brexit party will only weaken their cause 1/2
2/2 this will likely be magnified by the absence of Brexit Party alternative in 2023/24. If you strip away Brexit Party candidates from 2019 election Boris would probably have majority over 100. Ppl forgetting this. Realignment could still easily smash Lab & warring progressives
Read 4 tweets

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