Ali Rogin Profile picture
Oct 17, 2019 13 tweets 13 min read
THREAD: Hey everybody. In just a few minutes, the @NewsHour will feature an interview between @JudyWoodruff and Turkish ambassador to the US @serdarkilic9. Tune in and check back here for a live thread.
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 q - is this a pause or a ceasefire?

@serdarkilic9: I think we agreed it is a pause. It is not a ceasefire.
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@serdarkilic9: Yes, all the members of YPG/PYD are Kurds, but they do not represent all Kurdish people.
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@serdarkilic9: When the US conducted operations in Afghanistan against al-Qaeda, we knew it wasn't an operation against the Afghani people.
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@serdarkilic9: Graham, Van Hollen "hurt the feelings of the Turkish public opinion" by defending the Kurds
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@JudyWoodruff: What was said by President Trump to President Erdogan that gave him the confidence to move ahead in the military operation?

@serdarkilic9 There are reports that Trump gave a greenlight. Which country needs a greenlight to defend its citizens?
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@serdarkilic9: "I think that President Trump in any case knew that we were going to take that action... he understood that operation is going to come and he didn't want to lead to an undesired clash to our forces over there."
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@JudyWoodruff: So then, if he fully understood, why did he urge the Turks to stop the incursion just days later?

@serdarkilic9: I think he was succumbing to political pressure from home.
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@serdarkilic9 on the Trump letter to Erdogan: I hope that history will not record that letter... it lacks the diplomatic niceties and is void of any established practices in that regard. I totally reject that letter.
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 @JudyWoodruff: What was Erdogan's reaction?

@serdarkilic9: "Our reaction was given in Syria. We started conducting the operation."
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 @JudyWoodruff: What about reports that he physically threw the letter in the trash?

@serdarkilic9: Well, he considers the letter null and void.
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@JudyWoodruff asking about the brutal murder of female Kurdish politician Hevrin Khalaf: Is that how the Turks are conducting this operation?

@serdarkilic9: No... if there is any wrongdoing, rest assured it will be investigated. our troops were told to avoid civilians
@NewsHour @JudyWoodruff @serdarkilic9 .@JudyWoodruff: Is there a role for the US in Syria at all?

@serdarkilic9: Of course, they should help us defend our border... we need the help of the entire international community.

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More from @AliRogin

Feb 11
Here’s a little 🧵on what today’s #Afghanistan announcement today really means, based on a call that senior administration officials (SAOs) held with reporters this morning.
First, this announcement doesn’t actually guarantee that any money goes anywhere. It leaves it up to New York courts to decide (Tbh, I’m not yet sure which courts/judges. Is it all of them that are hearing 9/11 cases?)
The US is saying it has to defer to the courts because some of the plaintiffs in 9/11 cases were awarded a “writ of attachment” to all $7 billion, which means no one can withdraw that money, not the government of Afghanistan, nor the Biden administration.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 10
Now on @NewsHour: @nickschifrin talks to @KofmanMichael about Russian buildup on the Ukrainian border. How close are they to war?
@KofmanMichael: we are in the final stages of a significant buildup
Also, tune in now to see @KofmanMichael's truly magnificent portrait of Captain Jean-Luc Picard in period dress
Read 5 tweets
Jan 17
I've spent the last few hours talking to experts in volcanos and tsunamis for #tongatsunami coverage - here are some humble conclusions. First, and most scarily, we know very little about volcanic tsunamis. Early warning systems aren't focused on them but rather earthquake ones.
Second, and of course most importantly, is that we don't yet know the full extent of how much damage has been done to Tonga itself. Experts who have viewed satellite imagery say it looks like it's been badly hit by both the tsunami and the ash fall. Praying for Tonga.
Third, the eruption itself wasn't that big. It wasn't carrying that much ash, that you might associate with a plume that big. Much of the plume was actually water vapor, which raises questions about the interaction of magma and ocean water. Which again, we know very little about.
Read 7 tweets
Sep 14, 2021
Q from @MittRomney: "has the Taliban abandoned their sympathy for al Qaeda, Haqqani network - or has that relationship been severed?"

@SecBlinken: the relationship has not been severed and it’s a very open question as to whether their views and the relationship has changed...
... in any kind of definitive way. I think it’s fair to say two things: one, whatever the Taliban’s views on al Qaeda, they do know that the last time they harbored al-Qaeda and engaged in an outwardly-directed attack on our homeland, certain things followed...
... which i believe they would have an interest in not seeing repeated. (didn't we just declare that we left because we were no longer interested in committing to being able to do those "certain things?")
Read 9 tweets
Sep 13, 2021
The @HouseForeign hearing on Afghanistan, featuring @SecBlinken, is getting under way a few minutes late. Blinken joining virtually. I'll be trying to tweet notable moments/statements periodically, in this thread.
.@RepGregoryMeeks says that in the discourse over the Afghanistan withdrawal, "we are seeing domestic politics injected into foreign policy." But then issues a full-throated endorsement of the withdrawal, rather than laying out what issues the hearing seeks to examine.
@RepGregoryMeeks Blinken: "The military placed on standby by President Biden was able to secure the airport and begin evacuation." We've all seen the images of the airport. "Secure" is not one of the first words that come to mind - even if they were able to maintain operational control.
Read 12 tweets
Oct 29, 2020
National Counterintelligence and Security Center director Bill Evanina tells @nickschifrin that recent Russian + Iranian cyberattacks on U.S. critical infrastructure may have only accessed voter information accidentally, but of course, it still has the same end result: discord.
Evanina says his concern is not that foreign actors will be able to manipulate votes. But "the concern we have is a potential ransomware attack where systems are shut down and we're unable to process votes in a timely fashion."
Evanina distances himself from DNI Ratcliffe's statement that Iran's recent misinformation campaigns were designed to hurt President Trump: "I can only comment to the actual effects and impact of last week with respect to what happened with Iran's intentions...
Read 6 tweets

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