“Noncooperative dynamics in election interference”

New publication from our group in Physical Review E

journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/1… Image
Led by @d_r_dewhurst and inspired by Russian interference in the 2016 election, we simulate the timeless competition between red and blue Image
This is the first study [that we know of] to explore models of election interference in a noncooperative setting [game theory flavor] Image
Result: our model predicts that countries defending their electoral process (blue) will bear far larger costs than malicious actors (red).

All-or-nothing mindsets by either country can result in an arms race that negatively affects both countries. Image
Mutually assured destruction aside, this was a super fun paper to work on!

33 figures, 72 citations, PRE FTW

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More from @compstorylab

18 Aug 20
New preprint:

“Computational timeline reconstruction of the stories surrounding Trump: Story turbulence, narrative control, and collective chronopathy”

arxiv.org/pdf/2008.07301…

P. S. Dodds, J. R. Minot, M. V. Arnold, T. Alshaabi, J. L. Adams, A. J. Reagan, and C. M. Danforth
Some questions to ask yourself and others:

What happened in the world over the last two weeks?

What about this time last year? Two years ago?

And what order did the major events happen in?
For Trump’s presidency, how easily could individuals recall and sort these example stories?:

- North Korea
- Charlottesville
- kneeling in the National Football League
- Confederate statues
- family separation
- Stormy Daniels
- Space Force
- the possible purchase of Greenland
Read 22 tweets
28 Jul 20
We have a new paper, interactive visualization, and data platform.

Nutshell: we’ve curated 100 billion tweets over 10 years to produce day-scale rank/frequency time series for n-grams in over 100 languages.

It’s a whole big thing.

A short thread—
The paper:

“Storywrangler: A massive exploratorium for sociolinguistic, cultural, socioeconomic, and political timelines using Twitter”

arxiv.org/abs/2007.12988
With storywrangler, we’re hoping to enable or enhance the computational study of any large-scale temporal phenomena where people matter including:
culture,
politics,
economics,
linguistics,
public health,
conflict,
climate change,
and
data journalism.
Read 10 tweets
8 Jun 20
Thread for a new paper of ours on the arXiv:

“Ratioing the President: An exploration of public engagement with Obama and Trump on Twitter”

arxiv.org/abs/2006.03526

J. R. Minot, M. V. Arnold, T. Alshaabi, C. M. Danforth, P. S. Dodds
We explore the dynamics of how Twitter users have responded to tweets made by Obama and Trump from their main accounts, @BarackObama and @realDonaldTrump.
For each tweet, we track three main characteristics as they evolve over time:

- Number of Favorites
- Number of Retweets
- Number of Replies (hard to measure—see our paper)
Read 17 tweets
27 Mar 20
New NCOVID-19 paper thread:

“How the world's collective attention is being paid to a pandemic:
COVID-19 related 1-gram time series for 24 languages on Twitter”

Main site:
compstorylab.org/covid19ngrams/
We make two main contributions:

1. We curate and share usage time series of 1,000 1-grams that have mattered in March of 2020 (words, emojis, hashtags, etc.) for 24 languages.

We hope other researchers can use these time series to connect with other data streams.
2. We show that after a peak in January 2020 in response to the news from Wuhan of a novel contagious disase, the world’s collective attention dropped through much of February before resurging.
Read 23 tweets
10 Jul 19
Now, we stretch out words naturally when we speak.

But stretched words (sometimes called elongated words) are fairly rare in book and other text corpora, and they aren’t represented well in dictionaries (if at all).

So we thought, let’s science this.
Stretchfulness in written text arrived in an abundant, accessible source with Twitter (along with the possible end of civilization but that issue is beyond the scope of our current project).

Dataset: 10% of all (140 character) tweets from September 2008 to the end of 2016.
We crafted* a series of regex-based tweet-sifters for capturing words that are naturally stretched in the wilds of Twitter.

We ended up with a skosh over 5000 “kernels” for stretchable words:

*this was not entirely easy
xkcd.com/208/ Image
Read 20 tweets
10 Jul 19
New paper threeaaad!!!

Soooooo, we went exploring for stretchable words on Twitter, and we uncovered a strange and amusing realm of language:

“Hahahahaha, Duuuuude, Yeeessss!: A two-parameter characterization of stretchable words and the dynamics of mistypings and misspellings”
Stretchable words are undeniably real:
Yes they are:
Read 10 tweets

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