#COVID19 in #Europe thread. Below we see the trends for reported cases and deaths per 1,000,000 pop (pop normalization is imp for comparison). Belgium, France, UK, Sweden, Ireland have started showing exponential growth 1/n.... @IIASAVienna @DianaUrge @IIASA_Library 
If we look at the reported cases and deaths for each country, again normalized by population, then one can see the south to north wave. Northern countries are still behind the curve and could see rises in the next few days. see next graph for doubling time... 2/n...
If we sort the countries by doubling time of reported cases / 1m pop relative to past 10 days, then Austria is the clear winner here. Slowing down reported cases is not the same as slowing down deaths. Countries under 10 days are at critical points. 3/n.@DianaUrge @IIASAVienna
This graph shows the growth of reported cases after strong policies (@BlavatnikSchool Index=40) were implemented (Day0) in European countries. There is a clear pay-off here. Higher stringency earlier to #FlattenTheCurve
@IIASAVienna @DianaUrge. More on this in the coming days.
@IIASAVienna @DianaUrge. More on this in the coming days.
also apologies for the wrong legend in the last graph! It will be fixed. Red = median, Black dotted = 25-75th pctiles, dots = individual country observations.
