Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #europe

Most recents (24)

#Equities #SP500 was rallying and the bulls are cheering. The excuse seems to be, that Powell has blinked. Remember 2007-09? Fed started lowering rates by September 07. Yet that did not prevent Financial markets to decline hard until March 2009 #HZupdates
The thing is, that when liquidity #crunch snowball gets rolling, some announcement from #Fed will not do the job. Down the line, Fed will need to scramble (QE or the like) to fight USD shortage. My LT #SP500 model remains like this. Major Bear market ABC-structure. #HZupdates
I will not reveal my EW-count for #SP500 here. That is reserved for subscribers and buyers of Weekly Update. Only say, that we have not seen an impulse wave since Sept high. I expect a MAJOR decline to set in rather soon, taking us to my bottom of wave A from LT-chart. #HZupdates
Read 17 tweets
Today I read this article goo.gl/uYwFm8 & wondered what had become of James Bundy. He remains a member of the #Tory party with a interest in National Identity goo.gl/AbwRad We have seen the rise of identity politics in the #USA & #Europe
The rise of right wing populism in politics resulted in this latest episode goo.gl/PL1zjW Strange is not then when Tories are in power division and hate grows.
Back to the article on Bundy and #Antisemitism I wonder if @TracyAnnO feels that it was appropriate for someone who had made antisemitic comments to be reinstated in the #Tory party? @shaunjlawson @simonmaginn @upsadaizy
@ThreadReaderApp Unroll
Read 3 tweets
In 2016 I voted remain and was disappointed that the remain vote lost. I felt then as I do now that it was a vote against UK politicians, by people who felt disenfranchised, The referendum gave them an opportunity to kick ass.
Throughout the last 2 years we have heard people say. I have changed my mind. I want a #PeoplesVote because I did not understand what i was voting for! Well in part I agree.,I voted remain because being in the EU was all that I had known I could not see any problems.
Today I am reconsidering my position and indeed if another vote took place I would be tempted to vote leave. So why the sudden change of heart? Well I have started to watch and read the thoughts of people who have been far better informed on the European Union than I am.
Read 17 tweets
1. My Predictions For 2019:
- #Macron will find it more & more difficult to hold onto power.
- #Merkel won't last until 2021 & her power will further decrease this year quarter by quarter.
- I expect that the #Brexit-Exit-date will be moved (most likely by 12 months).
2. My Predictions For 2019:
- The issues of mass-#migration (few real #refugees) will continue to haunt #Europe, especially #Germany & continue to put pressure on the GER #Groko-government (#CDU/#CSU & #SPD).
#Predictions2019 #Year2019
3. My Predictions For 2019:
- The trend of right parties gaining more power (2018: #Italy, #Austria, #Brazil) will continue: In #France #LePen (#FN) will benefit from #Macron losing power, in #Germany the #AfD will gain further support in Eastern Germany (tbc).
#Predictions2019
Read 10 tweets
Having a good time with #NewYearsEve?
Let me ruin it with this map of the military situation in Eastern Europe, which shows us:

1) #Russia's massive military buildup vs. #Ukraine & #Europe: 33x brigades & 35x regiments. (@USarmy in total: 31x brigades & 7x regiments/groups)

1/7
2) If #Russia annexes #Belarus, then #Putin will forward deploy his tanks to #Poland's border & the doorstep of #Lithuania's capital #Vilnius. He will also threaten #Ukraine's capital #Kyiv from the #North and it will be easy for Russian troops to close the #Suwalki Gap.

2/7
3) #Poland's best brigades are based near #Germany. They must move East to protect #Warsaw & be an operational reserve to come to the aid of #Lithuania. Poland also needs more tanks; & modern attack helicopters, infantry fighting vehicles, fighters, guided missile artillery.

3/7
Read 7 tweets
[choco-thread] 1 / Ce soir, dîner de réveillon pour beaucoup. Souvent, avec du CHOCOLAT. Moment de se demander si nous mangeons vraiment du chocolat, ou si la Commission européenne ne nous a pas encore concocté un mauvais tour… #BonneAnnee2019 #NouvelAn2019 #Chocolat #Europe
[choco-thread] 2/ Chocolat = produit colonial rapporté par le conquistador Cortès (1528). Très amer : mélangé à de la canne à sucre pour satisfaire les goûts aristocrates. 1615 : arrive en France (mariage Anne d’Autriche-Louis XIII)
[choco-thread] 3/ Chocolat industrialisé au XIXe siècle. Les milieux populaires en découvrent le goût. Van Houten, Suchard, Lindt, Poulain… naissent entre 1815 et 1848. Aujdhui, les Français.e.s consomment environ 7kg/an/habitant. Dont 80 % acheté en grande distribution
Read 11 tweets
#Breaking: ‘Air Force One’ Aircraft spotted Over Europe, Heading East for possible visiting troops abroad, who are going to go back to the #US.
#Update: However it is not confirmed that President @realDonaldTrump is abroad! But Presidential trips to the Middle east visiting troops abroad are being kept secret by the public to not endanger the live of the president.
#Update: The Callsign of "Air force one" has been disabled to radar websites!
Read 15 tweets
#Breaking: First protestors arrive in #Paris for an 5th act of protests across #France for in a row! #GiletsJaunes #YellowVests
#Update: Video of First protestors arrive in #Paris for an 5th act of protests across #France for in a row! #GiletsJaunes #YellowVests
#Update: Video of police on the ground in #Paris to search protestors in case of weapons! as the 5th weekend of #GiletsJaunes protest arrive in #France! #Acte5
Read 67 tweets
1. #VoiceOfEurope from 1st Dec '18...
Awareness of the need to protest conditions brought on by #Global #DeepState #Cabal appointees & their #Minions has bought 1st #Europe & now well beyond to unify under common cause.
We are all subject to the same abuses under the......
2. ......current existent tyrannies.
voiceofeurope.com/2018/12/europe…
#WWG1WGA the #WorldWide commonality will end the #Authoritarian foothold.
#QAnon #QPeople #GreatAwakening @realDonaldTrump @WhiteHouse #POTUS
3. ......😊
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🔴 As we mark #HumanRightsDay, a devastating new @EURightsAgency Report on #Antisemitism in #Europe underscores how alarming situation has become.

You can read full report, most extensive in years, here: bit.ly/2Qovhjh

But thread below on some of these jarring figures:
@EURightsAgency @TimmermansEU @VeraJourova @kschnurbein @EUinIsrael @EGiaufretEU @IsraelinEU ➡️ 90% of Jews feel #Antisemitism has increased over past 5 years.

➡️ 89% of Jews think Antisemitism is most problematic on the internet & on social media.

➡️ 71% avoid Jewish symbols (e.g., kippah, Star of David, etc) in public things that could identify them as Jewish.

1/
@EURightsAgency @TimmermansEU @VeraJourova @kschnurbein @EUinIsrael @EGiaufretEU @IsraelinEU ➡️ 85% of Jews consider #Antisemitism to be the biggest social or political problem in their home country;

➡️ 28% of respondents have been harassed at least once in the past year, with those being visibly Jewish most effected;

2/
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#Mexico #USA #Canada are great countries very big and have awesome chance to earn #free #crypto with #Electroneum #ETN #Guadalajara #Puebla #Ecatepec #CiudadDeMéxico #reclutamiento #criptas i belive in #massadoption in #spanish world and #football #fans maybe can adopt us too
In #europe we have great #fanbase in #UK #germany #turkey #russia & #romania but what about other big countries like #france #spain #poland #italy or #Ukraine we have more potential - join early with #ETN $ETN #Electroneum #cryptocurrency and you will be rewarded. Its up to YOU!
Read 4 tweets
Nov. 11 1918: The last Austro-Hungarian Emperor Charles I signs a proclamation in which he "relinquish(ed) every participation in the administration of the State" marking the end of the 600-year rule of the Habsburgs over #Austria. #TodayInHistory #ArmisticeDay100 #Armistice100
On 13 November, Charles IV issued a similar (Eckartsau) proclamation for #Hungary. In neither declaration did the emperor use the word 'abdication'. Indeed, he tried to reclaim the Hungarian throne twice in 1921. "I did not abdicate, and never will," he wrote to a confidant.
Altogether the losses of Austria-Hungary during #WW1 can be estimated at around 2 million (excluding direct civilian war deaths). #ArmisticeDay100 #ArmisticeDay
Read 7 tweets
#Gender #Identity (FCO since 2009) Mathematical Analysis of @MoJGovUK stats 30 June 2018 wrt sexual offences (99.1% #Male) #Male-pattern Sexual Offending shared by #Transwomen, 60 is just under half of 128 #female from total population of 30M in #England & #Wales. @munkihanger
#Gender #Identity:
#Tavistock *Gender Identity* Clinic
#BAGIS #British Assn of *Gender Identity* Specialists
#GIRES *Gender Identity* #Research & #Education #Service &
@FCOHumanRights since 2009/10-ish!
Why does this #Lesbian of the #BritishEmpire know? 🤔
@faintlyfalling 😊😊😊
#Shoutout for @mrkhtake2 for patiently explaining that #Intersex people can ONLY be i) #female with Variant Sex Characteristics from typical #female sex characteristics presentation &... ii) #male with Variant Sex Characteristics from typical #male sex characteristics. @ClareCAIS
Read 29 tweets
Right, so lots going on and I'm thinking of doing some stuff. But I need your advice and feedback! If you could answer the following polls (comments also welcome) that'd help loads!
I am thinking of writing an old skool email newsletter. Probably monthly. It'd be a mix of what is on here but possibly with a bit more #digital, a bit more #France and other things that are interesting. Would you subscribe? (I've not included 'maybe' - I need binary!)
I will be hosting a live podcast all about #Europe and #Brexit with a heavy #FBPE, #StopBrexit, #PeoplesVote slant. Would you be interested in...
Read 5 tweets
Excited to share my first piece in 18 months and in @ForeignPolicy, co-authored w/ Simon Miles, an assistant professor @DukeSanford, completing a book on US-Soviet relations during the early 1980s based on new Eastern bloc archival sources. 1/ foreignpolicy.com/2018/10/30/wha…
Context: @mike_giglio had an excellent piece last month on how the #Trump admin may be executing a strategy of "maximum pressure" against #Iran, partly inspired by the book "Victory" & its claim that Reagan used this strategy to defeat the Soviet Union. 2/ buzzfeednews.com/article/mikegi…
There's only one problem: "Victory" is not good history, to put it politely. The most basic critique is that the author didn't have access to US & Soviet archives when the book was published in 1994. You can find much harsher academic critiques online. 3/ amazon.com/dp/0871136333/…
Read 18 tweets
Thread: Nobel Jean #Tirole gave a public lecture at UCL tonight: 10 years after the #financialcrisis where do we stand. Key points:
1)#Finance is good if used and regulated properly. We seem to be making the same mistakes of 10 years ago. #Subprimes are up again in US. 1/
2) Its crazy for banks to hold a lot of their nation’s sovereign bonds. It creates a #doomloop. a bank fails>government needs more debt to bail it>brings down sovereign bond prices and more banks under stress> more public money needed. And yes he used Italy as an example.2/
3) #cryptocurrencies are a bubble. Fiat money and central banks have worked quite well in developed economies in the last 30 years. And with cryptocurrencies seignorage goes into private hands and not to the goverment.
3/
Read 5 tweets
@CapitalJon @PaulGambles2 @AlastairWinter @Halsrethink @dlacalle_IA @OBrienSheehan @chloechotv 1. #EU-#Europe before 2000 was OK: Open borders within #EU for EU-citizens, people can live & work (and study) in all EU states (so take great care who joins - went too fast too far East). The seed of destruction came with the #EURO.
@CapitalJon @PaulGambles2 @AlastairWinter @Halsrethink @dlacalle_IA @OBrienSheehan @chloechotv 2. More centralization & #Merkel's #RefugeesWelcome (with the will to enforce mass-#migration on other #EU states) introduce more toxic cancer cells into the #EU!
A common budget (#Macron) & an #EU-army would be the end of true #democracy & #freedom within #Europe!
@CapitalJon @PaulGambles2 @AlastairWinter @Halsrethink @dlacalle_IA @OBrienSheehan @chloechotv 3. The next step would be the likes of #Merkel, #Macron & #Juncker enforcing their will by first witholding money & next send the #EU-army to topple the likes of #Orban in #Hungary.
Read 6 tweets
Thread: I am hearing a lot of talk about a second referendum and going back to the question of reforming #freemovement, including this report from @sundersays on @nick_clegg's conversations around #Europe. I think this is a dangerous route to go. Here is why.
First, I am sure that governments across the EU have concerns about abuse of free movement. But this abuse, while serious, is marginal and receives very little attention from media and public opinion on the Continent.
Second, while some minor reforms to #freemovement are not only possible but also necessary, as @COdendahl and myself explain here - cer.eu/publications/a…, they won't happen any time soon and will surely be less likely to happen if a perceived 'blackmailing' comes from UK again
Read 5 tweets
The Suffocation of Democracy

By: Christopher R. Browning

THREAD✔
1/
As a historian specializing in the #Holocaust, #Nazi Germany, and #Europe in the era of the world wars, I have been repeatedly asked about the degree to which the current situation in the United States resembles the interwar period and the rise of #fascism in Europe.
2/
I would note several troubling similarities and one important but equally troubling difference.

In the 1920s, the US pursued #isolationism in foreign #policy and rejected participation in international organizations like the League of Nations.
3/
Read 109 tweets
Against Normalization: The Lesson of the “Munich Post”

By Ron Rosenbaum @RonRosenbaum1

THREAD✔
1/
THE TRUMP-HITLER COMPARISON.
Is there any comparison? Between the way the campaigns of Donald #Trump and Adolf #Hitler should have been treated by the #media and the culture? The way the media should act now? The problem of #normalization?
2/
Because I’d written a book called Explaining Hitler several editors had asked me, during the #campaign, to see what could be said on the subject.

Until the morning after the election I had declined them.
3/
Read 91 tweets
The Reichstag Warning ⚠️⚠️⚠️

By @TimothyDSnyder
THREAD ✔
On February 27, 1933 the German Parliament building burned, Adolf #Hitler rejoiced, and the #Nazi era began.
1/
#Hitler, who had just been named head of a #government that was legally formed after the democratic #elections of the previous November, seized the opportunity to change the system. “There will be no mercy now,” he exulted. “Anyone standing in our way will be cut down.”
2/
The next day, at Hitler’s advice and urging, the #German #president issued a decree “for the protection of the people and the state.”
3/
Read 44 tweets
How Europe Raped Africa

The Berlin conference of 1884 is where European colonising nations basically carved up Africa. Historians refer to it as “the scramble for Africa”.

#Africa #Europe #WhiteSupremacy
The countries represented at the time included Austria-Hungary, Belgium, Denmark, #France, #Germany, Great Britain, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, #Russia, #Spain, Sweden-Norway (unified from 1814-1905), #Turkey, and the United States of #America.
The Conference of 1884–85, also known as the Congo Conference, regulated European colonization and trade in #Africa during the New Imperialism period and coincided with Germany's sudden emergence as an imperial power.
Read 34 tweets
"We accomplished a lot," @POTUS says after his meeting today with #Poland President @AndrzejDuda.
"The alliance between our nations has never been stronger, with us at the helm," @POTUS says to @AndrzejDuda. #Poland
"The United States and Poland are deeply committed to energy diversity all across Europe," @POTUS says at @WhiteHouse joint news conference.
Read 26 tweets
three major developments over the past day demonstrate how #Europe seeks to shape the global #Internet. if you only focus on US reg, dominated by politics & not law, you’re missing a major part of the action.
first: yesterday the European Ct of Justice held hearings on #France’s push to globalize the right to be forgotten politico.eu/article/google…
read @daphnehk on the implications: nytimes.com/2018/09/10/opi…
Read 9 tweets

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