INDIA #COVID19 breaches that 10,000 mark
1 to 100 - 44 days
100 to 1000 - 15 days
1000 to 10000 - 17 days
1 to 100 - 44 days
100 to 1000 - 15 days
1000 to 10000 - 17 days
What is happening here?
Due to the lock down the exponential curve, shifted to a polynomial curve with order of 3, yep, that is not so steep as the exponential one...
But this only shifts to my earlier projection of 36K on 15th April to 2 weeks more...that is now it appears!
Due to the lock down the exponential curve, shifted to a polynomial curve with order of 3, yep, that is not so steep as the exponential one...
But this only shifts to my earlier projection of 36K on 15th April to 2 weeks more...that is now it appears!
This is it...
Black line is the actual confirmed cases
The red dotted line is exponential curve
The green dotted line is the polynomial curve
#COVID19
Black line is the actual confirmed cases
The red dotted line is exponential curve
The green dotted line is the polynomial curve
#COVID19
This is the present India confirmed cases in LOG SCALE
The curve is no mood to flatten, though it is shifted from its exponential trajectory
The curve is no mood to flatten, though it is shifted from its exponential trajectory
For a comparison look at the trajectory of Kerala in LOG SCALE
this is called flattening
this is called flattening
Look at the India log scale, you will understand that the Markazz narrative goes busted there, though it is used as a bogey to communalise and passing the bucks!
If Union Government was at least 50% serious of what Kerala shown, we would have been in a better position!
If Union Government was at least 50% serious of what Kerala shown, we would have been in a better position!
If you don't understand, please read this..go through the travel advisories and corresponding figures of #COVID19 increase, each day delay in decision making to contain an epidemic, we have to pay a heavy price!
When the decision makers were busy with Hello Trump & Operation Kamalnath and did not heed to the red flags raised by the ICMR scientists, they speak to the nation through publishing articles in reputed journals!
Don't judge them with those press conferences!
Don't judge them with those press conferences!
It is the habit of an expert to speak to their peers, when the policy makers did not listen to them!
They will publish their studies in journals after peer review, that will speak loud for their expert opinion.
Decision is not taken by experts, it's by the political bosses!
They will publish their studies in journals after peer review, that will speak loud for their expert opinion.
Decision is not taken by experts, it's by the political bosses!
If you have any doubts about the calibre of @ICMRDELHI scientists, go to the articles published by them in Indian Journal of Medical Research, it will tell many unspoken warnings!
They are like RBI economists, during demonetisation, forced to surrender wisdom at gun point!
They are like RBI economists, during demonetisation, forced to surrender wisdom at gun point!
Of course, there is a conflict between an expert and a policy maker!
Expert while limiting to his esoteric world of expertise, the policy makers should see the larger picture of the society, economy and politics.
But the question how we took the decisions here?
Expert while limiting to his esoteric world of expertise, the policy makers should see the larger picture of the society, economy and politics.
But the question how we took the decisions here?
Take a journey back to the time line, yep, through that log scale, look at each day & response, when the minions to Junior Health Minister peddled anti-science did we hear anything?
When an epidemic was at your neighbor's yard, we damn care about it till it started to fly high!
When an epidemic was at your neighbor's yard, we damn care about it till it started to fly high!
Now, just before winding up, read this book, most policy makers and administrators are used to shut up the expert's anxieties!
THE LIMITATIONS OF THE EXPERT
As once I told my boss, "stop listening to a real expert at your own peril ;)"
END.
books.google.com/books/about/Th…
THE LIMITATIONS OF THE EXPERT
As once I told my boss, "stop listening to a real expert at your own peril ;)"
END.
books.google.com/books/about/Th…
