I shall do a thread later on the latest ONS data but I just want to concentrate on this part. Remember. This is England and Wales only. Up to week 17 (24 April 2020) since when the DCSC has added over 8k deaths.
There’s more
There’s more
2/. Excess deaths from Week 13 (w/e 27 March) at end week 17 stood at 38,417
From week 1 to 12 excess deaths had been 4878 BELOW the 5 year average.
So the two together suggest that COVID has pushed up deaths by 43,349 up to end week 17.
From week 1 to 12 excess deaths had been 4878 BELOW the 5 year average.
So the two together suggest that COVID has pushed up deaths by 43,349 up to end week 17.
3/ Add Scotland and NI & add at least the 8k more deaths announced by DHSC and I think there are more than the 50k excess deaths @ChrisGiles_ estimated yesterday, even allowing for the backward adjustment DHSC made on 29/4/2020 to include positive test in PH/NHS labs all settings
4/ England and Wales only.
Of all deaths occurring up to 24 April (registered up to 2 May), 28,272 involved #COVID19
For the same period
▪️ @DHSCgovuk reported 21,399 #COVID19 deaths
▪️ @NHSEngland reported 19,033 hospital deaths
ow.ly/TaSV50zx31L
Of all deaths occurring up to 24 April (registered up to 2 May), 28,272 involved #COVID19
For the same period
▪️ @DHSCgovuk reported 21,399 #COVID19 deaths
▪️ @NHSEngland reported 19,033 hospital deaths
ow.ly/TaSV50zx31L
Here is Chris Giles earlier thread. Fuller one from later in the day.
He is looking at excess deaths from week 13 when we crossed the 5yr average line.
He is looking at excess deaths from week 13 when we crossed the 5yr average line.
Two good graphs from @ukcivilservant
The gap between the DHSC deaths and ONS COVID deaths and then excess deaths is clear.
Germany is the blue line but I don’t know if that includes community deaths.
The gap between the DHSC deaths and ONS COVID deaths and then excess deaths is clear.
Germany is the blue line but I don’t know if that includes community deaths.
As @ukcivilservant points out :- Registrations lag deaths by a few days. This chart now includes both data sets. The good news is that the date/death line was already becoming less steep by mid-April.
