1/ thread
How safe is it to go out?
Find your local COVID data.
E.g., my son lives in SF Bay Area w/3 surrounding counties: San Francisco, San Mateo, & Santa Clara.
Locate
- no. of COVID cases
- no. active cases
- no. of deaths
worldometers.info/coronavirus/us…
How safe is it to go out?
Find your local COVID data.
E.g., my son lives in SF Bay Area w/3 surrounding counties: San Francisco, San Mateo, & Santa Clara.
Locate
- no. of COVID cases
- no. active cases
- no. of deaths
worldometers.info/coronavirus/us…
2/
And/or look for other local data, sometimes called "dashboards" to help find your data too.
sfbayca.com/corona/sfbay-c…
And/or look for other local data, sometimes called "dashboards" to help find your data too.
sfbayca.com/corona/sfbay-c…
3/ Add local data up. Find %'s
SF SM SC Total
# Cases 2,320 1,791 2,546 6,657
# Active 2,280 1,715 2,407 6,402
% Active 98% 96% 95% 96%
# Deaths 40 76 139 255
% Deaths 2% 4% 5% 4%
SF SM SC Total
# Cases 2,320 1,791 2,546 6,657
# Active 2,280 1,715 2,407 6,402
% Active 98% 96% 95% 96%
# Deaths 40 76 139 255
% Deaths 2% 4% 5% 4%
4/ Find the current local COVID "growth rates" or "reproduction number" ("R0").
COVID R0's typically abt 2.0-6.0 means "1 person infects 2 - 6 others".
Seasonal flu R0 is abt 1.0-2.5.
If R0>1, then the virus is spreading.
SF 1.08
SM 1.06
SC 0.86
missionlocal.org/2020/05/covid-…
COVID R0's typically abt 2.0-6.0 means "1 person infects 2 - 6 others".
Seasonal flu R0 is abt 1.0-2.5.
If R0>1, then the virus is spreading.
SF 1.08
SM 1.06
SC 0.86
missionlocal.org/2020/05/covid-…
5/
Here's a nice primer on the "reproduction number" or R0 if you want to learn more about it.
healthline.com/health/r-nough…
Here's a nice primer on the "reproduction number" or R0 if you want to learn more about it.
healthline.com/health/r-nough…
6/ Here are some basic R0's to compare so you can get a better feel for levels of reproduction and what they mean.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_rep…
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_rep…
7/ Now pull your numbers altogether:
- 96% of the total 6,657 people w/COVID in the SF Bay area still sick.
- abt 4% of people getting COVID in SF area will die
- A lot of sick people but 96% live through COVID.
- 1 sick person is infecting about 1.06 others.
- 96% of the total 6,657 people w/COVID in the SF Bay area still sick.
- abt 4% of people getting COVID in SF area will die
- A lot of sick people but 96% live through COVID.
- 1 sick person is infecting about 1.06 others.
8/ Know who is highly suspectable to get very sick and/or die in your area so you can avoid them.
"Most vulnerable are the elderly, as well as people with cardiovascular disease, diabetes, chronic respiratory illness, high blood pressure and cancer..."
cancerhealth.com/article/who-is…
"Most vulnerable are the elderly, as well as people with cardiovascular disease, diabetes, chronic respiratory illness, high blood pressure and cancer..."
cancerhealth.com/article/who-is…
/9 Be Smart
"A lot of people in the SF Bat area still have COVID & abt. 4% have died.
People are not getting reinfected as quickly as before, so my son can feel slightly safer to go out to the store, etc. but still needs to wear a mask, maintain distance, & wash his hands."
"A lot of people in the SF Bat area still have COVID & abt. 4% have died.
People are not getting reinfected as quickly as before, so my son can feel slightly safer to go out to the store, etc. but still needs to wear a mask, maintain distance, & wash his hands."
/10 Bottom Line: Be smart!
♥️Stay Safe
♥️Wear a mask
♥️Wash your hands
♥️Know the numbers abt how infectious COVID is in your local area
♥️Be aware of suspectable people around you
♥️Maintain Social Distancing
♥️Wash your hands every time you come home
♥️Stay Well
#Vote
/end
♥️Stay Safe
♥️Wear a mask
♥️Wash your hands
♥️Know the numbers abt how infectious COVID is in your local area
♥️Be aware of suspectable people around you
♥️Maintain Social Distancing
♥️Wash your hands every time you come home
♥️Stay Well
#Vote
/end
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