(vary between @JHUSystems and other tracking sites)
February 1
March ~4,000
April ~60,000
May ~40,000
covid19-projections.com
we'll hit 100,000 tomorrow, @youyanggu's model has been very accurate for many weeks
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EY5MLSSU4AAr8fI.jpg)
And that at least 20,000 lives were likely saved by mitigation measures (otherwise May would have been similar to April)
![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EY5cV2UUwAAqeFk.jpg)