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The first map is the key map in terms of understanding the problems with a one-size-fits-all lockdown approach. Any approach to reducing #COVID deaths that doesn't make long-term care facilities its first priority is, at this point, not serious.
Remember that only 1.8% of U.S. residents live in nursing homes or assisted living facilities, and yet these facilities have tallied 42% of all #COVID19 deaths.
I've updated the map a second time to reflect new information out of Ohio (h/t @patpaule). Ohio added nursing home & assisted living deaths before April 15 to their totals, which now means that in Ohio, LTC facility deaths are 70% of all #COVID19 fatalities.
The @FREOPP article by @GreggGirvan and me (freopp.org/the-covid-19-n…) now also contains a second map, that calculates nursing home & assisted living facility deaths per 10,000 residents in those facilities. This tells you how states are doing at protecting vulnerable seniors.
Tragically, in NJ, nearly one-tenth of all nursing home & assisted facility residents have died from #COVID19 (954/10,000). Other poor-performing states: CT (827), MA (703). Contrast with other large states FL (59), TX (50), CA (73).
Thanks to @btshapir for some useful feedback on these calculations and on tracking down the latest numbers in Illinois (IL has stopped reporting total nursing home & assisted living fatalities in the state).
At @Forbes, I examine some of the policy implications of this data, especially by contrasting how New York and Florida have handled the nursing home #COVID19 crisis: bit.ly/2AVqgYr
In a tweet that is higher up in this thread, I incorrectly stated the percentage of the U.S. population that’s in nursing homes or assisted living facilities. It’s actually 0.62%, not 1.8%: It turns out it’s actually 0.6% / 43%. I updated my calculations: bit.ly/2ZGb8J0
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