1/16. May 30 to June 05 - #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for cases/deaths/reproductive rates/tests in 167 countries and territories (15 detailed below) and 50 US States.
Data: @ECDC_EU coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE and @SDSCdatascience
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
Data: @ECDC_EU coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE and @SDSCdatascience
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…
2/16. Switzerland reported 35 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate 0.1%. With 16->14 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country remains in its safety zone.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.80
44,610 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.80
44,610 tests/1M pop
3/16. Italy reported 593 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a daily growth rate of 0.2%. With 517->466 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country remains in its safety zone.
Reproduct Rate (R-eff) 0.87
60,909 tests/1M pop
Reproduct Rate (R-eff) 0.87
60,909 tests/1M pop
4/16. France reported 3,325 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a daily growth rate of 0.6%. With 550 new cases/day forecast, the country reported a sudden batch of cases which deserves explanations.
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.96
21,217 tests/1M pop (among the lowest level in OECD)
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.96
21,217 tests/1M pop (among the lowest level in OECD)
5/16. Spain reported 1,137 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a daily growth rate of 0.3%. Plateauing at 660 new cases/day forecast, the country seems to know a recent surge in cases. Vigilance needed.
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.24
76,071 tests/1M pop
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.24
76,071 tests/1M pop
6/16. Sweden reported 639 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate of 1.6%. Plateauing at 525 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country is plateauing at low-medium level of activity.
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.08
23,659 tests/1M pop (among the lowest level in OECD
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.08
23,659 tests/1M pop (among the lowest level in OECD
7/16. Germany reported 741 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate of 0.3%. With 475->442 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country remains in its safety zone.
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 0.94
47,194 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 0.94
47,194 tests/1M pop
8/16. Iran reported 2,258 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate of 1.5%. With 2,075 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country is plateauing in its second wave of the epidemic.
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 0.98
10,448 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 0.98
10,448 tests/1M pop
9/16. Russia reported 8,371 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate of 2.3%. With 8,500->8,130 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country is now plateauing at high level of epidemic activity.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.96
66,480 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.96
66,480 tests/1M pop
10/16. South Africa reported 1,466 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a daily growth rate of 5%. With 1,325->1,620 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country is still in its exponential phase of its epidemic wave.
Reproduct. Rate (R-eff): 1.2
10,720 tests/1M pop
Reproduct. Rate (R-eff): 1.2
10,720 tests/1M pop
11/16. India reported 7,466 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a daily growth rate of 4.4%. With 7,107->7,835 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country remains at high activity in its epidemic wave.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.12
2,439 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.12
2,439 tests/1M pop
12/16. The USA reported 21,817 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a daily growth rate of 1.2%. With 19,730->17,710 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country cannot yet lift any of its social distancing meas.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.94
48,925 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.94
48,925 tests/1M pop
13/16. Canada reported 993 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate of 1.1%. With 938->825 new cases/day in the next days, the country is slowly landing in its epidemic safety zone.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.91
41,348 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.91
41,348 tests/1M pop
14/16. Mexico reported 3,377 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate of 4.2%. With 3,337->3,874 new cases/day in the next days, the country remains in high epidemic activity.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.14
1,901 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.14
1,901 tests/1M pop
15/16. Brazil reported 26,417 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate of 4.9%. With 20,510->23,050 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country remains in high epidemic activity.
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 1,18
4,104 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 1,18
4,104 tests/1M pop
16/16. Australia reported 11 new #COVID19 cases on May 29 with a growth rate of 0.1%. With 11 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country is quietly entering into the cold season.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.98
53,685 tests/1M pop
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.98
53,685 tests/1M pop
