Thread by @FLAHAULT

1/17. May 31 to June 06 - #COVID19 Daily Epidemic Forecasting for cases/deaths/reproductive rates/tests in 167 countries and territories (16 detailed below) and 50 US States
Data: @ECDC_EU coronavirus.jhu.edu
Powered by @ISG_UNIGE and @SDSCdatascience
renkulab.shinyapps.io/COVID-19-Epide…

2/17. Switzerland reported 32 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate 0.1%. With 24->30 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country remains in its safety zone.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.05
45,637 tests/1M pop

3/17. Italy reported 516 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a daily growth rate of 0.2%. With 517->482 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country remains in its safety zone.
Reproduct Rate (R-eff) 0.90
63,249 tests/1M pop

4/17. France reported 597 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a daily growth rate of 0.6%. With 580 new cases/day forecast, the country remains in its safety zone.
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.80 (not informative)
21,217 tests/1M pop (among the lowest level in OECD)

5/17. Spain reported 658 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a daily growth rate of 0.3%. With 628 new cases/day forecast, the country comes back to its safety zone.
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.08
76,071 tests/1M pop

6/17. Sweden reported 749 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 1.7%. Plateauing at 550 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country is plateauing at low-medium level of activity.
Reprod Rate (R-eff) 1.14
23,658 tests/1M pop (among the lowest level in OECD)

7/17. Germany reported 738 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 0.3%. With 560 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country remains in its safety zone.
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 1.07
47,194 tests/1M pop

8/17. The UK reported 2,095 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 0.9%. With 2,300->2,200 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country is plateauing at medium-high-level of its epidemic activity.
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 0.92
59,594,194 tests/1M pop

9/17. Iran reported 2,819 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 1.6%. With 2,250 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country is plateauing in its second wave of the epidemic.
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 1.07
10,687 tests/1M pop

10/17. Russia reported 8,372 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 2.3%. With 8,500->8,240 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country is now plateauing at high level of epidemic activity.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.96
70,693 tests/1M pop

11/17. South Africa reported 1,837 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a daily growth rate of 5.4%. With 1,516->2,000 new cases each day forecast in the next days, the country is still in its exponential phase of its epidemic wave.
Reproduct. Rate (R-eff): 1.29
11,848 tests/1M pop

12/17. India reported 7,964 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a daily growth rate of 4.5%. With 7,555->8,600 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country remains at high activity in its epidemic wave.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.14
2,619 tests/1M pop

13/17. The USA reported 25,337 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a daily growth rate of 1.3%. With 21,350 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country cannot yet lift any of its social distancing meas.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.00
51,706 tests/1M pop

14/17. Canada reported 906 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 1.1%. With 920->810 new cases/day in the next days, the country is slowly landing in its epidemic safety zone.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 0.91
43,255 tests/1M pop

15/17. Mexico reported 3,227 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 4.1%. With 3,411->3,885 new cases/day in the next days, the country remains in high epidemic activity.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.13
1,901 tests/1M pop

16/17. Brazil reported 26,928 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 5.1%. With 22,669->26,849 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country remains in high epidemic activity.
Reproductive Rate (R-eff) 1,24
4,378 tests/1M pop

17/17. Australia reported 23 new #COVID19 cases on May 30 with a growth rate of 0.2%. With 16 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the country is quietly entering into the cold season.
Reproductive Rate (R-effective) 1.3 (not very informative)
56,080 tests/1M pop