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Countries with the most active cases vs a week ago (and a month ago in linked tweet). Israel has now also tightened restrictions.

Record highs in
Americas: Argentina US
Asia: Uzbekistan
Europe: Bulgaria Montenegro
Africa: Algeria + Cameroon & Zambia due to delays reporting
The surge in less infected countries in the past week is evident in southern Africa, SE Europe with a little pick-up in Switzerland and Austria too
Greece and Turkey nearly level pegging in terms of active cases per 100,000 people
#China continues to be the world economy's most important success story in terms of keeping the #coronavirus suppressed

#Uruguay the only successful country in south America

#Mauritius one of the biggest successes in Africa
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Charlie Robertson
@RencapMan
Macron's call for the private sector to accept losses on their lending to Africa might be a short-sighted mistake. There is undoubtedly a moral (and selfish) case for public sector support by the G7/G20 to support less wealthy nations in this global health outbreak ...
But the private sector will already be paying for that via future higher taxation in their home countries. What Macron is suggesting those few private sector lenders who have lent to the poorest countries, should pay twice, now by taking a loss and in the future via domestic tax
For years, the call has gone out to the private sector to fund an estimated $100bn or more in unmet infrastructure needs across Africa. Few have stepped up. Funding this in the decade ahead will be more expensive if Macron wins this debate.
Read 7 tweets
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Charlie Robertson
@RencapMan
Some in the markets are looking at Korea which, like China before it, seems to be controlling the #coronavirus spread. Don't. East Asians are not seeing the active case infection rate double every 3 days but Europe (even Italy still) and the US are. See next tweet
East Asia has had school shut downs for weeks which has helped. Europe/US have not which means they are following the Italy playbook. The active #coronavirus case number per 100k in Switzerland is 6 days behind Italy. All schools were closed in Italy 5 days ago ...meanwhile ..
France and Germany are about 8-9 days behind Italy. Expect the Bundesliga to be suspended in 8 days and German schools needing to be closed in 5 days (it is a big debate in Germany already). The UK is probably 13-14 days behind Italy with implications for schools/football etc..
Read 7 tweets
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Charlie Robertson
@RencapMan
There are lots of "case fatality rates" for #COVID19 now but the best measure may be China ex-Hubei (incl HK + Macau) because the spread there mostly stopped weeks ago. Today it is 0.9% (113 died out of 12,117 who died or recovered) of confirmed cases. Normal flu around 0.1%
This does NOT mean that 0.9% of those who get the coronavirus are likely to die. The UK government seems to assume 20% of Hubei province (ie 12m out of 59m pop) got the virus but only 0.1% of Hubei were tested positive. Confirmed cases may be a tiny % of those who get it
The fatality rate of the #coronavirus will vary between countries depending on the quality of health care, whether the health system is overwhelmed (Iran, Hubei) and the age structure of the population
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