Around 2017, I dabbled in to seeking financial advise. From a well known Chennai based planner. While I was decently well read on the subject but I still want to see what that advisor had to offer. Read on [A thread]
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Goal 1: I was planning to buy a new car in few years. Target was to replace old one at 8-9th year.
I had money year marked in a low duration debt fund/ liquid fund.
Advise: put in a balanced fund for 4 years at 12% !!
No sequence of risk offcourse because planner is superb!!
Goal 2: that time I was blind about buying a home
My plan: create down payment in 4 years along with existing saving, rest take loan. Mode of saving: liquid funds
My planner: hey maccha, equity maccha
Equity for a goal 4 years away In full blown plan of 24 pages.
Hmmm
Just like that goal 3 and goal 4 were about child education and all. And now you know the story ;)
SIP, SIP, SIP...
So I asked, which Mutual fund I will invest in?
He said Rs 2040 me itna hi milega, invest thru us, we charge 2% on portfolio.
I kept thinking..
And then I read their assumption sheets.
I thought a lot and then I further thought a lot and I decided, nahi ho payega.
And that's how we never met again.
So all people who planning to outsource your financial advisory
Here is what I will recommend
1. Prepare yourself with basic first. 2. Read a lot about risk 3. Then read about sequence of risk 4. Read more about asset allocation
Don't find the best fund or best planner
First find the best YOU who is well informed and knows what is other speaking. If you are scared of maths and excel, imagine how scary it will be lose actual money.
There is tons of reading material to get you started. To absorb/learn/ being aware but it's important..
Don't connect till you are prepared. Here is what I will recommend first/ helped me a lot
Who has access to largest set of farmers?
17 states, 35000 village, 40 lakh farmers
Approx number of aata packets sold in an year: 15-17 crore bags!!
Who has the capacity? Manufacturing capabilities?
Who has the capacity to source that much wheat?
Who has the capacity to perhaps print their own carry bag
Who has a better cost control? Could rule exports?
One of the question i see lot of people asking in regards to PPFAS is " Where has return come from. Indian holding or foreign holding.
Lot of people have this high perception of only Nasdaq or tech stocks leading to it.
pretty baseless question though:)
A small thread
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There is absolutely no right way or scientific way (except some complicated XIRR). I made some assumptions.
a. Portfolio, stock holding and assume no change in stocks during the duration.
b. 31st dec, 2019 as the stock holding
c. 27 august 2020 as the final value.
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what were PPFAS value on 31st December.
they held about 12% cash. 26% in foreign stocks.
red indicate, they sold the position after dec 31st.
i have assumed, imagine they can not do any thing with their stock portfolio ( No change in existing stock) except cash)
They had around 12-13% cash. While Sensex is still 17% down from ath and Nasdaq at last ath, let's see how the cash helped
1./ ITC, took 5% punt
2./ They loaded on MCX, CSDL, averaged more on axis
3./ Moved out of nestle and picked Microsoft of almost same value
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They also moved a 4% position in AMZN and further 2% in FB once it crashed to 160 odd. Didn't add a share in Google.They also took a quick trade in HDFC though can't figure out what for but it must have been bought pretty low and then made a good trade given HDFC was 10%
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