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Chuck DeVore Profile picture
@ChuckDeVore
Jul 9, 2020 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
We're starting to get clear from the Independence Day weekend insofar as #COVID19TX metrics as reported by @TexasDSHS. There is reason for guarded optimism in the data. 1/4 @TPPF
First of all, the most #COVID tests ever were done, 75,556, with testing over the past 7 days up 19% from the prior 7 days. The positive test rate was down a bit after jumping higher over the last 2 days. The share of active cases hospitalized was down today. 2/4
And, the hospitalizations curve is bending. Tomorrow will confirm. Critically, we’ve seen as many people recover as new active cases and fatalities for a full week now. Prior to that we had 2+ weeks of new cases overmatching newly recovered. 3/4
We’re not out of the woods yet, but it looks like the hospital surge capacity put in place by @GovAbbott's team and #Texas' wonderful hospital administrators, doctors, and nurses will likely be isolated to a few border/rural regions. 4/4

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More from @ChuckDeVore

Chuck DeVore Profile picture
May 5
25 years ago in our technothriller "China Attacks" @StevenWMosher and I wrote the following words from the chairman of the Chinese Communist Party. (More excerpts from our book to follow.)

“We have an important three days of work ahead of us. China must resume her rightful place in the world—and soon. Our decisions over the next three days will determine how and when that happens. We have spent the past half-century developing our economy, our technology and our military. China has the world’s second largest economy, a rapidly expanding industrial base, and the world’s largest military. A new century is dawning, and it belongs to China.”
More from the book Steven Mosher and I authored 25 years ago:

“And think of the prize of Taiwan, with its first-world economy, its highly educated work force, and its cutting-edge technology. Gaining Hong Kong increased our GNP by about eight percent. Gaining Taiwan would increase our GNP by another ten percent overnight. Bringing Taiwan back into China will increase our military might, giving us ports from which our ships can steam farther, and airfields from which our planes can fly greater distances.

“But the prize here is larger than just Taiwan,” Fu continued. “Taiwan is the key to control of the entire first island chain, from Japan and Korea in the north, down to the Philippines and Indonesia in the south. Once Taiwan has been absorbed, Japan and Korea will fall into our orbit. The Philippines and Southeast Asia will follow. Within a short time the countries of the first island chain will be in the hands of governments friendly to China, and hostile to the United States. China, not the United States, will be the regional hegemon.”
“We all agree with the need to recapture Taiwan, by force if necessary,” the Defense Minister grumbled. “But I say that we are not strong enough yet. Let us bide our time for a few more years. Our star is rising. That of the U.S. is falling. In ten years we will have the world’s largest economy, and the most powerful military. We have only to wait and Taiwan will have no choice but to kowtow."
Read 7 tweets
Chuck DeVore Profile picture
Jun 18, 2021
More reports about the Feb. defection of China's vice minister of State Security, Dong Jingwei (董经纬), the highest ranking defection of a People's Republic of China official ever. He ran counter intelligence ops (spy-catcher) & has #Wuhan lab leak info. 1/4
#Dong's defection is likely the biggest story of the year regarding #China and the #COVID19 virus - unless the the aftermath of his defection causes #China to use military force. Dong would be in position to know about the Wuhan Institute of Virology. 2/4
It may be that the timing of the defection was why we suddenly saw the engineered #COVID virus theory gain purchase among corporate media outlets. A Chinese defector confirming this would lead to calls for China to pay reparations for the deaths they caused. 3/4
Read 4 tweets
Chuck DeVore Profile picture
Jun 17, 2021
How government mandated training often works in the real world (applicable to sexual harassment training, mandatory critical race sessions, etc.). In March of 2007, as a California State Assemblyman, I had to report to a required class on sexual harassment. 1/n
The class was required by AB 1825, passed in 2004. The law required employers with 50 or more employees to provide 2 hours of training and education to all supervisory employees every two years. leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavC… 2/n
Eventually, about 30 elected members of the State Assembly showed up for the class. I say eventually, because several of the Democrats, including members who voted for the bill, showed up 24 minutes late. 3/n
Read 7 tweets
Chuck DeVore Profile picture
May 20, 2021
I see there's some discussion over people moving to #Texas. That's great. About 40% of Texans weren't born in Texas. @DaveTurbohawk @Cleansniper23 1/6
Generally, states with more freedom attract more migrants, domestic and international, than states with less freedom. People vote with their feet. There are 3 polls over the years that suggest that the people moving to #Texas are not a political threat. 2/6
In the most recent year reported, about 560,000 people moved to Texas from the U.S. and about 450,000 people moved out. (See: census.gov/data/tables/ti…) @TPPF 3/6
Read 7 tweets
Chuck DeVore Profile picture
May 17, 2021
I've been reading the #Texas House Committee Substitute for SB10 capitol.texas.gov/BillLookup/His…, a bill which, as filed, sought to ban counties and cities from using taxpayer funds to lobby the legislature. @TPPF 1/n
Last Friday, the House State Affairs Committee amended the bill beyond all recognition. Now, instead of a ban on lobbying by cities and counties, lawyers are allowed unlimited lobbying and they no longer have to report it. 2/n
Further, SB10 now repeals SB65 authored by @TeamBettencourt in 2019 and signed into law by @GovAbbott. SB65 required Texas's political subdivisions to report their lobbying expenditures. Many have dragged their feet and not reported. capitol.texas.gov/BillLookup/His… 3/n
Read 10 tweets
Chuck DeVore Profile picture
Feb 18, 2021
See the second page of @ERCOT_ISO's latest reliability assessment. ercot.com/content/wcm/li… Under the top table describing the reserve margins, they have a table labelled “Range of Potential Risks.” 1/10 @TPPF @Life_Powered_ #texaspoweroutage
Something between the 4th and 5th columns is what happened this week. Add 2,000 MW of demand above ERCOT’s adjustment here (they assumed a record of 67,200 MW) and 10,000 MW from planned thermal outages, likely for maintenance, going into the cold front. 2/10
Take out another 1,600-1,900 MW from lower wind production than in the baseline, and reserves are below 2,000 MW. That’s where Texas was Sunday night. 3/10
Read 11 tweets

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