Thread by @FLAHAULT

1/6. USA: July 29 to Aug 04.
61,660 new cases of #COVID19 and 1,244 deaths on July 28. Daily Epidemic Forecasting for cases/deaths/R-eff/tests for 5 states.
Data coronavirus.jhu.edu (Tests from worldometers)
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2/6. New York reported 534 new #COVID19 cases on July 28 (2.7/100K pop) with a growth rate 0.2%.
With 630 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the state is plateauing just above its safety zone.
R-eff 0.91
292,211 tests/1M pop; CFR=7.9%; 1,679 deaths/1M pop

3/6. Texas reported 8,157 new #COVID19 cases on July 28 (28/100K pop), growth rate 1.8%.
With 6,700->5,300 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the state seems to have reached its epidemic peak.
R-eff = 0.83
130,269 tests/1M pop; CFR=1.4%; 204 deaths/1M pop

4/6. Florida reported 9,230 new #COVID19 cases on July 28 (43/100K pop), growth rate 2.3%
With 10,000->9,500 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the state is plateauing at high level of its epidemic activity.
R-eff = 0.93
162,268 tests/1M pop; CFR=1.4%; 285 deaths/1M pop

5/6. California reported 12,641 new #COVID19 cases on July 28 (32/100K pop), growth rate 1.9%.
With 8,500 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the state is is plateauing at high level of its epidemic activity.
R-eff=0.97
187,736 tests/1M pop; CFR=1.8%; 220 deaths/1M pop

6/6. Arizona reported 2,107 new #COVID19 cases on July 28 (29/100K pop), growth rate 1.4%.
With 2,400->2,200 new cases/day forecast in the next days, the state seems to have reached its epidemic peak.
R-eff=0.88
152,888 tests/1M pop; CFR=2.1%; 468 deaths/1M pop