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UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
@UKandEU
Aug 5, 2020 • 10 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
Welcome to the next in our #AcademicintheSpotlight series that promotes social scientists doing innovative & dynamic research that you really ought to be aware of.

This week is the turn of Thomas Sampson @thom_sampson, who works on trade, Brexit & the UK economy.🔻 Image
First, watch this video and find out about his work. 🎦

@ESRC | @UKRI_News | @BritishAcademy_ | @CfScocialScience | @AcadSocSciences | @socscispace | @NIESRorg | @britsoci | @LSEnews | @LSEImpactBlog | @Lse | @LSEEcon | @CEP_LSE
Thomas started studying the economic effects of leaving the European Union with @CEP_LSE colleagues back in 2014.

Their first forecast explored how changes in trade barriers would affect UK productivity and income levels.

eprints.lse.ac.uk/57958/1/__lse.…
Thomas has worked with us to produce influential forecasts of the economic implications of both Boris Johnson & Theresa May’s Brexit deals.
Within a fortnight, this analysis of the economic impact of Johnson’s withdrawal agreement was cited on 8 separate occasions during debates in the UK Parliament.

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…
The analysis found that Johnson’s proposals for a free trade agreement with the EU would be substantially more damaging in the long run than May’s deal, although less costly than an exit on WTO terms. Image
Thomas also studies the ongoing economic effects of Brexit.
He found that the decline in sterling after the referendum increased consumer prices by around 2.9% m, which equates to an £870 pound per year increase in the cost of living for the average household.

personal.lse.ac.uk/sampsont/XRate…
In this thread, Thomas summarises research on how the Brexit vote has affected the UK economy so far:

Read more about @thom_sampson’s work and his plans for exploring how UK firms adjust to the twin shocks of Covid-19 and new trade barriers with the EU.

ukandeu.ac.uk/international-…

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More from @UKandEU

UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Jun 18
📢 PANEL 1: Northern Ireland

👥 Our first panel has begun, with @DPhinnemore, @hayward_katy, Martin Fraser @IrelandEmbGB, & @jillongovt.

📊 David & Katy will present their latest polling then the panel will consider what’s next for politics in NI


Image
🗣️ "There is support for these arrangements...even if they are just getting over a majority".

📈@DPhinnemore unpacks the data from the latest report "testing the temperature", and the Protocol/Windsor Framework.
@DPhinnemore 📊 "The level of trust in the UK government is very low"

@DPhinnemore unpacks the data on levels of trust in managing Northern Ireland's interests in relation to the post-Brexit arrangements.
Read 4 tweets
UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Jul 15, 2021
🔊The Prime Minister has delivered his big speech on the 'levelling up' agenda ⬇

But what do we already know about 'levelling up'?

And what does the research show about how regional equality can be achieved?

Read this #ThursdayThread to find out more!🤳
Reflecting on lessons from elsewhere in Europe on how to achieve regional economic convergence, @thomasforth @ODILeeds @TheDataCity argues for a commitment to invest more in skills, transport, research and development & culture in cities across the UK👇👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/regional-inequ…
@michaelkenny_ & @TKelsey915 lay out the evidence that 'a top-down plan for place-based intervention, based upon bilateral negotiations with local areas, runs the risk of enforcing the priorities & orthodoxies of the centre'📝

ukandeu.ac.uk/long-read/leve…

@Dept_of_POLIS
Read 5 tweets
UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Jul 14, 2021
Our #AcademicintheSpotlight series promotes academics producing thought-provoking work on the UK’s changing relationship with the EU. This week, we feature @fiona_costello – who works on the @EUmigrantworker project at @cambridgelaw.

Find out more 👇👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/eu-migrant-wor…
@fiona_costello's research looks at the impact of Brexit on EU nationals in the UK, and how these problems are being resolved by community advice organisations.

Watch this to find out more ⬇⬇

As well as working as an academic, Fiona works with @GyrosOrg to help EU nationals access legal advice and support – allowing her to understand everyday problems facing EU nationals on the frontline.
Read 6 tweets
UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Feb 3, 2021
Our next #IsolationInsight event on 'The Future of the EU' is about to start

Speakers:

@HelenHet20
@simonjhix
@lisaocarroll
Loukas Tsoukalis
@anandMenon1 (chair)

Watch LIVE here:

We'll be live-tweeting from this thread...
.@simonjhix: "In the medium term, Brexit is a challenge to the EU. There will be a UK model of exit."

"At some point, the UK model will seem quite attractive, which could be politically very difficult for the EU."
.@HelenHet20: "The EU's reaction to #Brexit was primarily defensive, but there was an opportunity to face the euro-ins and euro-outs question head on."

"Instead, it was seen as a potential long-term threat to the EU's credibility."
Read 33 tweets
UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Sep 24, 2020
Yesterday we released a NEW report #WhatWouldNoDealMean.

And, you've guessed it, this report is the subject of today's #ThursdayThread. 🧵

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…
.@BorisJohnson has said that no deal with the EU would be a “good outcome” for the UK.

This report highlights what it would mean in terms of trade, fisheries, connectivity, the impact on citizens, Northern Ireland, economics, security, foreign policy, politics and more.
On #trade, the two sides would revert to #WTO rules.

We’re talking tariffs, customs checks, and regulatory checks. In other words, increased hassle, increased time and increased costs for businesses trading with the EU.

@CSBarnard24 explains.
Read 14 tweets
UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Sep 23, 2020
Our BRAND NEW report on what no deal would mean is out today

Our experts are giving a briefing on the report this morning...

(Thread)

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…
. @jillongovt: "No deal now is not the same as last year because the financial settlement, citizens' rights and Northern Ireland were dealt with in the Withdrawal Agreement."

#NoDealBrexit
. @jillongovt: "There could be extensive disruption at the UK-EU border."

"Lots of #Brexit officials were redeployed to #Covid_19 and some things are running late."

#NoDealBrexit
Read 14 tweets

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