UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Sep 8, 2020 19 tweets 8 min read Read on X
Our first #IsolationInsight event has just started. Join us here 🔻🔻🔻

There is a big divide between traditional Tories and this new intake of Tory MPs says @katyballs. However, Brexit is where there is most agreement in the Tory party.
The big test for Labour will ultimately be what are the policies going to be. Where does Labour stand on the economy? Keir Starmer will need to say more about where Labour sits says @katyballs.

app.sli.do/event/ols1l2ct…

#IsolationInsight
We've got out of the habit of understanding what the politics of employment and unemployment look like says @HelenHet20.

#IsolationInsight
There's going to be a big political question about what the debt is going to be used for. There is so much debt that tax increases are not going to make any difference to the risks involved says @HelenHet20 at #IsolationInsight.
In terms of the Union, things are a lot more difficult than before the Covid crisis begun. It has shown how dysfunctional the UK's constitutional arrangements are when dealing with the crisis says @HelenHet20.

#IsolationInsight
The pandemic is going to have a profound impact on democratic politics everywhere, playing out in the the next 5 to 10 to 15 years, says David Runciman.

#IsolationInsight
We're going to be shocked 10 years on, but I have no idea what the shock is going to be, says David Runciman.

#IsolationInsight
Representative democracy is not set up to tackle climate change. It's not proactive and climate change is a proactive problem says David Runciman.

#IsolationInsight
Representative democracy has one in built advantage - most people don't want to do politics with their lives says David Runciman.

#IsolationInsight
We haven't had the politics of mass unemployment since the 1980s - and we've forgotten what that looks like, says @HelenHet20.

#IsolationInsight
Since becoming Labour leader, who is Starmer trying to win on side? I don't think Starmer knows the answer yet says @katyballs.

#IsolationInsight
The politics of currency questions was a big part of politics, but we've moved away from that, because other things have taken its place.

The question of currency is central again - which can be leveraged in positive and negative ways by the govt says David Runciman.
Populism is more symptom than cause to get around the limitations of a representative democracy says David Runciman.
I think it is quite clear that there is a strong sense by No10 that Whitehall as it sits currently doesn't work says @katyballs.
In terms of economic policy, I don't think No10 is in the same place as No.11 says @katyballs.
The one thing that will concentrate the govt's mind on economic policy will be if bond markets start making it harder for govt to borrow. I think that will happen in the end, but no one knows when that's going to be, says @HelenHet20.
In terms of foreign policy, it looks to me that the British govt is not all in with the US or the EU - and is therefore not taking a consistent position on geopolitical issues says @HelenHet20.
Foreign policy is where Boris Johnson can show he's a liberal Conservative says @katyballs.

#IsolationInsight

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More from @UKandEU

Jun 18
📢 PANEL 1: Northern Ireland

👥 Our first panel has begun, with @DPhinnemore, @hayward_katy, Martin Fraser @IrelandEmbGB, & @jillongovt.

📊 David & Katy will present their latest polling then the panel will consider what’s next for politics in NI


Image
🗣️ "There is support for these arrangements...even if they are just getting over a majority".

📈@DPhinnemore unpacks the data from the latest report "testing the temperature", and the Protocol/Windsor Framework.
@DPhinnemore 📊 "The level of trust in the UK government is very low"

@DPhinnemore unpacks the data on levels of trust in managing Northern Ireland's interests in relation to the post-Brexit arrangements.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 15, 2021
🔊The Prime Minister has delivered his big speech on the 'levelling up' agenda ⬇

But what do we already know about 'levelling up'?

And what does the research show about how regional equality can be achieved?

Read this #ThursdayThread to find out more!🤳
Reflecting on lessons from elsewhere in Europe on how to achieve regional economic convergence, @thomasforth @ODILeeds @TheDataCity argues for a commitment to invest more in skills, transport, research and development & culture in cities across the UK👇👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/regional-inequ…
@michaelkenny_ & @TKelsey915 lay out the evidence that 'a top-down plan for place-based intervention, based upon bilateral negotiations with local areas, runs the risk of enforcing the priorities & orthodoxies of the centre'📝

ukandeu.ac.uk/long-read/leve…

@Dept_of_POLIS
Read 5 tweets
Jul 14, 2021
Our #AcademicintheSpotlight series promotes academics producing thought-provoking work on the UK’s changing relationship with the EU. This week, we feature @fiona_costello – who works on the @EUmigrantworker project at @cambridgelaw.

Find out more 👇👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/eu-migrant-wor…
@fiona_costello's research looks at the impact of Brexit on EU nationals in the UK, and how these problems are being resolved by community advice organisations.

Watch this to find out more ⬇⬇

As well as working as an academic, Fiona works with @GyrosOrg to help EU nationals access legal advice and support – allowing her to understand everyday problems facing EU nationals on the frontline.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 3, 2021
Our next #IsolationInsight event on 'The Future of the EU' is about to start

Speakers:

@HelenHet20
@simonjhix
@lisaocarroll
Loukas Tsoukalis
@anandMenon1 (chair)

Watch LIVE here:

We'll be live-tweeting from this thread...
.@simonjhix: "In the medium term, Brexit is a challenge to the EU. There will be a UK model of exit."

"At some point, the UK model will seem quite attractive, which could be politically very difficult for the EU."
.@HelenHet20: "The EU's reaction to #Brexit was primarily defensive, but there was an opportunity to face the euro-ins and euro-outs question head on."

"Instead, it was seen as a potential long-term threat to the EU's credibility."
Read 33 tweets
Sep 24, 2020
Yesterday we released a NEW report #WhatWouldNoDealMean.

And, you've guessed it, this report is the subject of today's #ThursdayThread. 🧵

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…
.@BorisJohnson has said that no deal with the EU would be a “good outcome” for the UK.

This report highlights what it would mean in terms of trade, fisheries, connectivity, the impact on citizens, Northern Ireland, economics, security, foreign policy, politics and more.
On #trade, the two sides would revert to #WTO rules.

We’re talking tariffs, customs checks, and regulatory checks. In other words, increased hassle, increased time and increased costs for businesses trading with the EU.

@CSBarnard24 explains.
Read 14 tweets
Sep 23, 2020
Our BRAND NEW report on what no deal would mean is out today

Our experts are giving a briefing on the report this morning...

(Thread)

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…
. @jillongovt: "No deal now is not the same as last year because the financial settlement, citizens' rights and Northern Ireland were dealt with in the Withdrawal Agreement."

#NoDealBrexit
. @jillongovt: "There could be extensive disruption at the UK-EU border."

"Lots of #Brexit officials were redeployed to #Covid_19 and some things are running late."

#NoDealBrexit
Read 14 tweets

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