Hello to everyone suddenly paying attention to the orange skies of the west coast!
Local journalist here, fresh off weeks of interviewing weather, climate, forest, and fire experts to give you . . . a #CaliforniaFires explainer thread:
1. Our sky looks crazy because the sunlight is filtering through up to 50,000 feet of smoke and ash to reach the ground.
2. This happens when fires are so
a) big, and
b) intense
that they make their own weather: a column of super-heated air that launches smoke and ash miles up into the atmosphere.
3. Now, California's forests are adapted to burning on the regular.
BUT: California's forests are not adapted to burning *like this.*
So, why are we getting these firestorms now?
sierraforestlegacy.org/Resources/Cons…
4. For about a century the US Forest Service (which owns ~58% of California's forests today) had a zero-tolerance approach to wildfires.
(Timber is a commodity. The government didn't want it to burn. And it got really, really good at putting fires out.)
foresthistory.org/research-explo…
5. Without regular burns , California's forests got . . . crowded. They spent decades accumulating things that would have burned off: small trees, scrub, dead branches. (What firefighters call "fuel." )
motherjones.com/environment/20…
6. Crowded forests are also thirsty forests:
the scrub that's not burning off sucks more water out of the soil. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.10…
8. So California's forests get unnaturally crowded with plants that:
-are small, thus easy to ignite
-closely-spaced, thus easy for fire to spread between
-stressing the bigger trees by competing for water
Then comes this: drought.gov/drought/califo…
9. One hundred forty-seven million trees died in a decade. They dry into tinder. They fall over, into fire-log position. (The deaths were particularly concentrated in the place where the #Creekfire is launching smoke 50,000 feet into the atmosphere.) sfchronicle.com/california-wil…
10. Now when fires ignite, they burn super-hot and spread super-fast.
And we tend to get lots of fires *at the same time*--
either because of lightning storms (see: August), or seasonal bouts of hot, dry wind (September) that damage power equipment and fan sparks into infernos.
11. The final reason everyone's freaking:
Fire season is just starting in California -- our worst months are usually September and October -- but we've already burned more acres than any year since we started keeping records. cbsnews.com/news/californi…

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More from @bedwardstiek

23 Aug
Hello from smoke-choked California!
Since our wildfires are starting to crack into national news, here's a quick quick primer on forests and fires here and what you need to make sense of the headlines 1/
FIRST:
Burned does not equal killed. In redwoods, for instance:
-high tannins retard flame
-thick bark insulates living tree-flesh
-high crowns stay clear of low flames
Early reports suggest a lot of the redwoods inside Big Basin will survive.
2/
mercurynews.com/2020/08/20/his…
The footage of a fire burning inside a tree looks apocalyptic.
In fact, it's so common that we have a word for the hollow space it leaves behind: "goosepen" (because early anglo settlers used the natural hollows to shelter livestock.) 3/
Read 14 tweets
3 Jun
Hey let's go over some of the weapons police are using on protesters, and where they came from:
1. Rubber bullets:
-Developed by the British to suppress Irish nationalists during The Troubles
-Kill roughly 3% of the people they're used on
-The UK stopped using them decades ago khn.org/news/police-us…
2. Pepper Spray:
-Developed by this guy, who's kind of appalled by how it gets used now: huffpost.com/entry/pepper-s…
Read 7 tweets
28 Mar
It's sad the California Capitol press corps has been hollowed out by years of newspaper cuts, b/c we could really use a well-sourced ticktock on wtf is going on inside the Newsom administration's COVID-19 response.
Like, he repeatedly issues executive orders whose text is at odds with how he describes those same executive orders in his press briefings. Why? What's going on inside his operation?
Why does he name-check Elon Musk every. Single. Time.?
Read 8 tweets
1 Mar
Berkeleyites just got mailed a glossy newsletter-looking thing published anonymously "by neighbors, for neighbors." Let's check some assertions, and look into the publisher 1/
There's an entire page devoted to an un-sourced argument that homeless people in Berkeley are moving here from out of state because our homeless services "can't be beat."
This ... would surprise actual homeless people in Berkeley. 2/
In fact, Berkeley's latest point-in-time homeless count finds 5% of homeless Berkeleyan were living out of state at the time they became homeless. 3/
Read 16 tweets
12 Feb
Let's review the things that happened since BART's ridership started dropping in 2014 that have nothing to do with homeless people riding the train: 1/
1. BART's raised minimum fares a cumulative 19%. (Chart from @danbrekke article here:)kqed.org/news/11793325/…
2. Gas prices plunged by almost 1/3 as fracked oil started hitting the market.
So: driving got cheaper while BARTing got priceier.
statista.com/statistics/204…
Read 7 tweets
30 Nov 19
Hi!
Apropos of a rent bad tweet I'll not amplify here, a reminder that the *most* government-subsidized form of housing in the US is... <drumroll>
.
.
.
the owner-occupied suburban single-family home!

Here's a thread:
1/ The government spends ~2x as much through the Mortgage Interest Deduction as it does subsidizing low-income renters through Section 8.*
*(These figures predate the Trump tax bill, which slightly lowered the MID cap)
apartmentlist.com/rentonomics/im…
1b/ Guess who the MID benefits? High-income households!
That's because:
-The bigger a mortgage, the bigger the deduction (up to a cap of $750k)
-The higher your tax bracket, the more valuable the deduction
-Cheaper homes=lower mortgages=no benefit from itemizing, anyway
Read 17 tweets

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