(1) How people build their own bubbles on Facebook and Twitter:

When you first join either RB or Tw, you have no following list. As a result, you have nothing in your feed.

Twitter offers you some vanilla ideas, and then you tend to follow some of your friends. ImageImageImage
(2) As you add friends or your favorite celebrities and news personalities, you will start receiving tweets and retweets.

This will immediately bias your feed to the tastes of your most active friends and celebrities.

When you read a retweet, you can follow its author. Image
(3) Pretty soon, you're encased in a bubble that is designed to be aligned with your biases.

As you follow, unfollow, mute and block accounts, you shape the bubble to your liking, but it is difficult to communicate between bubbles. Image
(4) Media sources in both bubbles spend inordinate amounts of time discrediting sources in the other bubble.

This allows them to discredit opponents and hide their side's deficiencies.

Your state's on fire, and all the news shows is an argument about President Trump! Image
(5) As infused erroneous beliefs and overemphasized facts become part of your belief system, you further isolate yourself from the alternative party and the facts they present.

As they become the others, it's easier to justify propaganda aimed at them. Image
(6) Now, amidst an ongoing feud between partisans, real threats arise:
(a) like Russian election interference,
(b) criminal & neurotic Presidents with their criminal cadres,
(c) devastating pandemics and
(d) a trillion dollars worth of damage due to extreme weather. ImageImageImageImage
(7) And even though Twitter and Facebook are great platforms for building bubbles, and sharing information within them, they are terrible platforms for resolving conflict.

How many times have you posted a detailed response, only to see the other side pivot to "Whataboutism"? ImageImageImageImage
(8) Russia was freed from the CCCP and had a chance to become a land of freedom & opportunity.

Instead, a group of ex-KGB officers enticed, compromised & coerced wealthy Russians into forming a covert, ruthless ruling party where vast wealth is siphoned from the Russia people. Image
(9) When "oil export dependent" Russian economy was crippled, Putin set his sights on former Soviet states, getting puppet presidents elected and siphoning their peoples' wealth. ImageImageImage
(10) Putin's playbook involves sowing division and inserting an enticed, compromised, and if necessary, coerced candidate.

Once in place, the reins of power are migrated from a system of checks and balances to a dictatorship with a democratic facade. ImageImageImageImage
(11) Once, you play ball, if you defect from Putin, the consequences are grim.

Paul Manafort chose Federal Prison over defection. ImageImageImageImage
(12) Roger Ailes vision to create GOP TV has metastasized. After 50yrs, its combined w/Rove's continuous propaganda wars & Citizen United's unlimited dark money to produce a hyperpolarized, fact-free America.

That America has been under attack from a Putin-led coup for 5yrs. ImageImageImageImage
(13) How many current Republican Cabinet & Congress members are compromised? How many simply drink their own Kool Aid?

How did the NRA debacle get swept under the rug?

Why did hyper-partisan Republicans vote not guilty when Trump clearly violated crucial Constitutional Law? ImageImageImage
(14) The coup is now. Our democracy is in jeopardy. Surprises are planned for October.

Twitter & Facebook won't work; neither will the Mainstream Media, it only preaches to its choir.

We need to awaken the grassroots of the right & break them out of their bubble, but how? ImageImage
(15) Related Thread on Trump's Ministry of Propaganda:

(16) Related Thread on the Trump Family's German Roots:

Paternal Grandfather, Kallstadt, Bavaria, Germany
Paternal Grandmother, Kallstadt, Bavaria, Germany

Father Fred, 1st General Immigrant w/German Parents, Raised Speaking German, Said we're Swedish

(17) Learn about the success of "The Fake News" and "The Deep State" propaganda memes, here:

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More from @39Magilla

16 Oct
(1) Understanding the importance of changes in "Confirmed #COVID19 Cases per Infection":

Not all Infections are discovered, so Confirmed Cases underestimates actual Infections.

Early in the pandemic a very small percentage of Infections were Confirmed (Level 1). Image
(2) Because testing was primarily limited to patients at emergency departments at hospitals, only patients with moderate to severe or even critical symptoms were tested. Image
(3) For instance, we know from the New York seroprevalence study that there were more than 9-12 times as many Infections as Confirmed Cases during the New York outbreak. Image
Read 11 tweets
5 Oct
@enchiridion47 @yaneerbaryam (1) Quick & Dirty Peru SITREP:

The test positivity data for Peru shows an extremely low Tests-to-Cases ratio of only about 4-to-1, where targets are 30-to-1 or higher to achieve significant benefits of testing and isolation. Most of the community spread is not being detected. Image
@enchiridion47 @yaneerbaryam (2) For recent data in Florida, the current Infections-per-Case ratio is estimated at 4.5X to 5.5X, and the fatality rate for people over 70 plateaus at about 10%.

In Peru, they are seeing 25-40% fatalities, suggesting I-to-C ratios of 12:1 to 20:1. ImageImage
@enchiridion47 @yaneerbaryam (3) While Peru does seem to be conforming to mask mandates in Lima, there may be other transmission vectors in play. Peru is notorious for discharging untreated wastewater, including human fecal waste, directly in the ocean. This may be a rare vector impacting their spread. Image
Read 10 tweets
4 Oct
(1) A wide distribution of sputum aerosol droplets containing coronavirus leave the nose and mouth of the infected person, but they all shrink as they evaporate, concentrating the virus and making filter masks less effective against them.
(2) The infected person's filter mask catches a larger percentage of the initial particles and also limits their outward velocities.

The combined effect is estimated to be a 95% reduction in viral transmission.
(3) If the infected person doesn't wear a mask, the aerosol particles are projected further and they arrive with concentrated virus bound to much smaller aerosol droplets, making a susceptible person's mask less effective.
Read 8 tweets
3 Oct
(1) US Excess Deaths for Adults aged 25-44 now exceeds 21,000:

Over 10,000 Women, aged 25 to 44, have died:
- Young adults
- Young partners
- Moms

For comparison: 149 women (who now make up 15% of US Armed Forces) have died in the "War on Terror".

cmrlink.org/sitrep/full/gr… Image
(2) Evidence References for US Excess Deaths for Adults aged 25-44.

CDC Source URL:
cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr…

US Military Women Killed in War URL:
cmrlink.org/sitrep/full/gr… ImageImageImageImage
(3) Basis Discussion, Part 1:

1. Lower est. based on Maximum value of weekly deaths for the years 2015-2019, adjusted up by 0.6% for three years (1.01810822 X).

2. 50-50 est. based on Average value of weekly deaths for the years 2015-2019, adjusted up by 0.6% for three years. Image
Read 7 tweets
16 Sep
(1) How and when did Trump's propagandists brainwash Small Town and Southern White America? An exploration.
(2) Donald J. Trump is an odd hero for the American South. He's famously been caught mocking Jeff Session's Southern drawl, at CPAC (video). In addition, the @NewYorker reported that "Trump Called Jeff Sessions a 'Dumb Southerner.' "

(3) Trump's popularity with Small Town America seems equally bizarre. His proposed "2020 Budget Devastates Rural America". His poorly planned trade war with China has also been devastating. Still they stand by him, but why and when?

budget.house.gov/publications/r…
Read 45 tweets
9 Sep
(1) Last thread, Trump's German heritage, I showed that both his grandparents were born in Kallstadt, Germany and had the bulk of their family there during WW I.

Trump's grandfather died of the 1918 Spanish Flu, & his grandmother, Elisabeth, was alone.

(2) This thread, we will cover Fred Trump, Donald's father.

Fred's father, Friedrich returned to Kallstadt, Germany in 1901, and by the next year, met and married Elisabeth Christ. They moved to New York City, where their first child, Elizabeth, was born in 1904.
(3) Later that year, the family returned to Kallstadt & Fred Christ Trump was conceived in Bavaria, where his parents wished to re-establish residency, but Frederick Sr. was banished for dodging the draft. The family returned to the Bronx in 1905, where Fred was born 11/11.
Read 28 tweets

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