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Ali 🖤🕊 Profile picture
@aliostad
Sep 20, 2020 • 11 tweets • 4 min read • Read on X
Day 204 and 205 - #COVID19 in Iran

3rd wave (Ashura wave) is fierce... a quick update

Picking up from two days ago:
Me:

My methods:

[Current Outlook]
Worsening by the day again if not by the hour. Considering 3rd wave started when 2nd wave has still some steam, I think it will be worse than both previous waves.

Authorities have admitted the main cause was the Ashura ceremonies.
Dr. Zali, the outspoken head of COVID Taskforce in Tehran has demanded for the return of lockdown in Tehran (9M) as the pace of rise of the cases is frightening in the capital. ERs (A&E) report three-fold increase in patients with COVID symptoms.

isna.ir/news/990630228…
It is no news that there is a huge underreporting (and even "doctor"ing) of the numbers is going on but even by the official accounts there are 60 daily deaths in Tehran and authorities warn it could reach 600 if it goes this way.

One of the members of the National COVID Taskforce estimates that 20-30% of Iranians have had COVID so far.

Qom (1.2M), the original epicentre, is going through tougher and tougher days with the currently admitted cases constantly rising for the last 3 months but most noticeable over the last two weeks and now at 660. Max was ~900 during the 1st wave.

Khuzestan which had a tough 2nd wave, has now gone into the 3rd wave and status red.

Overall, the whole country and across almost all 31 provinces we are seeing the rising trend and "at the same time". While the 2nd wave was widespread, it peaked at different times in different provinces but this time it feels all "synchronised".

Why? Ashura ceremonies.
Not gonna take more of your time. Thanks for noting.

Leaving you with another short audio clip emerged from Navid Afkari's court processions. #NavidAfkari #injustice

Good night and stay safe.

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More from @aliostad

Ali 🖤🕊 Profile picture
Jun 15
🚨🧵🚨
Eyewitness account from family and friends on what goes on in life of ordinary Iranian during these times

👇
Talked to my brother last night, begged him to go to the North (Mazandaran and Gilan province) where my parents are now. He said no.

Today, when he was in his office in Sohrevardi in central north of Tehran, 4 locations were hit, some 100s of meters away.

1/
He decided to go to his home (in Gholhak, ~5km), get his stuff and hit the road. It took him 4.5 hours to get home - it would take 30 minutes usually. Once home, he realised no running water since the main pipe was taken out in an attack in Tajrish today.

/2
Read 16 tweets
Ali 🖤🕊 Profile picture
Oct 29, 2022
Back in 1994, a bombing in Mashhad's holy shrine of 8th Shia Imam killed 25 and injured 70.

This bombing was attributed to MEK, a terrorist organisation that back then was reinventing itself as a political opposition.

en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Imam_Reza…
It then, however, turned out to be the work of Islamic Republic's own intelligence ministry. They finally accepted that an "autonomous cell" within the ministry led by Saied Emami had gone rogue and planned and executed the attack. Image
With that in the back of Iranian minds, terrorist attack on Shah Cheragh shrine in Shiraz was immediately dismissed as the work of the Islamic Republic itself, especially considering the timing (protests).

But it is undeniable that ISIS has claimed responsibility and released 👇 Image
Read 4 tweets
Ali 🖤🕊 Profile picture
Oct 29, 2022
43rd day of #IranProtests following the killing of #MahsaAmini

I am not sure even where to start.

Today, dozens of cities around the world will witness human chains of Iranians extending for miles.

This has been planned for London too, sadly I do not feel well enough to go. Image
After weeks and weeks of reactive handling of the protests in the hope of them fizzling out, today the regime is planning to use today's burial procession of Shiraz terrorist attack victims to take the initiative back again.

IRGC Commander again declared the end of protests. ImageImageImageImage
As you can see from the images above, even for a neutral event where everyone would condemn such cowardly terrorist attack (and I do too), the regime failed to bring masses to the street.

Believe me I chose busiest pics, check them for yourself.

tasnimnews.com/fa/media/1401/…)
Read 27 tweets
Ali 🖤🕊 Profile picture
Oct 27, 2022
41st day of #IranProtests. The world has now heard our voice.

✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️✌️
❤️❤️❤️🤍🤍🤍💚💚💚

#IranProtests2022 #MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #مهسا_امینی Image
Today the situation was very tense in Kurdistan after the processions for burying a man who had been shot dead in Mahabad.

Protesters on their return captured governor building and there were tense clashes in all of Kurdistan and several others have been shot dead. Image
There are protests in several towns and cities across Iran.

Borujerd, Lorestan province

Chanting "Freedom, Freedom, Freedom!"

#IranProtests2022 #MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #مهسا_امینی

Read 13 tweets
Ali 🖤🕊 Profile picture
Oct 27, 2022
#BREAKING The country is in turmoil and it feels like the regime is losing the grip - which is not necessarily good news since this might mean we enter a military phase.

People are reported to be in control of Town of Mahabad in Kurdistan

#MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #مهسا_امینی
Last night a protester was killed in Mahabad (168K) and today seems like most the population were on the street

#IranProtests2022 #MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #مهسا_امینی

Meanwhile security forces clashed with the mourners who had come for the 40th of Nika Shakarami

#IranProtests2022 #MahsaAmini #IranRevolution #مهسا_امینی

Read 4 tweets
Ali 🖤🕊 Profile picture
Oct 26, 2022
#BREAKING

Inconsistencies around the story on attack to Shah Cheragh in Shiraz have been discovered.

First of all, ISIS statements is dated 30th of Rabi Al-Awwal month yet it has only 29 days! Today is 1st of Rabi Al-Thani

Image
Funny thing is that taghvim.com website used commonly by Iranians says today is 30th of Rabi al-Awwal. All other calendars say today is 1st of Rabi-ali-Thaani.

It cannot be ISIS! Image
My Arab followers, can you please tell me what day it is according to Hijri calendar?

Some calendars I found say 28th, some 29th, some 1st ...
Read 4 tweets

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