Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Sep 24, 2020 14 tweets 11 min read Read on X
"So far the signs are positive..." @US4AfghanPeace tells @USIP #AfghanPeace about #Doha talks btw #Afghanistan & #Taliban

"The first days of the negotiations also showed more progress than many expected"
All stakeholder countries are supporting the #Afghan-#Taliban talks, "with the exception of #Iran" per @US4AfghanPeace
"I am hopeful" per @US4AfghanPeace "Nothing is guaranteed of course...the responsibility is w/the leaders of both sides"

#Afghanistan-#Taliban talks
"Based on what I see & what I've heard, they're serious about the negotiations" @US4AfghanPeace says of #Taliban "They've sent a very empowered senior team to negotiate...They have said to me they is no alternative to negotiations"
"They seek to be accepted as a partner, as a normal player" adds @US4AfghanPeace of #Taliban
#Taliban performance has been "mixed since we made this agreement but we see their ability and their willingness to deliver" per @US4AfghanPeace
"We will watch and monitor...but I do believe they are taking the negotiations seriously, for their own self-interest" per @US4AfghanPeace

re #Taliban
"Violence is too high" per @US4AfghanPeace, saying #Afghanistan #Taliban are using violence to strengthen their positions at the negotiating table

#AfghanPeace
"We believe the violence needs to be brought down by both sides...I am talking to both" per @US4AfghanPeace "The violence levels are unacceptably high"
"I assess their role as positive" @US4AfghanPeace says of #Pakistan's involvement in #Afghanistan-#Taliban talks

"Our relationship with Pakistan, as a result, has improved" he adds of US-Pakistan relations
"Being in #Afghanistan militarily is not an end in itself for the #UnitedStates" per @US4AfghanPeace

"It is the judgment of the military leadership that at that number [under 5,000], we still can do the mission..."

#AfghanPeace
"#ISIS is very active in terms of violence, in urban areas especially" @US4AfghanPeace warns, talking about other players in #Afghanistan wishing the peace talks harm "ISIS wants to derail the potential agreement"
#alQaida in #Afghanistan - "They are a very small number even if you include #alQaida in the Indian Subcontinent" per @US4AfghanPeace "They are mostly focused on survival bcs we are hunting for them"
#Taliban taking on #alQaida? "They have taken steps. But this is unfinished business from my point of view. They need to take more" per @US4AfghanPeace, who declines to share any details about what exactly Taliban have done to crack down on AQ

#AfghanPeace

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More from @jseldin

Mar 11
HAPPENING NOW - US intelligence chiefs testify before the Senate Intelligence Committee:

@ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines
@CIA Dir William Burns
@FBI Dir Christoper Wray
@NSAGov Dir Gen Timothy Haugh
@DefenseIntel Dir LtGen Jeffrey Krause
@StateDept Asst Sec for Intel Brett Holmgren Image
Noting that the current era is as challenging as ever, with a wide variety of threats, Senate Intelligence Committee Chair @MarkWarner calls for "redefining what we think of" when it comes to national security Image
@MarkWarner "We are no even seeing the possibility of foreign adversaries weaponizing space" in ways that could be detrimental to US way of life, per @MarkWarner
Read 73 tweets
Feb 29
NEW: @FBI joins White House, Senate intelligence committee chair in sounding alarm about foreign interference in #Election2024

"This election cycle, the US will face more adversaries, moving at a faster pace & enabled by new technology
per Dir Christopher Wray at @INSAlliance
#ArtificialIntelligence advances "lowering the barrier to entry-making it easier for both more & less-sophisticated foreign adversaries to engage in malign influence" per @FBI's Wray

"Making foreign influence efforts by players old and&new more realistic & difficult to detect"
@FBI Where are US adversaries focused?

“The attack surface for the bad guys is the private sector” per @FBI's Wray "The intelligence that we need is in the hands of the private sector, often”
Read 10 tweets
Feb 25
NEW: US worried about #Russia seeking to interfere in #Election2024

"Of course there are concerns" White House Nat'l Security Adviser @JakeSullivan46 tells @MeetThePress
"There's plenty of reason to be concerned" per @JakeSullivan46

"There is a history here in presidential elections by the #Russia|n Federation, by its intelligence services" he says

"We are going to be vigilant"
Concerns about #Russia|n interference in #Election2024 "not about politics" per @JakeSullivan46

"This is about national security. It is about a foreign country, a foreign adversary seeking to manipulate the politics & democracy of the United States of America."
Read 14 tweets
Feb 6
NEW: US confirms #Houthis using "various #Iran|ian-origin missiles & unmanned aerial vehicles" in their attacks on shipping in the #RedSea #GulfofAden

Conclusion based on new analysis by @DefenseIntel
The assessment is based on information current as January 2024 - including a "comparative analysis of publicly available images of #Iran|ian missiles & UAVs to those displayed & employed by #Houthi forces in #Yemen to attack commercial shipping" per @DefenseIntel
US @DefenseIntel on #Iran|ian drones in #Houthi arsenal:
-Sayad (Sammad) - range of 1800km
-Shahed-136 - range of 2500km
-Waid-1 (version of the Shahed-131) - range of 900km Image
Read 13 tweets
Feb 1
NEW: #alQaida expanding in #Afghanistan

AQ "established up to 8 new training camps in Afghanistan, including four in #Ghazni, #Laghman, #Parwan & #Uruzgan Provinces w/a new base to stockpile weaponry in the #Panjshir Valley" per new @UN report
The new #alQaida camps appear to be "conducting suicide bomber training for TTP [Tehrik-i-Taliban #Pakistan]" per the @UN report
Intelligence provided by @UN member states also notes #alQaida is operating madrasas in #Laghman, #Kunar, #Nangarhar, #Nuristan & #Parwan provinces

AQ also "maintains safe houses to facilitate the movement between #Afghanistan & the Islamic Republic of #Iran"
Read 16 tweets
Dec 11, 2023
NEW: @usairforce disciplines 15 Air National Guard members as a result of the so-called Discord intel leak this past April

Inspector General report cited lax inspections, lack of guidance & lack of supervision as contributing factors in the leaks by 21-year-old Jack Teixeira
"The IG investigation found individuals in Teixeira’s unit failed to take proper action after becoming aware of his intelligence-seeking activities..." per @usairforce statement
"...However, the investigation did not find evidence that members of Teixeira’s supervisory chain were aware of his alleged unauthorized disclosures" per @usairforce
Read 5 tweets

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